Mapping the global depth to bedrock for land surface modeling

Картирование глобальной глубины до коренной породы для моделирования поверхности суши
Tomislav Hengl, Jorge Mendes de Jesus, Wei Shangguan, Yongjiu Dai, Hua Yuan
2016-12-20

MODIS surface reflectancedepth to bedrockgradient boosting treeland surface modelingrandom forest
Abstract Depth to bedrock serves as the lower boundary of land surface models, which controls hydrologic and biogeochemical processes. This paper presents a framework for global estimation of depth to bedrock (DTB). Observations were extracted from a global compilation of soil profile data (ca. 1,30,000 locations) and borehole data (ca. 1.6 million locations). Additional pseudo‐observations generated by expert knowledge were added to fill in large sampling gaps. The model training points were then overlaid on a stack of 155 covariates including DEM‐based hydrological and morphological derivatives, lithologic units, MODIS surface reflectance bands and vegetation indices derived from the MODIS land products. Global spatial prediction models were developed using random forest and Gradient Boosting Tree algorithms. The final predictions were generated at the spatial resolution of 250 m as an ensemble prediction of the two independently fitted models. The 10–fold cross‐validation shows that the models explain 59% for absolute DTB and 34% for censored DTB (depths deep than 200 cm are predicted as 200 cm). The model for occurrence of R horizon (bedrock) within 200 cm does a good job. Visual comparisons of predictions in the study areas where more detailed maps of depth to bedrock exist show that there is a general match with spatial patterns from similar local studies. Limitation of the data set and extrapolation in data spare areas should not be ignored in applications. To improve accuracy of spatial prediction, more borehole drilling logs will need to be added to supplement the existing training points in under‐represented areas.
1
A global framework was developed to estimate depth to bedrock (DTB) using soil profiles (~130,000) and borehole data (~1.6 million) supplemented by expert-generated pseudo-observations.
2
Models used 155 covariates (DEM derivatives, lithology, MODIS reflectance and vegetation indices) and were built with Random Forest and Gradient Boosting Trees, ensembled at 250 m resolution.
3
Predicted DTB spatial patterns generally match detailed local maps, but data limitations and extrapolation in sparsely sampled regions constrain accuracy and require more borehole data.
4
Ten-fold cross-validation explained 59% of variance for absolute DTB and 34% for censored DTB (depths >200 cm treated as 200 cm).
5
The binary model predicting occurrence of an R horizon (bedrock) within 200 cm performs well, capturing presence/absence effectively.

Global depth to bedrock (DTB) map / spatial distribution of depth to bedrock

Predicting and mapping spatial patterns of depth to bedrock using compiled soil and borehole observations, pseudo-observations, environmental covariates, and ensemble machine-learning models (random forest and gradient boosting) at 250 m resolution, including model performance for absolute and censored DTB and occurrence of R horizon within 200 cm

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2016-12-20
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Tomislav Hengl
Jorge Mendes de Jesus
Wei Shangguan
Yongjiu Dai
Hua Yuan
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