Глобальная, региональная и национальная заболеваемость, распространённость и годы жизни с инвалидностью для 310 заболеваний и травм, 1990–2015 гг.: систематический анализ в рамках исследования глобального бремени болезней 2015 года

Kazem Rahimi; Norberto Perico; Giuseppe Remuzzi; Amitava Banerjee; Christopher J L Murray; Cristiana Abbafati; Kaja Abbas; Foad Abd-Allah; Laith J. Abu‐Raddad; Hamid Ahmadieh; Rufus Akinyemi; Ziyad Al‐Aly; Khurshid Alam; François Alla; Peter Allebeck; Khalid A Altirkawi; Johan Ärnlöv; Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla; Alaa Badawi; Suzanne Barker‐Collo; Till Bärnighausen; Lope H. Barrero; Ettore Beghi; Isabela M. Benseñor; Neeraj Bhala; Zulfiqar A Bhutta; Boris Bikbov; Soufiane Boufous; Nicholas J. K. Breitborde; Zahid A Butt; Ismael Campos‐Nonato; Rosario Cárdenas; Juan Jesús Carrero; Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela; Fiona Charlson; Jee-Young Jasmine Choi; Hanne Christensen; Liliana G Ciobanu; Massimo Círillo; Lalit Dandona; Rakhi Dandona; Paul I. Dargan; José das Neves; Diego De Leo; Louisa Degenhardt; Robert P Dellavalle; Tim Driscoll; Bruce Bartholow Duncan; Iqbal Elyazar; Holly E Erskine; Kara Estep; André Faro; Farshad Farzadfar; Valery L. Feigin; Seyed‐Mohammad Fereshtehnejad; Alize J Ferrari; Florian Fischer; Richard C. Franklin; Peter W. Gething; Giorgia Giussani; Sameer Vali Gopalani; Felix Greaves; Yuming Guo; Tarun Gupta; Randah R Hamadeh; Samer Hamidi; Graeme J. Hankey; Josep María Haro; Rasmus Havmoeller; Simon I Hay; Hans W. Hoek; Hung Chak Ho; Chantal Huynh; Kathryn H. Jacobsen; Mihajlo Jakovljević; Panniyammakal Jeemon; Catherine O. Johnson; Jost B. Jonas; Zubair Kabir; André Karch; Peter Njenga Keiyoro; Laura Kemmer; Ejaz Ahmad Khan; Christian Kieling; Yun Jin Kim; Luke D. Knibbs; Ann Kristin Knudsen; Jacek A Kopec; Parvaiz A Koul; Ai Koyanagi; Barthélémy Kuate Defo; G Anil Kumar; Ratilal Lalloo; Tea Lallukka; Sinéad Langan; Anders Larsson; Janni Leung; Miriam Levi; Shiwei Liu; Yang Liu; Justin Lo; Paulo A. Lotufo; Azeem Majeed; Reza Malekzadeh; John J. McGrath; Martin McKee; Ziad A. Memish; Walter Mendoza; Atte Meretoja; Tuomo J Meretoja; Ted R. Miller; Edward J Mills; Shafiu Mohammed; Ali H. Mokdad; Lorenzo Monasta; Meghan Mooney; Maziar Moradi‐Lakeh; Lídia Morawska; Ulrich Müeller; Erin C Mullany; Gabriele Nagel; Vinay Nangia; Bo Norrving; Felix Akpojene Ogbo; In‐Hwan Oh; Bolajoko O. Olusanya; Jacob Olusegun Olusanya; Alberto Ortíz; P A Mahesh; Scott B. Patten; George Patton; David M. Pereira; Konrad Pesudovs; Michael Phillips; Dietrich Plaß; Suzanne Polinder; Farshad Pourmalek; Amir Radfar; Puja C Rao; Marissa B Reitsma; Serge Resnikoff; Luca Ronfani; Gholamreza Roshandel; Gregory A. Roth; Dietrich Rothenbacher; Rajesh Sagar; Joshua A. Salomon; Itamar S Santos; João Vasco Santos; Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez; Benn Sartorius; María Inês Schmidt; David C. Schwebel; Sadaf G Sepanlou; Amira Shaheen; Kenji Shibuya; Min‐Jeong Shin; Rahman Shiri; Inga Dóra Sigfúsdóttir; Reed J D Sorensen; Joan B. Soriano; Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy; Jeffrey D Stanaway; Dan J. Stein; Caitlyn Steiner; Rafael Tabarés‐Seisdedos; Jukka Takala; George D. Thurston; Marcello Tonelli; Roman Topór-Mądry; Fotis Topouzis; Bach Xuan Tran; Stefanos Tyrovolas; Tommi Vasankari; Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian; Francesco Saverio Violante; Vasily Vlassov; Theo Vos; Robert G Weintraub; Andrea Werdecker; Ronny Westerman; Harvey Whiteford; Charles Wolfe; Gelin Xu; Yuichiro Yano; Paul Yip; Naohiro Yonemoto; Mustafa Z Younis; Chuanhua Yu; Maigeng Zhou; Stephen S Lim; Timothy J. Steiner; Lars Jacob Stovner; Liana C. Del Gobbo; Elisabete Weiderpass; Patrick John Sur; Leslie Cornaby; Kalkidan Hassen Abate; Umar Bacha; Eduardo Bernabé; Sibhatu Biadgilign; Stan Biryukov; Maysaa El Sayed Zaki; Carla Sofia e Sá Farinha; Maryam S. Farvid; João Carlos Fernandes; Mohammad H. Forouzanfar; Johanna M. Geleijnse; S Harikrishnan; Masako Horino; Amir Kasaeian; Yousef Khader; Fakher Rahim; Young‐Ho Khang; Yoshihiro Kokubo; Rafael Lozano; Yohannes Adama Melaku; Mojde Mirarefin; Mostafa Qorbani; Rajesh Kumar; Juan Sanabria; Andrew Thorne‐Lyman; Amanda G. Thrift; Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja; Olalekan A. Uthman; Denis Xavier; Dorairaj Prabhakaran; Marie Ng; Tom Fleming; Nicholas Graetz; Niveen M. E. Abu-Rmeileh; Zewdie Aderaw Alemu; Raghib Ali; Nelson Alvis‐Guzmán; Walid Ammar; Derrick Bennett; Jed D Blore; Jung‐Chen Chang; Rajiv Chowdhury; Adrian Davis; Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne; Eric L. Ding; Atsushi Goto; Sun Ha Jee; Daniel Kim; Soewarta Kosen; Gene F. Kwan; Li Y; Xiaofeng Liang; Giancarlo Logroscino; George A. Mensah; Mohsen Naghavi; Aliya Naheed; Muhammad Imran Nisar; Takayoshi Ohkubo; Ivy Shiue; Jasvinder A. Singh; Vegard Skirbekk; Bryan L. Sykes; Seok‐Jun Yoon; Alan D López; Hugh R. Taylor; Janet L Leasher; Richard White; John J. Huang; Burcu Küçük Biçer; Vafa Rahimi‐Movaghar; Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman; Miltiadis K. Tsilimbaris; Mehdi Yaseri; Jordan L. Fox; Belinda J. Gabbe; María Dolores Sánchez-Niño; Arnav Agarwal; Niranjan Kissoon; Donald S. Shepard; Michael Brainin; Emilie Agardh; Joseph Frostad; Kalpana Balakrishnan; Haidong Kan; Zanfina Ademi; Christine A. Allen; Megha Arora; Ryan M Barber; Alexandria Brown; Austin Carter; Daniel Casey; Alan Z Chen; Megan Coggeshall; Daniel Dicker; Tina Dilegge; Christina Fitzmaurice; Nancy Fullman; Ellen M Goldberg; Juanita A. Haagsma; Nicholas J Kassebaum; Toana Kawashima; Yohannes Kinfu; Hmwe Hmwe Kyu; Laurie B. Marczak; Grant Nguyen; Elaine O. Nsoesie; Helen Elizabeth Olsen; David M. Pigott; Christine Pinho; Zane Rankin; Nikolas Reinig; Logan Sandar; A. Gordon Smith; Stephanie Teeple; Bernadette A Thomas; Christopher Troeger; Joseph A. Wagner; Haidong Wang; Valentine Wanga; Leo Zoeckler; Amanuel Alemu Abajobir; Biju Abraham; Ibrahim Abubakar; Ilana N. Ackerman; Akindele O. Adebiyi; Arsène Kouablan Adou; Kossivi Agbélénko Afanvi; Ali Kiadaliri; Oluremi N Ajala; Nadia Akseer; Noore Alam; Saleh Fahed Aldhahri; Miguel Angel Alegretti; Lily Alexander; Samia Alhabib; Ala’a Alkerwi; Rajaa Al‐Raddadi; Ubai Alsharif; Azmeraw T. Amare; Alemayehu Amberbir; Heresh Amini; Stephen M. Amrock; Hjalte Holm Andersen; Gregory M. Anderson; Benjamin O. Anderson; Carl Abelardo T. Antonio; Atsede Fantahun Aregay; Al Artaman; Hamid Asayesh; Reza Assadi; Suleman Atique; Euripide Avokpaho; Ashish Awasthi; Peter Azzopardi; Aleksandra Barać; Lars Barregård; Arindam Basu; Shahrzad Bazargan‐Hejazi; Brent Bell; Michelle L. Bell; Habib Benzian; Adugnaw Berhane; Balem Demtsu Betsu; Addisu Shunu Beyene; Samir Bhatt; Kelly Bienhoff; Donal Bisanzio; Espen Bjertness; Rohan Borschmann; Alexandra Bražinová; Jonathan C. Brown; Rachelle Buchbinder; Geoffrey Buckle; Bianca Calabria; Julio César Campuzano; Hélène Carabin; David O. Carpenter; Jacqueline Castillo Rivas; Ferrán Catalá-López; Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang; Chioma Ezinne Chibueze; Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa; Devasahayam Jesudas Christopher; Matthew M Coates; Samantha Colquhoun; Cyrus Cooper; Monica Cortinovis; John A. Crump; Solomon Abrha Damtew; Farah Daoud; Gail Davey; Kebede Deribe; Amare Deribew; Sarah Derrett; Don C. Des Jarlais; Preet K. Dhillon; Cèsar Díaz‐Torné; Leilei Duan; Manisha Dubey; Hedyeh Ebrahimi; Richard G. Ellenbogen; Matthias Endres; Aman Yesuf Endries; Sergey Petrovich Ermakov; Babak Eshrati; Talha Farid; David T. Felson; Jefferson Gomes Fernandes; Joseph R A Fitchett; Kyle J Foreman; F. Gerry R. Fowkes; Joseph Friedman; Thomas Fürst; Neal D. Futran; Parthasarathi Ganguly; Fortuné Gbètoho Gankpé; Teshome Gebre; Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot; Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin; Bradford D. Gessner; Katherine B. Gibney; Ibrahim Ginawi; Ababi Zergaw Giref; Maurice Giroud; Melkamu Dedefo Gishu; Elizabeth Glaser; William Godwin; Hector Gómez‐Dantés; Philimon Gona; Amador Goodridge; Carolyn Gotay; Hebe Gouda; Rebecca Grainger; Françis Guillemin; Rahul Gupta; Vipin Gupta; Reyna Alma Gutiérrez; Demewoz Haile; Alemayehu Hailu; Gessessew Bugssa Hailu; Yara A. Halasa; Mouhanad Hammami; Jamie Hancock; Alexis J. Handal; Yuantao Hao; Hilda L Harb; Roderick J. Hay; Ileana Heredia-Pi; Pouria Heydarpour; Nobuyuki Horita; Damian G Hoy; Aung Soe Htet; Hsiang Huang; Marissa Iannarone; Kim Moesgaard Iburg; Kaire Innos; Manami Inoue; Veena Iyer; Nader Jahanmehr; Mehdi Javanbakht; Sudha Jayaraman; Achala Upendra Jayatilleke; Paul N. Jensen; Ying Jiang; Tariku Jibat; Aída Jiménez-Corona; Ye Jin; Yogeshwar Kalkonde; Ritul Kamal; Corine Karema; Chanté Karimkhani; Anil Kaul; Norito Kawakami; Andrew H. Kemp; Andre Keren; Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran; Abdur Rahman Khan; Sahil Khera; Tawfik Khoja; Jagdish Khubchandani; Pauline Kim; Cho‐il Kim; Dhaval Kolte; Georgios A. Kotsakis; Michael Kravchenko; Andreas A Kudom; Ernst J. Kuipers; Michael Kutz; Aparna Lal; Hilton Y. Lam; Jennifer O. Lam; Pablo M Lavados; J. Paul Leigh; Ricky Leung; Yongmei Li; Juan Liang; Belinda Lloyd; Warren Lo; Raimundas Lunevičius; Ronan A Lyons; Mark T. Mackay; Mohammed Magdy; Abd El Razek; Mahdi Mahdavi; Marek Majdán; Wagner Marcenes; David Joel Margolis; José Martı́nez-Raga; Felix Masiye; João Massano; Stephen T. McGarvey; Brian J. McMahon; Peter A. Meaney; Alem Mehari; Fabiola Mejía‐Rodríguez; Alemayehu Mekonnen; Peter Memiah; Francis Mhimbira; Anoushka Millear; Philip B. Mitchell; Charles Mock; Alireza Mohammadi; Julio Cesar Montañez Hernandez; Marcella Montico; John Everett Mumford; Michele E Murdoch; Jean B. Nachega; Luigi Naldi; John Newton; Frida Ngalesoni; Quyen Le Nguyen; Patrick Martial Nkamedjie Pete; Joan M. Nolla; Ole Frithjof Norheim; Rosana Norman; Bruno Pereira Nunes; Pedro R. Olivares; Majdi Osman; Erika Ota; Eun‐Kee Park; Mahboubeh Parsaeian; Valéria Maria de Azeredo Passos; Ángel Paternina‐Caicedo; Rogelio Pérez‐Padilla; Max Petzold; Frédéric B. Piel; Julian David Pillay; Farhad Pishgar; James A Platts-Mills; Constance D Pond; Svetlana Popova; Richie Poulton; Noela M Prasad; Rynaz H S Rabiee; Anwar Rafay; Mahfuzar Rahman; Sajjad Ur Rahman; Saša Rajšić; Usha Ram; Amany Refaat; Alex Reynolds; Antônio Luiz Pinho Ribeiro; María Jesús Ríos-Blancas; Hirbo Shore Roba; David Rojas‐Rueda; Ambuj Roy; Ramesh Sahathevan; Maheswar Satpathy; Miloje Savic; Monika Sawhney; Michael P Schaub; Ione Jayce Ceola Schneider; Ben Schöttker; James G. Scott; Soraya Seedat; Edson Serván‐Mori; Katya Anne Shackelford; Masood Ali Shaikh; Rajesh Sharma; Upasana Sharma; Jiabin Shen; Kevin N. Sheth; Mark G. Shrime; Diego Augusto Santos Silva; Dayane Gabriele Alves Silveira; Abhishek Singh; Om Prakash Singh; Prashant Kumar Singh; Anna Sivonda; Jens Christoffer Skogen; Amber Sligar; Karen Sliwa; Michael Soljak; Kjetil Søreide; Luciano A. Sposato; Vasiliki Stathopoulou; Nicholas Steel; S. Steinke; Lars Jacob Stovner; Konstantinos Stroumpoulis; Bruno Sunguya; Soumya Swaminathan; Cassandra Szoeke; Nikhil Tandon; David Tanné; Mohammad Tavakkoli; Bineyam Taye; Braden Te Ao; Bemnet Tedla; Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi; A. J. Thomson; Ruoyan Tobe-Gai; Thomas Truelsen; Zacharie Tsala Dimbuene; Abera Kenay Tura; E. Murat Tuzcu; Eduardo A. Undurraga; Chigozie Jesse Uneke; Coen H. van Gool; Yuri Y Varakin; Raj Kumar Verma; Sergey Konstantinovitch Vladimirov; Gregory R. Wagner; Stephen G. Waller; Tianpei Hong; David Watkins; Scott Weichenthal; Hywel C Williams; Charles Shey Wiysonge; Sungho Won; Rachel Woodbrook; Mamo Wubshet; Ajit Kumar Yadav; Lijing L. Yan; Pengpeng Ye; Henock G. Yebyo; Zoubida Zaidi; Hajo Zeeb; Sanjay Zodpey; Liesl Zühlke; Rajeev Gupta; Katharine J Looker; Linhong Wang; Ibrahim A Khalil; Stein Emil Vollset; Angel J Paternina Caicedo; Walid Ammar

doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(16)31678-6

Глобальная, региональная и национальная заболеваемость, распространённость и годы жизни с инвалидностью для 310 заболеваний и травм, 1990–2015 гг.: систематический анализ в рамках исследования глобального бремени болезней 2015 года

Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

Kazem Rahimi, Norberto Perico, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Amitava Banerjee, Christopher J L Murray, Cristiana Abbafati, Kaja Abbas, Foad Abd-Allah, Laith J. Abu‐Raddad, Hamid Ahmadieh, Rufus Akinyemi, Ziyad Al‐Aly, Khurshid Alam, François Alla, Peter Allebeck, Khalid A Altirkawi, Johan Ärnlöv, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Alaa Badawi, Suzanne Barker‐Collo, Till Bärnighausen, Lope H. Barrero, Ettore Beghi, Isabela M. Benseñor, Neeraj Bhala, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Boris Bikbov, Soufiane Boufous, Nicholas J. K. Breitborde, Zahid A Butt, Ismael Campos‐Nonato, Rosario Cárdenas, Juan Jesús Carrero, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Fiona Charlson, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Hanne Christensen, Liliana G Ciobanu, Massimo Círillo, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, Paul I. Dargan, José das Neves, Diego De Leo, Louisa Degenhardt, Robert P Dellavalle, Tim Driscoll, Bruce Bartholow Duncan, Iqbal Elyazar, Holly E Erskine, Kara Estep, André Faro, Farshad Farzadfar, Valery L. Feigin, Seyed‐Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Alize J Ferrari, Florian Fischer, Richard C. Franklin, Peter W. Gething, Giorgia Giussani, Sameer Vali Gopalani, Felix Greaves, Yuming Guo, Tarun Gupta, Randah R Hamadeh, Samer Hamidi, Graeme J. Hankey, Josep María Haro, Rasmus Havmoeller, Simon I Hay, Hans W. Hoek, Hung Chak Ho, Chantal Huynh, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Mihajlo Jakovljević, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Catherine O. Johnson, Jost B. Jonas, Zubair Kabir, André Karch, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Laura Kemmer, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Christian Kieling, Yun Jin Kim, Luke D. Knibbs, Ann Kristin Knudsen, Jacek A Kopec, Parvaiz A Koul, Ai Koyanagi, Barthélémy Kuate Defo, G Anil Kumar, Ratilal Lalloo, Tea Lallukka, Sinéad Langan, Anders Larsson, Janni Leung, Miriam Levi, Shiwei Liu, Yang Liu, Justin Lo, Paulo A. Lotufo, Azeem Majeed, Reza Malekzadeh, John J. McGrath, Martin McKee, Ziad A. Memish, Walter Mendoza, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J Meretoja, Ted R. Miller, Edward J Mills, Shafiu Mohammed, Ali H. Mokdad, Lorenzo Monasta, Meghan Mooney, Maziar Moradi‐Lakeh, Lídia Morawska, Ulrich Müeller, Erin C Mullany, Gabriele Nagel, Vinay Nangia, Bo Norrving, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, In‐Hwan Oh, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, Alberto Ortíz, P A Mahesh, Scott B. Patten, George Patton, David M. Pereira, Konrad Pesudovs, Michael Phillips, Dietrich Plaß, Suzanne Polinder, Farshad Pourmalek, Amir Radfar, Puja C Rao, Marissa B Reitsma, Serge Resnikoff, Luca Ronfani, Gholamreza Roshandel, Gregory A. Roth, Dietrich Rothenbacher, Rajesh Sagar, Joshua A. Salomon, Itamar S Santos, João Vasco Santos, Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez, Benn Sartorius, María Inês Schmidt, David C. Schwebel, Sadaf G Sepanlou, Amira Shaheen, Kenji Shibuya, Min‐Jeong Shin, Rahman Shiri, Inga Dóra Sigfúsdóttir, Reed J D Sorensen, Joan B. Soriano, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Jeffrey D Stanaway, Dan J. Stein, Caitlyn Steiner, Rafael Tabarés‐Seisdedos, Jukka Takala, George D. Thurston, Marcello Tonelli, Roman Topór-Mądry, Fotis Topouzis, Bach Xuan Tran, Stefanos Tyrovolas, Tommi Vasankari, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Francesco Saverio Violante, Vasily Vlassov, Theo Vos, Robert G Weintraub, Andrea Werdecker, Ronny Westerman, Harvey Whiteford, Charles Wolfe, Gelin Xu, Yuichiro Yano, Paul Yip, Naohiro Yonemoto, Mustafa Z Younis, Chuanhua Yu, Maigeng Zhou, Stephen S Lim, Timothy J. Steiner, Lars Jacob Stovner, Liana C. Del Gobbo, Elisabete Weiderpass, Patrick John Sur, Leslie Cornaby, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Umar Bacha, Eduardo Bernabé, Sibhatu Biadgilign, Stan Biryukov, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Carla Sofia e Sá Farinha, Maryam S. Farvid, João Carlos Fernandes, Mohammad H. Forouzanfar, Johanna M. Geleijnse, S Harikrishnan, Masako Horino, Amir Kasaeian, Yousef Khader, Fakher Rahim, Young‐Ho Khang, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Rafael Lozano, Yohannes Adama Melaku, Mojde Mirarefin, Mostafa Qorbani, Rajesh Kumar, Juan Sanabria, Andrew Thorne‐Lyman, Amanda G. Thrift, Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja, Olalekan A. Uthman, Denis Xavier, Dorairaj Prabhakaran, Marie Ng, Tom Fleming, Nicholas Graetz, Niveen M. E. Abu-Rmeileh, Zewdie Aderaw Alemu, Raghib Ali, Nelson Alvis‐Guzmán, Walid Ammar, Derrick Bennett, Jed D Blore, Jung‐Chen Chang, Rajiv Chowdhury, Adrian Davis, Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne, Eric L. Ding, Atsushi Goto, Sun Ha Jee, Daniel Kim, Soewarta Kosen, Gene F. Kwan, Li Y, Xiaofeng Liang, Giancarlo Logroscino, George A. Mensah, Mohsen Naghavi, Aliya Naheed, Muhammad Imran Nisar, Takayoshi Ohkubo, Ivy Shiue, Jasvinder A. Singh, Vegard Skirbekk, Bryan L. Sykes, Seok‐Jun Yoon, Alan D López, Hugh R. Taylor, Janet L Leasher, Richard White, John J. Huang, Burcu Küçük Biçer, Vafa Rahimi‐Movaghar, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Miltiadis K. Tsilimbaris, Mehdi Yaseri, Jordan L. Fox, Belinda J. Gabbe, María Dolores Sánchez-Niño, Arnav Agarwal, Niranjan Kissoon, Donald S. Shepard, Michael Brainin, Emilie Agardh, Joseph Frostad, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Haidong Kan, Zanfina Ademi, Christine A. Allen, Megha Arora, Ryan M Barber, Alexandria Brown, Austin Carter, Daniel Casey, Alan Z Chen, Megan Coggeshall, Daniel Dicker, Tina Dilegge, Christina Fitzmaurice, Nancy Fullman, Ellen M Goldberg, Juanita A. Haagsma, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Toana Kawashima, Yohannes Kinfu, Hmwe Hmwe Kyu, Laurie B. Marczak, Grant Nguyen, Elaine O. Nsoesie, Helen Elizabeth Olsen, David M. Pigott, Christine Pinho, Zane Rankin, Nikolas Reinig, Logan Sandar, A. Gordon Smith, Stephanie Teeple, Bernadette A Thomas, Christopher Troeger, Joseph A. Wagner, Haidong Wang, Valentine Wanga, Leo Zoeckler, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir, Biju Abraham, Ibrahim Abubakar, Ilana N. Ackerman, Akindele O. Adebiyi, Arsène Kouablan Adou, Kossivi Agbélénko Afanvi, Ali Kiadaliri, Oluremi N Ajala, Nadia Akseer, Noore Alam, Saleh Fahed Aldhahri, Miguel Angel Alegretti, Lily Alexander, Samia Alhabib, Ala’a Alkerwi, Rajaa Al‐Raddadi, Ubai Alsharif, Azmeraw T. Amare, Alemayehu Amberbir, Heresh Amini, Stephen M. Amrock, Hjalte Holm Andersen, Gregory M. Anderson, Benjamin O. Anderson, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Atsede Fantahun Aregay, Al Artaman, Hamid Asayesh, Reza Assadi, Suleman Atique, Euripide Avokpaho, Ashish Awasthi, Peter Azzopardi, Aleksandra Barać, Lars Barregård, Arindam Basu, Shahrzad Bazargan‐Hejazi, Brent Bell, Michelle L. Bell, Habib Benzian, Adugnaw Berhane, Balem Demtsu Betsu, Addisu Shunu Beyene, Samir Bhatt, Kelly Bienhoff, Donal Bisanzio, Espen Bjertness, Rohan Borschmann, Alexandra Bražinová, Jonathan C. Brown, Rachelle Buchbinder, Geoffrey Buckle, Bianca Calabria, Julio César Campuzano, Hélène Carabin, David O. Carpenter, Jacqueline Castillo Rivas, Ferrán Catalá-López, Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang, Chioma Ezinne Chibueze, Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa, Devasahayam Jesudas Christopher, Matthew M Coates, Samantha Colquhoun, Cyrus Cooper, Monica Cortinovis, John A. Crump, Solomon Abrha Damtew, Farah Daoud, Gail Davey, Kebede Deribe, Amare Deribew, Sarah Derrett, Don C. Des Jarlais, Preet K. Dhillon, Cèsar Díaz‐Torné, Leilei Duan, Manisha Dubey, Hedyeh Ebrahimi, Richard G. Ellenbogen, Matthias Endres, Aman Yesuf Endries, Sergey Petrovich Ermakov, Babak Eshrati, Talha Farid, David T. Felson, Jefferson Gomes Fernandes, Joseph R A Fitchett, Kyle J Foreman, F. Gerry R. Fowkes, Joseph Friedman, Thomas Fürst, Neal D. Futran, Parthasarathi Ganguly, Fortuné Gbètoho Gankpé, Teshome Gebre, Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot, Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin, Bradford D. Gessner, Katherine B. Gibney, Ibrahim Ginawi, Ababi Zergaw Giref, Maurice Giroud, Melkamu Dedefo Gishu, Elizabeth Glaser, William Godwin, Hector Gómez‐Dantés, Philimon Gona, Amador Goodridge, Carolyn Gotay, Hebe Gouda, Rebecca Grainger, Françis Guillemin, Rahul Gupta, Vipin Gupta, Reyna Alma Gutiérrez, Demewoz Haile, Alemayehu Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Yara A. Halasa, Mouhanad Hammami, Jamie Hancock, Alexis J. Handal, Yuantao Hao, Hilda L Harb, Roderick J. Hay, Ileana Heredia-Pi, Pouria Heydarpour, Nobuyuki Horita, Damian G Hoy, Aung Soe Htet, Hsiang Huang, Marissa Iannarone, Kim Moesgaard Iburg, Kaire Innos, Manami Inoue, Veena Iyer, Nader Jahanmehr, Mehdi Javanbakht, Sudha Jayaraman, Achala Upendra Jayatilleke, Paul N. Jensen, Ying Jiang, Tariku Jibat, Aída Jiménez-Corona, Ye Jin, Yogeshwar Kalkonde, Ritul Kamal, Corine Karema, Chanté Karimkhani, Anil Kaul, Norito Kawakami, Andrew H. Kemp, Andre Keren, Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran, Abdur Rahman Khan, Sahil Khera, Tawfik Khoja, Jagdish Khubchandani, Pauline Kim, Cho‐il Kim, Dhaval Kolte, Georgios A. Kotsakis, Michael Kravchenko, Andreas A Kudom, Ernst J. Kuipers, Michael Kutz, Aparna Lal, Hilton Y. Lam, Jennifer O. Lam, Pablo M Lavados, J. Paul Leigh, Ricky Leung, Yongmei Li, Juan Liang, Belinda Lloyd, Warren Lo, Raimundas Lunevičius, Ronan A Lyons, Mark T. Mackay, Mohammed Magdy, Abd El Razek, Mahdi Mahdavi, Marek Majdán, Wagner Marcenes, David Joel Margolis, José Martı́nez-Raga, Felix Masiye, João Massano, Stephen T. McGarvey, Brian J. McMahon, Peter A. Meaney, Alem Mehari, Fabiola Mejía‐Rodríguez, Alemayehu Mekonnen, Peter Memiah, Francis Mhimbira, Anoushka Millear, Philip B. Mitchell, Charles Mock, Alireza Mohammadi, Julio Cesar Montañez Hernandez, Marcella Montico, John Everett Mumford, Michele E Murdoch, Jean B. Nachega, Luigi Naldi, John Newton, Frida Ngalesoni, Quyen Le Nguyen, Patrick Martial Nkamedjie Pete, Joan M. Nolla, Ole Frithjof Norheim, Rosana Norman, Bruno Pereira Nunes, Pedro R. Olivares, Majdi Osman, Erika Ota, Eun‐Kee Park, Mahboubeh Parsaeian, Valéria Maria de Azeredo Passos, Ángel Paternina‐Caicedo, Rogelio Pérez‐Padilla, Max Petzold, Frédéric B. Piel, Julian David Pillay, Farhad Pishgar, James A Platts-Mills, Constance D Pond, Svetlana Popova, Richie Poulton, Noela M Prasad, Rynaz H S Rabiee, Anwar Rafay, Mahfuzar Rahman, Sajjad Ur Rahman, Saša Rajšić, Usha Ram, Amany Refaat, Alex Reynolds, Antônio Luiz Pinho Ribeiro, María Jesús Ríos-Blancas, Hirbo Shore Roba, David Rojas‐Rueda, Ambuj Roy, Ramesh Sahathevan, Maheswar Satpathy, Miloje Savic, Monika Sawhney, Michael P Schaub, Ione Jayce Ceola Schneider, Ben Schöttker, James G. Scott, Soraya Seedat, Edson Serván‐Mori, Katya Anne Shackelford, Masood Ali Shaikh, Rajesh Sharma, Upasana Sharma, Jiabin Shen, Kevin N. Sheth, Mark G. Shrime, Diego Augusto Santos Silva, Dayane Gabriele Alves Silveira, Abhishek Singh, Om Prakash Singh, Prashant Kumar Singh, Anna Sivonda, Jens Christoffer Skogen, Amber Sligar, Karen Sliwa, Michael Soljak, Kjetil Søreide, Luciano A. Sposato, Vasiliki Stathopoulou, Nicholas Steel, S. Steinke, Lars Jacob Stovner, Konstantinos Stroumpoulis, Bruno Sunguya, Soumya Swaminathan, Cassandra Szoeke, Nikhil Tandon, David Tanné, Mohammad Tavakkoli, Bineyam Taye, Braden Te Ao, Bemnet Tedla, Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi, A. J. Thomson, Ruoyan Tobe-Gai, Thomas Truelsen, Zacharie Tsala Dimbuene, Abera Kenay Tura, E. Murat Tuzcu, Eduardo A. Undurraga, Chigozie Jesse Uneke, Coen H. van Gool, Yuri Y Varakin, Raj Kumar Verma, Sergey Konstantinovitch Vladimirov, Gregory R. Wagner, Stephen G. Waller, Tianpei Hong, David Watkins, Scott Weichenthal, Hywel C Williams, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Sungho Won, Rachel Woodbrook, Mamo Wubshet, Ajit Kumar Yadav, Lijing L. Yan, Pengpeng Ye, Henock G. Yebyo, Zoubida Zaidi, Hajo Zeeb, Sanjay Zodpey, Liesl Zühlke, Rajeev Gupta, Katharine J Looker, Linhong Wang, Ibrahim A Khalil, Stein Emil Vollset, Angel J Paternina Caicedo, Walid Ammar

2016-10-01

SCID: 54.1/t5jrbkwj Discuss with AI

DisMod-MR 2.1Исследование глобального бремени болезнейсоциодемографический индексзаболеваемость и распространённостьгоды жизни с инвалидностью

Abstract (AI)

ОБОСНОВАНИЕ: Нефатальные последствия заболеваний и травм всё в большей степени ограничивают способность населения мира жить в полном здравии; эта тенденция в значительной мере обусловлена эпидемиологическим переходом во многих странах — от причин, затрагивающих детей, к неинфекционным заболеваниям (НИЗ), более распространённым среди взрослых. В рамках Исследования глобального бремени болезней, травм и факторов риска 2015 года (GBD 2015) мы оценили заболеваемость, распространённость и годы жизни с инвалидностью для заболеваний и травм на глобальном, региональном и национальном уровнях за период с 1990 по 2015 год. МЕТОДЫ: Мы оценили заболеваемость и распространённость в зависимости от возраста, пола, причины, года и географического положения с использованием широкого набора обновлённых и стандартизированных аналитических процедур. По сравнению с GBD 2013 были добавлены новые источники данных, обновлены обзоры литературы по 85 причинам, а также выявлены и включены дополнительные исследования, опубликованные до ноября 2015 года, что позволило расширить базу данных, использованную для оценки нефатальных исходов, до 60 900 уникальных источников данных. Распространённость и заболеваемость по причинам и последствиям заболеваний определяли с помощью DisMod-MR 2.1 — усовершенствованной версии байесовского инструмента метарегрессии DisMod-MR, впервые разработанного для GBD 2010 и GBD 2013. Для некоторых причин мы применяли альтернативные стратегии моделирования, когда сложность заболевания не соответствовала возможностям DisMod-MR 2.1 или когда заболеваемость и распространённость требовалось определить по другим данным. Для GBD 2015 мы создали сводный показатель, объединяющий показатели дохода на душу населения, уровня образования и рождаемости (социодемографический индекс [SDI]), и использовали его для сравнения наблюдаемых закономерностей потерь здоровья с ожидаемыми закономерностями для стран или территорий с аналогичными значениями SDI. РЕЗУЛЬТАТЫ: Мы получили 9,3 млрд оценок для различных сочетаний распространённости, заболеваемости и YLD по причинам, последствиям заболеваний и нарушениям в разрезе возраста, пола, географического положения и года. В 2015 году две причины имели острую заболеваемость, превышавшую 1 млрд случаев: инфекции верхних дыхательных путей (1...

Key Findings

В исследовании GBD 2015 оценены заболеваемость, распространённость и годы жизни с инвалидностью для 310 заболеваний и травм на глобальном, региональном и национальном уровнях за 1990–2015 годы.

Для оценки распространённости и заболеваемости преимущественно применялся улучшенный байесовский инструмент метарегрессии DisMod-MR 2.1, дополненный альтернативными моделями для сложных состояний.

Анализ сформировал 9,3 млрд оценок по причинам, последствиям заболеваний, нарушениям, возрастным группам, полу, географиям и годам.

База данных была расширена до 60 900 уникальных источников за счёт новых данных, обновлённых обзоров по 85 причинам и исследований, опубликованных до ноября 2015 года.

Введён социально-демографический индекс, объединяющий доход, образование и рождаемость, для сравнения наблюдаемого ущерба здоровью с ожидаемыми уровнями в территориях с сопоставимым социально-демографическим развитием.

Research Object

Глобальная, региональная и национальная нагрузка по 310 заболеваниям и травмам (заболеваемость, распространённость и годы жизни с инвалидностью) за 1990–2015 гг.

Research Subject

Заболеваемость, распространённость и годы жизни с инвалидностью в разрезе возраста, пола, причины, года и географического уровня

Publication Details

DOI

10.1016/s0140-6736(16)31678-6

Publication Date

2016-10-01

Journal

Publisher

ISSN

Open access PDF

http://www.thelancet.com/article/S0140673616316…

Access Type

Author Information

Authors

Kazem Rahimi

Norberto Perico

Giuseppe Remuzzi

Amitava Banerjee

Christopher J L Murray

Cristiana Abbafati

Kaja Abbas

Foad Abd-Allah

Laith J. Abu‐Raddad

Hamid Ahmadieh

Rufus Akinyemi

Ziyad Al‐Aly

Khurshid Alam

François Alla

Peter Allebeck

Khalid A Altirkawi

Johan Ärnlöv

Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla

Alaa Badawi

Suzanne Barker‐Collo

Till Bärnighausen

Lope H. Barrero

Ettore Beghi

Isabela M. Benseñor

Neeraj Bhala

Zulfiqar A Bhutta

Boris Bikbov

Soufiane Boufous

Nicholas J. K. Breitborde

Zahid A Butt

Ismael Campos‐Nonato

Rosario Cárdenas

Juan Jesús Carrero

Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela

Fiona Charlson

Jee-Young Jasmine Choi

Hanne Christensen

Liliana G Ciobanu

Massimo Círillo

Lalit Dandona

Rakhi Dandona

Paul I. Dargan

José das Neves

Diego De Leo

Louisa Degenhardt

Robert P Dellavalle

Tim Driscoll

Bruce Bartholow Duncan

Iqbal Elyazar

Holly E Erskine

Kara Estep

André Faro

Farshad Farzadfar

Valery L. Feigin

Seyed‐Mohammad Fereshtehnejad

Alize J Ferrari

Florian Fischer

Richard C. Franklin

Peter W. Gething

Giorgia Giussani

Sameer Vali Gopalani

Felix Greaves

Yuming Guo

Tarun Gupta

Randah R Hamadeh

Samer Hamidi

Graeme J. Hankey

Josep María Haro

Rasmus Havmoeller

Simon I Hay

Hans W. Hoek

Hung Chak Ho

Chantal Huynh

Kathryn H. Jacobsen

Mihajlo Jakovljević

Panniyammakal Jeemon

Catherine O. Johnson

Jost B. Jonas

Zubair Kabir

André Karch

Peter Njenga Keiyoro

Laura Kemmer

Ejaz Ahmad Khan

Christian Kieling

Yun Jin Kim

Luke D. Knibbs

Ann Kristin Knudsen

Jacek A Kopec

Parvaiz A Koul

Ai Koyanagi

Barthélémy Kuate Defo

G Anil Kumar

Ratilal Lalloo

Tea Lallukka

Sinéad Langan

Anders Larsson

Janni Leung

Miriam Levi

Shiwei Liu

Yang Liu

Justin Lo

Paulo A. Lotufo

Azeem Majeed

Reza Malekzadeh

John J. McGrath

Martin McKee

Ziad A. Memish

Walter Mendoza

Atte Meretoja

Tuomo J Meretoja

Ted R. Miller

Edward J Mills

Shafiu Mohammed

Ali H. Mokdad

Lorenzo Monasta

Meghan Mooney

Maziar Moradi‐Lakeh

Lídia Morawska

Ulrich Müeller

Erin C Mullany

Gabriele Nagel

Vinay Nangia

Bo Norrving

Felix Akpojene Ogbo

In‐Hwan Oh

Bolajoko O. Olusanya

Jacob Olusegun Olusanya

Alberto Ortíz

P A Mahesh

Scott B. Patten

George Patton

David M. Pereira

Konrad Pesudovs

Michael Phillips

Dietrich Plaß

Suzanne Polinder

Farshad Pourmalek

Amir Radfar

Puja C Rao

Marissa B Reitsma

Serge Resnikoff

Luca Ronfani

Gholamreza Roshandel

Gregory A. Roth

Dietrich Rothenbacher

Rajesh Sagar

Joshua A. Salomon

Itamar S Santos

João Vasco Santos

Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez

Benn Sartorius

María Inês Schmidt

David C. Schwebel

Sadaf G Sepanlou

Amira Shaheen

Kenji Shibuya

Min‐Jeong Shin

Rahman Shiri

Inga Dóra Sigfúsdóttir

Reed J D Sorensen

Joan B. Soriano

Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy

Jeffrey D Stanaway

Dan J. Stein

Caitlyn Steiner

Rafael Tabarés‐Seisdedos

Jukka Takala

George D. Thurston

Marcello Tonelli

Roman Topór-Mądry

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Bach Xuan Tran

Stefanos Tyrovolas

Tommi Vasankari

Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian

Francesco Saverio Violante

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Robert G Weintraub

Andrea Werdecker

Ronny Westerman

Harvey Whiteford

Charles Wolfe

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Alan D López

Hugh R. Taylor

Janet L Leasher

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Reyna Alma Gutiérrez

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Alemayehu Hailu

Gessessew Bugssa Hailu

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Mouhanad Hammami

Jamie Hancock

Alexis J. Handal

Yuantao Hao

Hilda L Harb

Roderick J. Hay

Ileana Heredia-Pi

Pouria Heydarpour

Nobuyuki Horita

Damian G Hoy

Aung Soe Htet

Hsiang Huang

Marissa Iannarone

Kim Moesgaard Iburg

Kaire Innos

Manami Inoue

Veena Iyer

Nader Jahanmehr

Mehdi Javanbakht

Sudha Jayaraman

Achala Upendra Jayatilleke

Paul N. Jensen

Ying Jiang

Tariku Jibat

Aída Jiménez-Corona

Ye Jin

Yogeshwar Kalkonde

Ritul Kamal

Corine Karema

Chanté Karimkhani

Anil Kaul

Norito Kawakami

Andrew H. Kemp

Andre Keren

Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran

Abdur Rahman Khan

Sahil Khera

Tawfik Khoja

Jagdish Khubchandani

Pauline Kim

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Dhaval Kolte

Georgios A. Kotsakis

Michael Kravchenko

Andreas A Kudom

Ernst J. Kuipers

Michael Kutz

Aparna Lal

Hilton Y. Lam

Jennifer O. Lam

Pablo M Lavados

J. Paul Leigh

Ricky Leung

Yongmei Li

Juan Liang

Belinda Lloyd

Warren Lo

Raimundas Lunevičius

Ronan A Lyons

Mark T. Mackay

Mohammed Magdy

Abd El Razek

Mahdi Mahdavi

Marek Majdán

Wagner Marcenes

David Joel Margolis

José Martı́nez-Raga

Felix Masiye

João Massano

Stephen T. McGarvey

Brian J. McMahon

Peter A. Meaney

Alem Mehari

Fabiola Mejía‐Rodríguez

Alemayehu Mekonnen

Peter Memiah

Francis Mhimbira

Anoushka Millear

Philip B. Mitchell

Charles Mock

Alireza Mohammadi

Julio Cesar Montañez Hernandez

Marcella Montico

John Everett Mumford

Michele E Murdoch

Jean B. Nachega

Luigi Naldi

John Newton

Frida Ngalesoni

Quyen Le Nguyen

Patrick Martial Nkamedjie Pete

Joan M. Nolla

Ole Frithjof Norheim

Rosana Norman

Bruno Pereira Nunes

Pedro R. Olivares

Majdi Osman

Erika Ota

Eun‐Kee Park

Mahboubeh Parsaeian

Valéria Maria de Azeredo Passos

Ángel Paternina‐Caicedo

Rogelio Pérez‐Padilla

Max Petzold

Frédéric B. Piel

Julian David Pillay

Farhad Pishgar

James A Platts-Mills

Constance D Pond

Svetlana Popova

Richie Poulton

Noela M Prasad

Rynaz H S Rabiee

Anwar Rafay

Mahfuzar Rahman

Sajjad Ur Rahman

Saša Rajšić

Usha Ram

Amany Refaat

Alex Reynolds

Antônio Luiz Pinho Ribeiro

María Jesús Ríos-Blancas

Hirbo Shore Roba

David Rojas‐Rueda

Ambuj Roy

Ramesh Sahathevan

Maheswar Satpathy

Miloje Savic

Monika Sawhney

Michael P Schaub

Ione Jayce Ceola Schneider

Ben Schöttker

James G. Scott

Soraya Seedat

Edson Serván‐Mori

Katya Anne Shackelford

Masood Ali Shaikh

Rajesh Sharma

Upasana Sharma

Jiabin Shen

Kevin N. Sheth

Mark G. Shrime

Diego Augusto Santos Silva

Dayane Gabriele Alves Silveira

Abhishek Singh

Om Prakash Singh

Prashant Kumar Singh

Anna Sivonda

Jens Christoffer Skogen

Amber Sligar

Karen Sliwa

Michael Soljak

Kjetil Søreide

Luciano A. Sposato

Vasiliki Stathopoulou

Nicholas Steel

S. Steinke

Lars Jacob Stovner

Konstantinos Stroumpoulis

Bruno Sunguya

Soumya Swaminathan

Cassandra Szoeke

Nikhil Tandon

David Tanné

Mohammad Tavakkoli

Bineyam Taye

Braden Te Ao

Bemnet Tedla

Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi

A. J. Thomson

Ruoyan Tobe-Gai

Thomas Truelsen

Zacharie Tsala Dimbuene

Abera Kenay Tura

E. Murat Tuzcu

Eduardo A. Undurraga

Chigozie Jesse Uneke

Coen H. van Gool

Yuri Y Varakin

Raj Kumar Verma

Sergey Konstantinovitch Vladimirov

Gregory R. Wagner

Stephen G. Waller

Tianpei Hong

David Watkins

Scott Weichenthal

Hywel C Williams

Charles Shey Wiysonge

Sungho Won

Rachel Woodbrook

Mamo Wubshet

Ajit Kumar Yadav

Lijing L. Yan

Pengpeng Ye

Henock G. Yebyo

Zoubida Zaidi

Hajo Zeeb

Sanjay Zodpey

Liesl Zühlke

Rajeev Gupta

Katharine J Looker

Linhong Wang

Ibrahim A Khalil

Stein Emil Vollset

Angel J Paternina Caicedo

Walid Ammar

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Глобальная, региональная и национальная сравнительная оценка рисков 79 поведенческих, экологических и профессиональных, а также метаболических факторов или кластеров факторов риска за 1990–2015 годы: систематический анализ для исследования «Глобальное бремя болезней» 2015 года2016

Работы, цитирующие эту статью2

Физическая активность и впервые возникшая депрессия: метаанализ проспективных когортных исследований2018 Глобальная, региональная и национальная сравнительная оценка рисков 79 поведенческих, экологических и профессиональных, а также метаболических факторов или кластеров факторов риска за 1990–2015 годы: систематический анализ для исследования «Глобальное бремя болезней» 2015 года2016