Near‐Earth heliospheric magnetic field intensity since 1750: 1. Sunspot and geomagnetic reconstructions
Интенсивность гелиосферного магнитного поля в окрестности Земли с 1750 года: 1. Реконструкции по числу солнечных пятен и геомагнитным данным
2016-06-18
SCID: 54.1/yz7jer2g
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geomagnetic reconstructionheliospheric magnetic fieldinterdiurnal variability indexnear-Earth spacesunspot number
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Abstract (AI)
Abstract We present two separate time series of the near‐Earth heliospheric magnetic field strength (B) based on geomagnetic data and sunspot number (SSN). The geomagnetic‐based B series from 1845 to 2013 is a weighted composite of two series that employ the interdiurnal variability index; this series is highly correlated with in situ spacecraft measurements of B (correlation coefficient, r = 0.94; mean square error, MSE = 0.16 nT2). The SSN‐based estimate of B, from 1750 to 2013, is a weighted composite of eight time series derived from two separate reconstruction methods applied to four different SSN time series, allowing determination of the uncertainty from both the underlying sunspot records and the B reconstruction methods. The SSN‐based composite is highly correlated with direct spacecraft measurements of B and with the composite geomagnetic B time series from 1845 to 2013 (r = 0.91; MSE = 0.24 nT2), demonstrating that B can accurately reconstructed by both geomagnetic and sunspot‐based methods. The composite sunspot and geomagnetic B time series, with uncertainties, are provided as supporting information .
Key Findings
1
A geomagnetic reconstruction estimates near-Earth heliospheric magnetic field strength from 1845–2013 using a weighted composite of two interdiurnal-variability-based series.
2
A sunspot-number-based reconstruction extends near-Earth heliospheric magnetic field estimates back to 1750–2013 by combining eight series from two methods and four sunspot records.
3
The geomagnetic-based reconstruction closely matches in situ spacecraft measurements, achieving correlation r = 0.94 and mean square error MSE = 0.16 nT².
4
The results demonstrate that near-Earth heliospheric magnetic field strength can be accurately reconstructed using both geomagnetic and sunspot-based methods, with uncertainties quantified and provided.
5
The sunspot-based composite agrees strongly with spacecraft observations and the geomagnetic reconstruction from 1845–2013, with r = 0.91 and MSE = 0.24 nT².
Research Object
Near-Earth heliospheric magnetic field strength (B) from 1750 to 2013
Research Subject
Reconstruction and uncertainty of the long-term temporal variation of B using geomagnetic data and sunspot-number records
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2016-06-18
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