Russian Arctic development goals in the new international situation.
Цели развития российской Арктики в новой международной ситуации
2022-09-29
SCID: 54.1/x7ae799q
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Arctic governanceRussian Arcticfourth energy transitioninternational Arctic cooperationresource-based development
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Abstract (AI)
This article aims to address current Arctic developments against the background of long-term global shifts related to the emerging new system of technologies (therein the fourth energy transition) and respective moves in the international politics and economy. We demonstrate that despite its remote location and characteristic economic structure, the Arctic has for centuries been present in the world market with its unique raw materials, supplied by outside monopolist intermediaries. The situation started to change rapidly in the 1990s, under the globalization. A network of international organizations was established, transboundary contacts among northern regions and Indigenous Peoples increased dramatically. Inherent contradictions were growing in parallel and turned by early 2020s into ideologically laden discussions on the human role in the Arctic, on its target image (cooperation vs confrontation) and on the role of non-regional actors in the Arctic governance. A number of key options were actually chosen under the dramatically increased international tension in 2022.They will shape the future global Arctic, with Russia on the one ‘pole’ continuing massive development efforts and using actively its unique position as the only Asian Arctic nation to involve new actors (first of all, China) vs seven NATO member states involving major European countries plus the EU and pursuing a green agenda. The Russian Arctic Zone faces a somewhat sophisticated transformation under stringent restrictions (a sharp decrease in fuel exports to Europe, technological sanctions, environmentally motivated outside pressure, militarization, etc.). This situation makes it especially timely to adjust the development concept in line with the recent Arctic policy papers and legislation, namely to transit from resource extraction which relies on imported equipment and raw materials export towards supporting any businesses and using megaprojects to spur local economies and innovation.
Key Findings
1
By the early 2020s, Arctic debates increasingly centered on cooperation versus confrontation, the human role in the region, and non-regional actors’ governance roles.
2
Globalization since the 1990s rapidly expanded international organizations, cross-border contacts, and Indigenous Peoples’ participation in Arctic affairs, while intensifying political contradictions.
3
International tensions in 2022 consolidated opposing Arctic trajectories: Russia is pursuing development with new partners, especially China, while seven NATO states and the EU promote a green agenda.
4
Russia’s Arctic Zone requires a shift from imported-equipment-dependent resource extraction and raw-material exports toward broad business support and megaprojects that stimulate local economies and innovation.
5
The Arctic has long participated in global markets through unique raw materials supplied by external monopolistic intermediaries.
Research Object
Russian Arctic Zone development under the new international situation
Research Subject
Transformation of development priorities and governance strategies, including the shift from import-dependent resource extraction and raw-material exports toward diversified local business, innovation, and megaproject-driven economic development
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2022-09-29
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