Transparency, Price Informativeness, and Stock Return Synchronicity: Theory and Evidence

Прозрачность, информативность цен и синхронность доходностей акций: теория и эмпирические данные
Sudipto Dasgupta, Jie Gan, Ning Gao
2010-08-20

American Depositary Receipts (ADRs)R-squared (R2)firm ageprice informativenessseasoned equity offerings (SEOs)stock return synchronicitytransparency
Abstract This paper argues that, contrary to the conventional wisdom, stock return synchronicity (or R 2 ) can increase when transparency improves. In a simple model, we show that, in more transparent environments, stock prices should be more informative about future events. Consequently, when the events actually happen in the future, there should be less “surprise” (i.e., less new information is impounded into the stock price). Thus a more informative stock price today means higher return synchronicity in the future. We find empirical support for our theoretical predictions in 3 settings: namely, firm age, seasoned equity offerings (SEOs), and listing of American Depositary Receipts (ADRs).
1
Because events are anticipated in prices, greater price informativeness today leads to higher return synchronicity when those events occur.
2
Empirical evidence from firm age, seasoned equity offerings (SEOs), and ADR listings supports the theoretical prediction that increased transparency raises synchronicity.
3
Improved transparency can increase stock return synchronicity (R2), contrary to conventional wisdom.
4
In a theoretical model, more transparent environments make current stock prices more informative about future events, reducing future surprises.

Stock return synchronicity (R²) of firms' stocks

Effect of improved transparency and resulting price informativeness on future stock return synchronicity, including theoretical mechanism and empirical evidence across firm age, SEOs, and ADR listings

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2010-08-20
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Sudipto Dasgupta
Jie Gan
Ning Gao
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