Russian Arctic Mineral Resources Sustainable Development in the Context of Energy Transition, ESG Agenda and Geopolitical Tensions

The Arctic region is well-known as a source of energy and mineral resources. Developing these resources by means of responsible practices could provide the world’s economy with strategically and critically important types of minerals. As a result, the role of the Arctic’s resource potential and the approaches used to develop it are gradually changing. In current conditions, it is crucial to strike a balance between existing needs and long-term demand for traditional energy sources or critical materials, such as rare and rare-earth minerals. Achieving this balance will result in sustainable growth, meeting ESG agenda targets while considering national security priorities, and devising novel approaches to sustainable project financing. However, there is controversy between existing strategies and plans based on low-carbon development and reality, which creates new macroeconomic and geopolitical obstacles that need to be overcome. The primary goal of this research is to substantiate the necessity of transforming the Russian Arctic’s mineral resource exploration in the context of global and national changes. The article presents a comprehensive analysis of the contemporary trends and tendencies influencing the exploration of the Arctic’s resources, as well as a general vision of the current situation in the energy sector. Research methods include content analysis and synthesis, generalization, decomposition, elements of strategic analysis, planning and forecasting, statistical methods, econometric modeling methods, and scenario planning. An upgraded concept of sustainable development based on six key components is proposed and discussed. Recommendations are provided on how to improve the existing system of long-term planning and forecasting to reduce the high level of macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty. The role of Russian Artic resources is determined in light of the shift in resource use.