Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions

Francis X. Diebold, S. Borağan Aruoba, Chiara Scotti
2009-10-01

SCID:  54.1/yveztbvy
We construct a framework for measuring economic activity at high frequency, potentially in real time. We use a variety of stock and flow data observed at mixed frequencies (including very high frequencies), and we use a dynamic factor model that permits exact filtering. We illustrate the framework in a prototype empirical example and a simulation study calibrated to the example.
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2009-10-01
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Francis X. Diebold
S. Borağan Aruoba
Chiara Scotti
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