The impact of domestic and international terrorism on equity markets: evidence from Indonesia

Влияние внутреннего и международного терроризма на фондовые рынки: данные по Индонезии
Vikash Ramiah, Michael Graham
2013-02-15

abnormal returnsequity marketsevent study methodologysystematic riskterrorist attacks
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to show that the consequences of terrorist attacks are beyond what is reported in the media. Equity investors can be adversely affected by these incidents. The authors' work justifies the war on terror. Design/methodology/approach Using event study methodology, the authors test how abnormal returns have changed for industrial portfolios in Indonesia following the recent terrorist attacks in the USA, the UK, Spain, India and even Indonesia. The authors adjust the CAPM to test whether systematic risks are altered around these events. Findings The findings show that equity portfolios were adversely affected by the September 11 attacks and Bali bombings. The domestic terrorist attack generated the worst outcomes. It appears that systematic risk has increased by the amount of terrorist risk. Other attacks in London, Madrid and Mumbai were minimal. Originality/value This study shows how domestic and international terrorist events affect the risk and return in an Asian capital market.
1
Systematic risk increased around terrorist events, apparently incorporating an additional component attributable to terrorism risk.
2
Terrorist attacks adversely affected Indonesian equity portfolios, with the September 11 attacks and Bali bombings producing significant negative effects.
3
The domestic Bali bombing generated worse equity-market outcomes than the international terrorist attacks examined.
4
The study demonstrates that both domestic and international terrorism affect risk and returns in an Asian capital market.
5
The terrorist attacks in London, Madrid, and Mumbai had minimal effects on Indonesian equity portfolios.

Indonesian equity portfolios and capital market around domestic and international terrorist attacks

Changes in abnormal returns and systematic risk following terrorist attacks

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2013-02-15
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Vikash Ramiah
Michael Graham
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