Anomalies: Preference Reversals

Аномалии: обращения предпочтений
Amos Tversky, Richard H. Thaler
1990-05-01

attribute weightingdecision making anomaliespreference elicitation methodspreference order instabilitypreference reversal
The preference reversal phenomenon has been established in numerous studies during the last two decades, but its causes have only recently been uncovered. This phenomenon, or cluster of phenomena, challenges the traditional assumption that the decisionmaker has a fixed preference order that is captured accurately by any reliable elicitation procedure. If option A is priced higher than option B, we cannot always assume that A is preferred to B in a direct comparison. The evidence shows that different methods of elicitation could change the relative weighting of the attributes and give rise to different orderings.
1
Different elicitation methods can change the relative weighting of attributes, producing different option orderings.
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If option A is priced higher than option B, it cannot be assumed that A will be preferred to B in direct comparisons due to elicitation-dependent reversals.
3
Preference reversal is a robust phenomenon documented across numerous studies over the last two decades.
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Preference reversals demonstrate that decisionmakers do not always have a single fixed preference ordering across elicitation methods.

Preference reversal phenomenon in decision-making experiments

How different elicitation methods alter relative attribute weighting and cause reversals in pairwise option ordering (preference reversals) despite price or assumed fixed preference orders

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1990-05-01
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Amos Tversky
Richard H. Thaler
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