Estimation of Fv/Fm in Spring Wheat Using UAV-Based Multispectral and RGB Imagery with Multiple Machine Learning Methods

The maximum quantum efficiency of photosystem II (Fv/Fm) is a widely used indicator of photosynthetic health in plants. Remote sensing of Fv/Fm using MS (multispectral) and RGB imagery has the potential to enable high-throughput screening of plant health in agricultural and ecological applications. This study aimed to estimate Fv/Fm in spring wheat at an experimental base in Hanghou County, Inner Mongolia, from 2020 to 2021. RGB and MS images were obtained at the wheat flowering stage using a Da-Jiang Phantom 4 multispectral drone. A total of 51 vegetation indices were constructed, and the measured Fv/Fm of wheat on the ground was obtained simultaneously using a Handy PEA plant efficiency analyzer. The performance of 26 machine learning algorithms for estimating Fv/Fm using RGB and multispectral imagery was compared. The findings revealed that a majority of the multispectral vegetation indices and approximately half of the RGB vegetation indices demonstrated a strong correlation with Fv/Fm, as evidenced by an absolute correlation coefficient greater than 0.75. The Gradient Boosting Regressor (GBR) was the optimal estimation model for RGB, with the important features being RGBVI and ExR. The Huber model was the optimal estimation model for MS, with the important feature being MSAVI2. The Automatic Relevance Determination (ARD) was the optimal estimation model for the combination (RGB + MS), with the important features being SIPI, ExR, and VEG. The highest accuracy was achieved using the ARD model for estimating Fv/Fm with RGB + MS vegetation indices on the test sets (Test set MAE = 0.019, MSE = 0.001, RMSE = 0.024, R2 = 0.925, RMSLE = 0.014, MAPE = 0.026). The combined analysis suggests that extracting vegetation indices (SIPI, ExR, and VEG) from RGB and MS remote images by UAV as input variables of the model and using the ARD model can significantly improve the accuracy of Fv/Fm estimation at flowering stage. This approach provides new technical support for rapid and accurate monitoring of Fv/Fm in spring wheat in the Hetao Irrigation District.