Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
Глобальная, региональная и национальная возрастно-половая смертность и ожидаемая продолжительность жизни, 1950–2017 гг.: систематический анализ для исследования глобального бремени болезней 2017 года
Kazem Rahimi, Norberto Perico, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Ashkan Afshin, Giuseppe Grosso, Amirhossein Sahebkar, Christopher J L Murray, Cristiana Abbafati, Foad Abd-Allah, Ahmed Abdelalim, Ibrahim Abdollahpour, Laith J. Abu‐Raddad, Victor Adekanmbi, Olatunji Adetokunboh, Gina Agarwal, Anurag Agrawal, Mehdi Ahmadi, Hamid Ahmadieh, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Rufus Akinyemi, Tomi Akinyemiju, Fares Alahdab, Ziyad Al‐Aly, Khurshid Alam, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, François Alla, Peter Allebeck, Jordi Alonso, Khalid A Altirkawi, Cătălina Liliana Andrei, Mina Anjomshoa, Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah, Johan Ärnlöv, Marcel Ausloos, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Alaa Badawi, Maciej Banach, Lope H. Barrero, Sanjay Basu, Bernhard T. Baune, Neeraj Bedi, Ettore Beghi, Yannick Béjot, Isabela M. Benseñor, Adam E. Berman, Neeraj Bhala, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Ali Bijani, Boris Bikbov, Muhammad Shahdaat Bin Sayeed, Cristina Bosetti, Soufiane Boufous, Nicholas J. K. Breitborde, Hermann Brenner, Gabrielle B. Britton, Zahid A Butt, Ismael Campos‐Nonato, Rosario Cárdenas, Giulia Carreras, Juan Jesús Carrero, Félix Carvalho, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Franz Castro, Ester Cerin, Odgerel Chimed‐Ochir, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Hanne Christensen, Sheng‐Chia Chung, Flavia Cicuttini, Liliana G Ciobanu, Massimo Círillo, Ewerton Cousin, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, Paul I. Dargan, Ahmad Daryani, Rajat Das Gupta, José das Neves, Dragoş Virgil Daviţoiu, Diego De Leo, Louisa Degenhardt, Robert P Dellavalle, Gebre Teklemariam Demoz, Edgar Denova‐Gutiérrez, Nikolaos Dervenis, Shirin Djalalinia, Tim Driscoll, Bruce Bartholow Duncan, André Rodrigues Durães, David Edvardsson, Iqbal Elyazar, Sharareh Eskandarieh, Alireza Esteghamati, Mohammad Fareed, Andrea Farioli, André Faro, Farshad Farzadfar, Valery L. Feigin, Seyed‐Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Eduarda Fernandes, Irina Filip, Florian Fischer, Luísa Sório Flor, Nataliya A Foigt, Richard C. Franklin, Takeshi Fukumoto, João M. Furtado, Emmanuela Gakidou, Silvano Gallus, Alberto L. García‐Basteiro, Peter W. Gething, Hesam Ghiasvand, Paramjit Gill, Giorgia Giussani, Sameer Vali Gopalani, Alessandra C. Goulart, H. C. Gugnani, Yuming Guo, Nima Hafezi‐Nejad, Arvin Haj‐Mirzaian, Arya Haj‐Mirzaian, Randah R Hamadeh, Samer Hamidi, Graeme J. Hankey, Hamidreza Haririan, Josep María Haro, Hadi Hassankhani, Rasmus Havmoeller, Simon I Hay, Claudiu Herţeliu, Fatemeh Heydarpour, Hans W. Hoek, Praveen Hoogar, Hung Chak Ho, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Mihaela Hostiuc, Sorin Hostiuc, Mohamed Hsaïri, Guoqing Hu, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Usman Iqbal, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Mihajlo Jakovljević, Spencer L James, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Ravi Prakash Jha, Vivekanand Jha, John S. Ji, Jost B. Jonas, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Mikk Jürisson, Zubair Kabir, Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader, André Karch, Getachew Mullu Kassa, Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi, Ali Kazemi Karyani, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Nauman Khalid, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Mona M Khater, Ruth W Kimokoti, Adnan Kısa, Mika Kivimäki, Luke D. Knibbs, Ann Kristin Knudsen, Sonali Kochhar, Jacek A Kopec, Parvaiz A Koul, Ai Koyanagi, Kewal Krishan, Barthélémy Kuate Defo, G Anil Kumar, Ratilal Lalloo, Faris Lami, Sinéad Langan, Jeffrey V. Lazarus, Paul H. Lee, James Leigh, Miriam Levi, Shanshan Li, Lee‐Ling Lim, Shai Linn, Shiwei Liu, Yang Liu, Alan D Lopez, Stefan Lorkowski, Paulo A. Lotufo, Emilie R Maddison, Azeem Majeed, Reza Malekzadeh, Déborah Carvalho Malta, Abdullah Al Mamun, Mohammad Alì Mansournia, Joemer C Maravilla, Francisco Rogerlândio Martins‐Melo, Pallab K Maulik, John J. McGrath, Martin McKee, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Kala M. Mehta, Ziad A. Memish, Walter Mendoza, Seid Tiku Mereta, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J Meretoja, Tomislav Meštrović, Bartosz Miazgowski, Tomasz Miazgowski, Ted R. Miller, GK Mini, Andreea Mirică, Erkin М Мirrakhimov, Babak Moazen, Shafiu Mohammed, Ali H. Mokdad, Mariam Molokhia, Lorenzo Monasta, Ghobad Moradi, Maziar Moradi‐Lakeh, Paula Moraga, Lídia Morawska, Joana Morgado-da-Costa, Shane D. Morrison, Abbas Mosapour, Seyyed Meysam Mousavi, Ulrich Müeller, Satinath Mukhopadhyay, Erin C Mullany, Kamarul Imran Musa, Muthupandian Saravanan, Gabriele Nagel, Mohsen Naghavi, Farid Najafi, Vinay Nangia, Jobert Richie Nansseu, Ionuţ Negoi, Josephine W Ngunjiri, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Molly R Nixon, Shuhei Nomura, Bo Norrving, Jean Jacques Noubiap, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, In‐Hwan Oh, Andrew T Olagunju, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, Sok King Ong, Alberto Ortíz, Stanislav S Otstavnov, Simon Øverland, Mayowa Owolabi, P A Mahesh, Songhomitra Panda‐Jonas, Charles Parry, Scott B. Patten, George Patton, Emmanuel Peprah, David M. Pereira, Konrad Pesudovs, Michael Phillips, Meghdad Pirsaheb, Dietrich Plaß, Suzanne Polinder, Constance Dimity Pond, Maarten J. Postma, Farshad Pourmalek, V. Prakash, Amir Radfar, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Fatemeh Rajati, Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, David Laith Rawaf, Salman Rawaf, Robert C. Reiner, André M. N. Renzaho, Serge Resnikoff, Seyed Mohammad Riahi, Leonardo Roever, Luca Ronfani, Gholamreza Roshandel, Dietrich Rothenbacher, Enrico Rubagotti, Perminder S. Sachdev, Basema Saddik, Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam, Yahya Safari, Sare Safi, Saeid Safiri, Rajesh Sagar, Nasir Salam, Hamideh Salimzadeh, Evanson Zondani Sambala, Abdallah M Samy, Itamar S Santos, João Vasco Santos, Milena M Santric-Milicevic, Nizal Sarrafzadegan, Benn Sartorius, Brijesh Sathian, Thirunavukkarasu Sathish, Sonia Saxena, María Inês Schmidt, Aletta E. Schutte, David C. Schwebel, Falk Schwendicke, Sadaf G Sepanlou, Amira Shaheen, Mehran Shams-Beyranvand, Morteza Shamsizadeh, Kiomars Sharafi, Aziz Sheikh, Kenji Shibuya, Mika Shigematsu, Rahman Shiri, Reza Shirkoohi, Soraya Siabani, Inga Dóra Sigfúsdóttir, Rannveig Sigurvinsdóttir, João Pedro Silva, Moslem Soofi, Joan B. Soriano, Ireneous N Soyiri, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Vinay Srinivasan, Dan J. Stein, Caitlyn Steiner, Mark A. Stokes, Mu’awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Gerhard Sulo, Rafael Tabarés‐Seisdedos, Takahiro Tabuchi, Ken Takahashi, Nuno Taveira, Arash Tehrani‐Banihashemi, Mohamad‐Hani Temsah, Marcello Tonelli, Roman Topór-Mądry, Fotis Topouzis, Anna E Torre, Bach Xuan Tran, Lorainne Tudor Car, Pascual Valdéz, Tommi Vasankari, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Francesco Saverio Violante, Vasily Vlassov, Theo Vos, Yasir Waheed, Yuan‐Pang Wang, Robert G Weintraub, Jordan Weiss, Andrea Werdecker, Ronny Westerman, Harvey Whiteford, Charles Wolfe, Gelin Xu, Yuichiro Yano, Paul Yip, Naohiro Yonemoto, Mustafa Z Younis, Chuanhua Yu, Maigeng Zhou, Stephen S Lim, Leila Jahangiry, Elisabete Weiderpass, Akram Pourshams, Patrick John Sur, Joseph S Salama, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Abebe Zegeye, Mohsen Afarideh, Sutapa Agrawal, Hamid Badali, Eduardo Bernabé, Anh Kim Dang, Meaza Girma Degefa, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Sadaf Esteghamati, Carla Sofia e Sá Farinha, Maryam S. Farvid, João Carlos Fernandes, Johanna M. Geleijnse, Richard F Gillum, S Harikrishnan, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Masako Horino, Farhad Islami, Amir Kasaeian, Yousef Khader, Fakher Rahim, Young‐Ho Khang, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Rafael Lozano, Winfried März, Viswanathan Mohan, Hossein Poustchi, Mostafa Qorbani, Rajesh Kumar, Christian Razo-García, Juan Sanabria, Amanda G. Thrift, Stefanos Tyrovolas, Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja, Irfan Ullah, Olalekan A. Uthman, Tissa Wijeratne, Victor Aboyans, Dorairaj Prabhakaran, Raghib Ali, Nelson Alvis‐Guzmán, Sı́món Barquera, Derrick Bennett, Jung‐Chen Chang, Michael H Criqui, Anand Dayama, Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne, Eric L. Ding, Atsushi Goto, Abdullatif Husseini, Sun Ha Jee, André Pascal Kengne, Daniel Kim, Soewarta Kosen, Li Y, Xiaofeng Liang, Giancarlo Logroscino, George A. Mensah, Aliya Naheed, Muhammad Imran Nisar, Ivy Shiue, Jasvinder A. Singh, Vegard Skirbekk, Bryan L. Sykes, Seok‐Jun Yoon, Rupert Bourne, Sofia Androudi, Elizabeth A. Cromwell, John J. Huang, Burcu Küçük Biçer, Van Charles Lansingh, Vafa Rahimi‐Movaghar, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Nickolas Reinig, Mohammad Ali Sahraian, Mehdi Yaseri, Shouling Wu, Miguel A. Barboza, María Dolores Sánchez-Niño, Nicola Luigi Bragazzi, Leslie T. Cooper, Niranjan Kissoon, Khanh Bao Tran, Qing Lan, Olatunde Aremu, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Geevar Zachariah, Elke Schäeffner, Christine A. Allen, Austin Carter, Daniel Dicker, Nancy Fullman, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Yohannes Kinfu, Grant Nguyen, Elaine O. Nsoesie, David M. Pigott, Arsène Kouablan Adou, Ali Kiadaliri, Ala’a Alkerwi, Rajaa Al‐Raddadi, Ubai Alsharif, Azmeraw T. Amare, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Al Artaman, Hamid Asayesh, Reza Assadi, Suleman Atique, Euripide Avokpaho, Ashish Awasthi, Peter Azzopardi, Aleksandra Barać, Arindam Basu, Shahrzad Bazargan‐Hejazi, Michelle L. Bell, Adugnaw Berhane, Samir Bhatt, Donal Bisanzio, Alexandra Bražinová, Julio César Campuzano, Jacqueline Castillo Rivas, Ferrán Catalá-López, Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang, Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa, Cyrus Cooper, Monica Cortinovis, John A. Crump, Kebede Deribe, Don C. Des Jarlais, Manisha Dubey, Hedyeh Ebrahimi, Aman Yesuf Endries, Sergey Petrovich Ermakov, Babak Eshrati, Talha Farid, Kyle J Foreman, Thomas Fürst, Neal D. Futran, Fortuné Gbètoho Gankpé, Teshome Gebre, Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot, Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin, Bradford D. Gessner, Hector Gómez‐Dantés, Philimon Gona, Amador Goodridge, Rahul Gupta, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Alexis J. Handal, Hilda L Harb, Roderick J. Hay, Ileana Heredia-Pi, Pouria Heydarpour, Damian G Hoy, Aung Soe Htet, Kim Moesgaard Iburg, Nader Jahanmehr, Mehdi Javanbakht, Sudha Jayaraman, Achala Upendra Jayatilleke, Corine Karema, Anil Kaul, Norito Kawakami, Andre Keren, Jagdish Khubchandani, Cho‐il Kim, Michael Kravchenko, Andreas A Kudom, Ernst J. Kuipers, Michael Kutz, Hilton Y. Lam, Pablo M Lavados, Juan Liang, Raimundas Lunevičius, Ronan A Lyons, Mark T. Mackay, Marek Majdán, Wagner Marcenes, José Martı́nez-Raga, Felix Masiye, Peter Memiah, Jean B. Nachega, Frida Ngalesoni, Ole Frithjof Norheim, Pedro R. Olivares, Erika Ota, Eun‐Kee Park, Max Petzold, Julian David Pillay, Farhad Pishgar, Svetlana Popova, Anwar Rafay, Mahfuzar Rahman, Sajjad Ur Rahman, Saša Rajšić, Usha Ram, Antônio Luiz Pinho Ribeiro, María Jesús Ríos-Blancas, Maheswar Satpathy, Miloje Savic, Monika Sawhney, Ione Jayce Ceola Schneider, Ben Schöttker, James G. Scott, Edson Serván‐Mori, Katya Anne Shackelford, Masood Ali Shaikh, Rajesh Sharma, Kevin N. Sheth, Mark G. Shrime, Diego Augusto Santos Silva, Dayane Gabriele Alves Silveira, Karen Sliwa, Luciano A. Sposato, Vasiliki Stathopoulou, Nicholas Steel, Bruno Sunguya, Cassandra Szoeke, Nikhil Tandon, Mohammad Tavakkoli, Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi, Ruoyan Tobe-Gai, E. Murat Tuzcu, Sergey Konstantinovitch Vladimirov, Gregory R. Wagner, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Lijing L. Yan, Pengpeng Ye, Zoubida Zaidi, Hajo Zeeb, Sanjay Zodpey, Liesl Zühlke, Hossein Ansari, Tesfay Mehari Atey, Leticia Ávila‐Burgos, Kairat Davletov, Peter J. Hotez, Abdullah T Khoja, Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek, Mohsen Mazidi, Kidanu Gebremariam Meles, Haftay Berhane Mezgebe, Anne Elise Eggen, Muthiah Vaduganathan, Mehdi Sayyah, Sarah Charlotte Johnson, Matthew Cunningham, Mahmoud Yousefifard, Behzad Heibati, Barbora de Courten, Xueying Zhang, Mari Carmen Gómez‐Cabrera, Sudhir K. Jain, Jemal Abdela, Haftom Niguse Abraha, Mina G Adib, Yohanes Ayele, Abate Bekele Belachew, Belete Biadgo, Yazan Chaiah, Daniel Obadare Fijabi, Abadi Kahsu Gebre, Afewerki Gebremeskel Tsadik, Kebede Embaye Gezae, Maryam Ghasemi‐Kasman, Tekleberhan B Hagos, Tesfaye Kassa, Yirga Legesse Nirayo, Tesfa Mekonen, Hagazi Gebre Meles, Getnet Mengistu, Ghulam Mustafa, Long Hoang Nguyen, Tinuke O Olagunju, Hosein Safari, Shahabeddin Sarvi, Mehdi Sharif, Omar Temsah, Miguel Tortajada‐Girbés, Andrea Sylvia Winkler, Ebrahim M Yimer, Amani Nidhal Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine Aichour, Sait Mentes Birlik, Abdulaal Chitheer, E. Ray Dorsey, Vladimir Hachinski, Misgan Legesse Liben, LG Mantovani, Suresh Mehata, Ilais Moreno Velásquez, Trang Huyen Nguyen, Dina Nur Anggraini Ningrum, Jeyaraj Pandian, Annemarei Ranta, Mohammad Sadegh Rezai, Raad Shakir, Traolach Brugha, Niveen ME Abu-Rmeileh, José Carmelo Adsuar, Alicia V Aleman, Animut Alebel, Getiye Dejenu Kibret, Fasil Wagnew, Marcel Yotebieng, Maria Albertina Santiago Rego, Susan Hutfless, Margaret Kosek, Tasha Murphy, Ayman Al‐Eyadhy, Hedayat Abbastabar, Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji, Masoud Behzadifar, Tone Bjørge, Fernando de la Hoz, Meghnath Dhimal, Ricardo Santiago Gomez, Gulfaraz Khan, Katarzyna Kissimova‐Skarbek, Muhammed Magdy Abd El Razek, Ravi Mehrotra, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, Adrian Pană, Mario Šekerija, Nihal Thomas, Marcos Roberto Tovani‐Palone, Christl A. Donnelly, Heidi J. Larson, Yaw Ampem Amoako, Eyal Oren, Jun She, Zerihun Menlkalew Zenebe, Oladimeji Adebayo, Thomas Truelsen, Mehran Alijanzadeh, Sachin Atre, Aminu K. Bello, Gregory J Bertolacci, Oliver J. Brady, Reinhard Busse, Ken Lee Chin, Sara Conti, Paolo Angelo Cortesi, Christopher S. Crowe, Carla Fornari, Amiran Gamkrelidze, Srinivas Goli, Bárbara Niegia Garcia de Goulart, Ayman Grada, André Luiz Sena Guimarães, Juanita A. Haagsma, Delia Hendrie, Nathaniel J Henry, Michael K. Hole, Maia Kereselidze, Morteza Abdullatif Khafaie, Young‐Eun Kim, Tufa Kolola, Manasi Kumar, Zohra S Lassi, Tim Lucas, Ralph Maddison, Fabiana Madotto, Benjamin B. Massenburg, Awoke Temesgen Misganaw, Noushin Mohammadifard, Ruxandra Irina Negoi, Abhijit Pakhare, Alexandre C. Pereira, Alireza Rafiei, Afarin Rahimi‐Movaghar, Davide Rasella, Stephen R. Robinson, Inbal Salz, Agus Sudaryanto, Dillon O Sylte, Santosh Kumar Tadakamadla, Santosh Varughese, Daniel J. Weiss, Jamal A Yearwood, Sojib Bin Zaman, Christopher J L Murray, Sheila Cristina Ouriques Martins, PN Sylaja, Mohamed Hegazy, Bruno Ramos Nascimento, Badr Hasan Sobaih, Kia Vosoughi, Maryam Mohammadi‐Khanaposhtani, Solomón Mequanente Abay, Nicole Davis Weaver, Seyyed Shamsadin Athari, Berihun Assefa Dachew, Georgy Lebedev, Chris Lonsdale, Srinivas Murthy, Smita Pakhalé, Natasha Azzopardi‐Muscat, Kai Zhang, Sharvari Shukla, D. Alex Quistberg, Muhammad Shahzeb Khan, Charles R. Newton, Neil Pearce, Rakesh Aggarwal, Jeffrey A Towbin, Degu Abate, Nooshin Abbasi, Manfred Accrombessi, Pawan Acharya, Sargis A. Aghayan, Alireza Ahmadi, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Reza Alizadeh‐Navaei, Nahla Anber, Megbaru Debalkie Animut, Mustafa Geleto Ansha, Zerihun Ataro, Rakesh Ayer, Amrit Banstola, Yihalem Abebe Belay, Robert S. Bernstein, Mircea Beuran, Tina Beyranvand, Suraj Bhattarai, Nigus Bililign, Luísa Campos Caldeira Brant, Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado, Jorge Cano, Hsing‐Yi Chang, Aparajita Chattopadhyay, Rafael Moreira Claro, Daniel Collado‐Mateo, Abel Fekadu Dadi, Tamirat Tesfaye Dasa, Jan‐Walter De Neve, Selina Deiparine, Getenet Dessie, Subhojit Dey, David Teye Doku, Kerrie Doyle, Eleonora Dubljanin, Eyasu Ejeta Duken, Soheil Ebrahimpour, Charbel El Bcheraoui, Ziad El‐Khatib, Ahmadali Enayati, Benjamin Er, Hamed Fakhim, Mahbobeh Faramarzi, Farzaneh Farhadi, Netsanet Fentahun, Garumma Tolu Feyissa, Tahvi Frank, Tilayie Feto Gelano, Ricard Gènova-Maleras, Khalil Ghasemi Falavarjani, Mamata Ghimire, Aloke Gopal Ghoshal, Tiffany K Gill, Tanush Gupta, Bishal Gyawali, Mehedi Hasan, Akbar Hedayatizadeh‐Omran, Andualem Henok, Sousan Heydarpour, Desalegn Tsegaw Hibstu, Enayatollah Homaie Rad, Chad Ikeda, Suresh Jungari, Rajendra Kadel, Amaha Kahsay, Manoochehr Karami, Narges Karimi, Grant Rodgers Kemp, Alireza Khajavi, Muhammad Ali Khan, Ardeshir Khosravi, Mohammad Hossein Khosravi, Sheetal D Lad, Alessandra Lafranconi, Arman Latifi, Rakesh Lodha, Stefan Ma, Erlyn Rachelle King Macarayan, Dhaval P Maghavani, Reza Majdzadeh, Ana-Laura Manda, Chabila Christopher Mapoma, Melvin Barrientos Marzan, Tivani P. Mashamba-Thompson, Varshil Mehta, Addisu Melese, Mulugeta Melku, Desalegn Tadese Mengistu, Mousa Mohammadnia‐Afrouzi, Mohammed A. Mohammed, Mehdi Moradinazar, Marilita M. Moschos, Achenef Asmamaw Muche, Kindie Fentahun Muchie, Kate Muller, Manoj Murhekar, Jonah Musa, Azin Nahvijou, Gurudatta Naik, Nahid Neamati, Subas Neupane, Ha Nguyen, Huong Thanh Nguyen, Nomonde Nolutshungu, Mehdi Noroozi, Hamid Reza Nouri, Malihe Nourollahpour Shiadeh, Mohammad Reza Nowroozi, Peter S. Nyasulu, Richard Ofori‐Asenso, Olanrewaju Oladimeji, Rosana Pacella, Shanti Patel, Ajay Patle, Swayam Prakash, Prabhat Ranjan, Satar Rezaei, Ali Rostami, Ehsan Sadeghi, Roya Safari‐Faramani, Mahdi Safdarian, Haniye Sadat Sajadi, Yahya Salimi, Bruno Piassi Sâo José, Mayank Sardana, Abdur Razzaque Sarker, Arundhati R Sawant, Hosein Shabaninejad, Azadeh Shafieesabet, MohammadBagher Shamsi, Heidar Sharafi, Mahdi Sharif-Alhoseini, Meenakshi Sharma, Peilin Shi, Farhad Shokraneh, Si Si, Tariq Jamal Siddiqi, Narayana Sarma V. Singam, Virendra Singh, Dhirendra Narain Sinha, Adauto Martins Soares Filho, Soheila Sobhani, Ipsita Sutradhar, Segen Gebremeskel Tassew, T. Tekalign, Merhawi Gebremedhin Tekle, Habtamu Temesgen, Mebrahtu Teweldemedhin, Binyam Tilahun, Quyen G. To, Muhammad Usman, Afsane Vaezi, Santos Villafaina, Isidora S Vujcic, Fitsum Weldegebreal, Justyna Widecka, Grant M. A. Wyper, Yasin Jemal Yasin, Alex Yeshaneh, Engida Yisma, Mohammad Zamani, Zohreh Zare, Inbar Zucker, Mohammad Hosein Farzaei, Xiaohong Li, Ayuk Betrand Tambe, Bayu Begashaw Bekele, Mate Car, Miguel Ángel García-Gordillo, Ehimario Igumbor, Zemenu Yohannes Kassa, Habibolah Khazaie, Cheru Tesema Leshargie, Okechukwu S. Ogah, Cesar Reis, Shahab Rezaeian, Jarnail Singh Thakur, Tomohide Yamada, Seifu Kebede, Jun Zhu, Marcus E. Kleber, Alireza Abdi, Alireza Khatony, Rajeev Gupta, Dumessa Edessa, Kedir Teji Roba, Mekonnen Sisay Shiferaw, Nu Thi Truong, Quique Bassat, William A. Petri, Berrak Bora Başara, Dipan Bose, Shifalika Goenka, Sanjay Krishnaswami, John Nelson Opio, Aslam Pervaiz, George Mugambage Ruhago, Selen Begüm Uzun, Gökalp Kadri Yentür, Payman Salamati, Krishna K Aryal, Kavumpurathu Raman Thankappan, Rizwan Kalani, Nadia Akseer, Bereket Yakob, Busisiwe P. Ncama, Teshome Abuka Abebo, Erfan Amini, Solomon Weldegebreal Asgedom, Pushpendra Kumar, Xie Rachel Kulikoff, Naris Silpakit, A. S. Akanda, Charlton Callender, Sarah E. Ray, Molla Abebe, Rufus Adesoji Adedoyin, Mohammad Esmaeil Akbari, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Devasahayam Jesudas Christopher, Christian Lycke Ellingsen, Кетеван Гамбашидзе, Marzieh Katibeh, Dennis Odai Laryea, Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana Murthy, Ana Maria Nogales Vasconcelos, Ramesh Vidavalur, Haftom Temesgen Abebe, Beyene Meressa Adhena, Sayem Ahmed, Ephrem Tsegay Asfaw, Baffour Awuah, Elena A. Varavikova, Omar Abdel‐Rahman, Thomas M Drake, Vinod Scaria, Henok Tadesse Ayele, Avula Laxmaiah, Nikolaos Tsilimparis, Justin R. Ortiz, Madhu Sudhan Atteraya, John E Fuller, Sônia Lansky, Mohammad Reza Salahshoor, Hunter York, Huda Basaleem, Narayan Prasad, Andrea B Feigl, Rajesh Jain, Archie Bleyer, Freddy Sitas, Vladimir I. Starodubov, Vesna Zadnik, Ansariadi Ansariadi, Sanjeev Nair, Taddese Alemu Zerfu, Sanjay Mehendale, Charles Birungi, Dirk Douwes‐Schultz, Mir Sohail Fazeli, Ibrahim A Khalil, Tefera Chane Mekonnen, Anselm Okoro, Basant Kumar Panda, Soheil Saadat, Jayendra Sharma, Girma Temam Shifa, Suryakant Tripathi, Stein Emil Vollset, Alexandra Cucu, Leo G Stewart, Jürgen Rehm, Abayomi Samuel Oyekale, Aklilu Roba Abrham, Ayele Geleto Bali, Srikanth Tripathy, K C Prakash, Pankaj Chaturvedi, Walid Ammar, Yanping Wang, Behzad Karami Matin, Seyed Mostafa Hosseini, Seyed M Karimi, Kidu Gidey Weldegwergs, Tara Ballav Adhikari, Mohammed Akibu, Saba Abraham Belay, Soumyadeeep Bhaumik, Alanur Çavlin, Tamer H. Farag, Ezra Belay, Tuhin Biswas, Aarón Cohen, Alemneh Kabeta Daba, Siddharth Kumar Das, Aditya Prasad Dash, Tizta T Degfie, Balem Demtsu, Reza Esmaeili, Mahdi Fakhar, Samuel Finegold, Mohammad Rasoul Ghadami, Reza Ghadimi, Tewodros Tesfa Hailegiyorgis, Yihua He, Mohsen Heidari, Mohammedaman Mama Hussen, Hamidreza Karimi‐Sari, Zhila Kazemi, Miteku Andualem Limenih, Dadi Marami, Moslem Mohammadi, Andrea Parisi, Hadi Parsian, Raphael de Freitas Saldanha, Manaye Yihune Teshale, Belay Tessema, Gaurang Vaidya, Molla Mesele Wassie, Ahmed Abdulahi Abdurahman, Mohamed Lemine Cheikh Brahim Ahmed, Degefaye Zelalem Anlay, Habtamu Abera Areri, Megha Arora, Mohsen Asadi‐Lari, Engi F. Attia, Meysam Behzadifar, Aregawi Gebreyesus Belay, Eesh Bhatia, Kristin E. Burke, Ana Paula Silva Champs, Wanqing Chen, María Magdalena Constantin, Kate Dolan, Mohammed Elfaramawi, Fariba Feizy, John Ford, Adriana Galan, Gebremedhin Berhe Gebregergs, Yalemzewod Assefa Gelaw, Sefonias Getachew, Prakash Chandra Gupta, Oluwaseyi O. Isehunwa, Ankur Joshi, Madhanraj Kalyanasundaram, Molla Kahssay, U Kapil, Hossein Kazemeini, Tripti Khanna, Jun Yup Kim, Sanjay Kinra, Fekede Asefa Kumsa, Samson Leta, Scott A. Lorch, Crispin Mabika, Manzoor Ahmad Malik, Wondimu Ayele Manamo, Shakhnazarova Marina, Yodé Miangotar, Nurilign Abebe Moges, Mahmoudreza Moradi, Haseeb Nawaz, Achyut Raj Pandey, Deepak Paudel, Krystle Perez, Sree Bhushan Raju, Horacio Riojas, Denis O Roshchin, Yogesh Sabde, Kathryn Schelonka, Anju Pradhan Sinha, Rakesh Srivastava, Aberash Abay Tassew, Nega Yimer Tawye, Laura Thomas, Katarzyna Widecka, Sintayehu Ambachew Wondemagegn, Rajaram Yadav, Shamsa Zafar, Mulugeta Molla Zeleke
2018-11-01
SCID: 54.1/caxskt6z
Discuss with AI
Global Burden of Disease StudySocio-demographic Indexage-specific mortalitylife expectancymodel life tables
Figures from the paper
Abstract (AI)
BACKGROUND: Assessments of age-specific mortality and life expectancy have been done by the UN Population Division, Department of Economics and Social Affairs (UNPOP), the United States Census Bureau, WHO, and as part of previous iterations of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD). Previous iterations of the GBD used population estimates from UNPOP, which were not derived in a way that was internally consistent with the estimates of the numbers of deaths in the GBD. The present iteration of the GBD, GBD 2017, improves on previous assessments and provides timely estimates of the mortality experience of populations globally. METHODS: The GBD uses all available data to produce estimates of mortality rates between 1950 and 2017 for 23 age groups, both sexes, and 918 locations, including 195 countries and territories and subnational locations for 16 countries. Data used include vital registration systems, sample registration systems, household surveys (complete birth histories, summary birth histories, sibling histories), censuses (summary birth histories, household deaths), and Demographic Surveillance Sites. In total, this analysis used 8259 data sources. Estimates of the probability of death between birth and the age of 5 years and between ages 15 and 60 years are generated and then input into a model life table system to produce complete life tables for all locations and years. Fatal discontinuities and mortality due to HIV/AIDS are analysed separately and then incorporated into the estimation. We analyse the relationship between age-specific mortality and development status using the Socio-demographic Index, a composite measure based on fertility under the age of 25 years, education, and income. There are four main methodological improvements in GBD 2017 compared with GBD 2016: 622 additional data sources have been incorporated; new estimates of population, generated by the GBD study, are used; statistical methods used in different components of the analysis have been further standardised and improved; and the analysis has been extended backwards in time by two decades to start in 1950. FINDINGS: Globally, 18·7% (95% uncertainty interval 18·4-19·0) of deaths were registered in 1950 and that proportion has been steadily increasing since, with 58·8% (58·2-59·3) of all deaths being registered in 2015. At the global level, between 1950 and 2017, life expectancy increased from 48·1 years (46·5-49·6) to 70·5 years (70·1-70·8) for men and from 52·9 years (51·7-54·0) to 75·6 years (75·3-75·9) for women. Despite this overall progress, there remains substantial variation in life expectancy at birth in 2017, which ranges from 49·1 years (46·5-51·7) for men in the Central African Republic to 87·6 years (86·9-88·1) among women in Singapore. The greatest progress across age groups was for children younger than 5 years; under-5 mortality dropped from 216·0 deaths (196·3-238·1) per 1000 livebirths in 1950 to 38·9 deaths (35·6-42·83) per 1000 livebirths in 2017, with huge reductions across countries. Nevertheless, there were still 5·4 million (5·2-5·6) deaths among children younger than 5 years in the world in 2017. Progress has been less pronounced and more variable for adults, especially for adult males, who had stagnant or increasing mortality rates in several countries. The gap between male and female life expectancy between 1950 and 2017, while relatively stable at the global level, shows distinctive patterns across super-regions and has consistently been the largest in central Europe, eastern Europe, and central Asia, and smallest in south Asia. Performance was also variable across countries and time in observed mortality rates compared with those expected on the basis of development. INTERPRETATION: This analysis of age-sex-specific mortality shows that there are remarkably complex patterns in population mortality across countries. The findings of this study highlight global successes, such as the large decline in under-5 mortality, which reflects significant local, national, and global commitment and investment over several decades. However, they also bring attention to mortality patterns that are a cause for concern, particularly among adult men and, to a lesser extent, women, whose mortality rates have stagnated in many countries over the time period of this study, and in some cases are increasing. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Key Findings
1
Compared with GBD 2016, GBD 2017 incorporates 622 additional data sources, newly generated GBD population estimates, and revised statistical methods.
2
Estimates of under-five and adult mortality are combined through model life tables to generate complete life tables for every location and year.
3
Fatal discontinuities and HIV/AIDS mortality are modelled separately before incorporation into overall mortality estimates.
4
GBD 2017 provides internally consistent global, regional, national, and selected subnational mortality and life-expectancy estimates for 1950–2017.
5
The analysis integrates 8,259 data sources across 23 age groups, both sexes, and 918 locations, including 195 countries and territories.
Research Object
Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy estimates for populations (1950–2017)
Research Subject
Age-specific mortality rates, probabilities of death, and life expectancy, including their relationship with development status
Publication Details
Publication Date
2018-11-01
Journal
Publisher
ISSN
Open access PDF
Access Type
Author Information
Authors
Kazem Rahimi
Norberto Perico
Giuseppe Remuzzi
Ashkan Afshin
Giuseppe Grosso
Amirhossein Sahebkar
Christopher J L Murray
Cristiana Abbafati
Foad Abd-Allah
Ahmed Abdelalim
Ibrahim Abdollahpour
Laith J. Abu‐Raddad
Victor Adekanmbi
Olatunji Adetokunboh
Gina Agarwal
Anurag Agrawal
Mehdi Ahmadi
Hamid Ahmadieh
Muktar Beshir Ahmed
Rufus Akinyemi
Tomi Akinyemiju
Fares Alahdab
Ziyad Al‐Aly
Khurshid Alam
Syed Mohamed Aljunid
François Alla
Peter Allebeck
Jordi Alonso
Khalid A Altirkawi
Cătălina Liliana Andrei
Mina Anjomshoa
Seth Christopher Yaw Appiah
Johan Ärnlöv
Marcel Ausloos
Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla
Alaa Badawi
Maciej Banach
Lope H. Barrero
Sanjay Basu
Bernhard T. Baune
Neeraj Bedi
Ettore Beghi
Yannick Béjot
Isabela M. Benseñor
Adam E. Berman
Neeraj Bhala
Zulfiqar A Bhutta
Ali Bijani
Boris Bikbov
Muhammad Shahdaat Bin Sayeed
Cristina Bosetti
Soufiane Boufous
Nicholas J. K. Breitborde
Hermann Brenner
Gabrielle B. Britton
Zahid A Butt
Ismael Campos‐Nonato
Rosario Cárdenas
Giulia Carreras
Juan Jesús Carrero
Félix Carvalho
Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela
Franz Castro
Ester Cerin
Odgerel Chimed‐Ochir
Jee-Young Jasmine Choi
Hanne Christensen
Sheng‐Chia Chung
Flavia Cicuttini
Liliana G Ciobanu
Massimo Círillo
Ewerton Cousin
Lalit Dandona
Rakhi Dandona
Paul I. Dargan
Ahmad Daryani
Rajat Das Gupta
José das Neves
Dragoş Virgil Daviţoiu
Diego De Leo
Louisa Degenhardt
Robert P Dellavalle
Gebre Teklemariam Demoz
Edgar Denova‐Gutiérrez
Nikolaos Dervenis
Shirin Djalalinia
Tim Driscoll
Bruce Bartholow Duncan
André Rodrigues Durães
David Edvardsson
Iqbal Elyazar
Sharareh Eskandarieh
Alireza Esteghamati
Mohammad Fareed
Andrea Farioli
André Faro
Farshad Farzadfar
Valery L. Feigin
Seyed‐Mohammad Fereshtehnejad
Eduarda Fernandes
Irina Filip
Florian Fischer
Luísa Sório Flor
Nataliya A Foigt
Richard C. Franklin
Takeshi Fukumoto
João M. Furtado
Emmanuela Gakidou
Silvano Gallus
Alberto L. García‐Basteiro
Peter W. Gething
Hesam Ghiasvand
Paramjit Gill
Giorgia Giussani
Sameer Vali Gopalani
Alessandra C. Goulart
H. C. Gugnani
Yuming Guo
Nima Hafezi‐Nejad
Arvin Haj‐Mirzaian
Arya Haj‐Mirzaian
Randah R Hamadeh
Samer Hamidi
Graeme J. Hankey
Hamidreza Haririan
Josep María Haro
Hadi Hassankhani
Rasmus Havmoeller
Simon I Hay
Claudiu Herţeliu
Fatemeh Heydarpour
Hans W. Hoek
Praveen Hoogar
Hung Chak Ho
Mehdi Hosseinzadeh
Mihaela Hostiuc
Sorin Hostiuc
Mohamed Hsaïri
Guoqing Hu
Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi
Usman Iqbal
Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani
Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam
Mihajlo Jakovljević
Spencer L James
Panniyammakal Jeemon
Ravi Prakash Jha
Vivekanand Jha
John S. Ji
Jost B. Jonas
Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak
Mikk Jürisson
Zubair Kabir
Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader
André Karch
Getachew Mullu Kassa
Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi
Ali Kazemi Karyani
Peter Njenga Keiyoro
Nauman Khalid
Ejaz Ahmad Khan
Mona M Khater
Ruth W Kimokoti
Adnan Kısa
Mika Kivimäki
Luke D. Knibbs
Ann Kristin Knudsen
Sonali Kochhar
Jacek A Kopec
Parvaiz A Koul
Ai Koyanagi
Kewal Krishan
Barthélémy Kuate Defo
G Anil Kumar
Ratilal Lalloo
Faris Lami
Sinéad Langan
Jeffrey V. Lazarus
Paul H. Lee
James Leigh
Miriam Levi
Shanshan Li
Lee‐Ling Lim
Shai Linn
Shiwei Liu
Yang Liu
Alan D Lopez
Stefan Lorkowski
Paulo A. Lotufo
Emilie R Maddison
Azeem Majeed
Reza Malekzadeh
Déborah Carvalho Malta
Abdullah Al Mamun
Mohammad Alì Mansournia
Joemer C Maravilla
Francisco Rogerlândio Martins‐Melo
Pallab K Maulik
John J. McGrath
Martin McKee
Man Mohan Mehndiratta
Kala M. Mehta
Ziad A. Memish
Walter Mendoza
Seid Tiku Mereta
Atte Meretoja
Tuomo J Meretoja
Tomislav Meštrović
Bartosz Miazgowski
Tomasz Miazgowski
Ted R. Miller
GK Mini
Andreea Mirică
Erkin М Мirrakhimov
Babak Moazen
Shafiu Mohammed
Ali H. Mokdad
Mariam Molokhia
Lorenzo Monasta
Ghobad Moradi
Maziar Moradi‐Lakeh
Paula Moraga
Lídia Morawska
Joana Morgado-da-Costa
Shane D. Morrison
Abbas Mosapour
Seyyed Meysam Mousavi
Ulrich Müeller
Satinath Mukhopadhyay
Erin C Mullany
Kamarul Imran Musa
Muthupandian Saravanan
Gabriele Nagel
Mohsen Naghavi
Farid Najafi
Vinay Nangia
Jobert Richie Nansseu
Ionuţ Negoi
Josephine W Ngunjiri
Huong Lan Thi Nguyen
Molly R Nixon
Shuhei Nomura
Bo Norrving
Jean Jacques Noubiap
Felix Akpojene Ogbo
In‐Hwan Oh
Andrew T Olagunju
Bolajoko O. Olusanya
Jacob Olusegun Olusanya
Sok King Ong
Alberto Ortíz
Stanislav S Otstavnov
Simon Øverland
Mayowa Owolabi
P A Mahesh
Songhomitra Panda‐Jonas
Charles Parry
Scott B. Patten
George Patton
Emmanuel Peprah
David M. Pereira
Konrad Pesudovs
Michael Phillips
Meghdad Pirsaheb
Dietrich Plaß
Suzanne Polinder
Constance Dimity Pond
Maarten J. Postma
Farshad Pourmalek
V. Prakash
Amir Radfar
Muhammad Aziz Rahman
Fatemeh Rajati
Chhabi Lal Ranabhat
David Laith Rawaf
Salman Rawaf
Robert C. Reiner
André M. N. Renzaho
Serge Resnikoff
Seyed Mohammad Riahi
Leonardo Roever
Luca Ronfani
Gholamreza Roshandel
Dietrich Rothenbacher
Enrico Rubagotti
Perminder S. Sachdev
Basema Saddik
Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam
Yahya Safari
Sare Safi
Saeid Safiri
Rajesh Sagar
Nasir Salam
Hamideh Salimzadeh
Evanson Zondani Sambala
Abdallah M Samy
Itamar S Santos
João Vasco Santos
Milena M Santric-Milicevic
Nizal Sarrafzadegan
Benn Sartorius
Brijesh Sathian
Thirunavukkarasu Sathish
Sonia Saxena
María Inês Schmidt
Aletta E. Schutte
David C. Schwebel
Falk Schwendicke
Sadaf G Sepanlou
Amira Shaheen
Mehran Shams-Beyranvand
Morteza Shamsizadeh
Kiomars Sharafi
Aziz Sheikh
Kenji Shibuya
Mika Shigematsu
Rahman Shiri
Reza Shirkoohi
Soraya Siabani
Inga Dóra Sigfúsdóttir
Rannveig Sigurvinsdóttir
João Pedro Silva
Moslem Soofi
Joan B. Soriano
Ireneous N Soyiri
Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy
Vinay Srinivasan
Dan J. Stein
Caitlyn Steiner
Mark A. Stokes
Mu’awiyyah Babale Sufiyan
Gerhard Sulo
Rafael Tabarés‐Seisdedos
Takahiro Tabuchi
Ken Takahashi
Nuno Taveira
Arash Tehrani‐Banihashemi
Mohamad‐Hani Temsah
Marcello Tonelli
Roman Topór-Mądry
Fotis Topouzis
Anna E Torre
Bach Xuan Tran
Lorainne Tudor Car
Pascual Valdéz
Tommi Vasankari
Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian
Francesco Saverio Violante
Vasily Vlassov
Theo Vos
Yasir Waheed
Yuan‐Pang Wang
Robert G Weintraub
Jordan Weiss
Andrea Werdecker
Ronny Westerman
Harvey Whiteford
Charles Wolfe
Gelin Xu
Yuichiro Yano
Paul Yip
Naohiro Yonemoto
Mustafa Z Younis
Chuanhua Yu
Maigeng Zhou
Stephen S Lim
Leila Jahangiry
Elisabete Weiderpass
Akram Pourshams
Patrick John Sur
Joseph S Salama
Kalkidan Hassen Abate
Abebe Zegeye
Mohsen Afarideh
Sutapa Agrawal
Hamid Badali
Eduardo Bernabé
Anh Kim Dang
Meaza Girma Degefa
Maysaa El Sayed Zaki
Sadaf Esteghamati
Carla Sofia e Sá Farinha
Maryam S. Farvid
João Carlos Fernandes
Johanna M. Geleijnse
Richard F Gillum
S Harikrishnan
Hamid Yimam Hassen
Masako Horino
Farhad Islami
Amir Kasaeian
Yousef Khader
Fakher Rahim
Young‐Ho Khang
Yoshihiro Kokubo
Rafael Lozano
Winfried März
Viswanathan Mohan
Hossein Poustchi
Mostafa Qorbani
Rajesh Kumar
Christian Razo-García
Juan Sanabria
Amanda G. Thrift
Stefanos Tyrovolas
Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja
Irfan Ullah
Olalekan A. Uthman
Tissa Wijeratne
Victor Aboyans
Dorairaj Prabhakaran
Raghib Ali
Nelson Alvis‐Guzmán
Sı́món Barquera
Derrick Bennett
Jung‐Chen Chang
Michael H Criqui
Anand Dayama
Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne
Eric L. Ding
Atsushi Goto
Abdullatif Husseini
Sun Ha Jee
André Pascal Kengne
Daniel Kim
Soewarta Kosen
Li Y
Xiaofeng Liang
Giancarlo Logroscino
George A. Mensah
Aliya Naheed
Muhammad Imran Nisar
Ivy Shiue
Jasvinder A. Singh
Vegard Skirbekk
Bryan L. Sykes
Seok‐Jun Yoon
Rupert Bourne
Sofia Androudi
Elizabeth A. Cromwell
John J. Huang
Burcu Küçük Biçer
Van Charles Lansingh
Vafa Rahimi‐Movaghar
Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman
Nickolas Reinig
Mohammad Ali Sahraian
Mehdi Yaseri
Shouling Wu
Miguel A. Barboza
María Dolores Sánchez-Niño
Nicola Luigi Bragazzi
Leslie T. Cooper
Niranjan Kissoon
Khanh Bao Tran
Qing Lan
Olatunde Aremu
Kalpana Balakrishnan
Geevar Zachariah
Elke Schäeffner
Christine A. Allen
Austin Carter
Daniel Dicker
Nancy Fullman
Nicholas J Kassebaum
Yohannes Kinfu
Grant Nguyen
Elaine O. Nsoesie
David M. Pigott
Arsène Kouablan Adou
Ali Kiadaliri
Ala’a Alkerwi
Rajaa Al‐Raddadi
Ubai Alsharif
Azmeraw T. Amare
Carl Abelardo T. Antonio
Al Artaman
Hamid Asayesh
Reza Assadi
Suleman Atique
Euripide Avokpaho
Ashish Awasthi
Peter Azzopardi
Aleksandra Barać
Arindam Basu
Shahrzad Bazargan‐Hejazi
Michelle L. Bell
Adugnaw Berhane
Samir Bhatt
Donal Bisanzio
Alexandra Bražinová
Julio César Campuzano
Jacqueline Castillo Rivas
Ferrán Catalá-López
Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang
Vesper Hichilombwe Chisumpa
Cyrus Cooper
Monica Cortinovis
John A. Crump
Kebede Deribe
Don C. Des Jarlais
Manisha Dubey
Hedyeh Ebrahimi
Aman Yesuf Endries
Sergey Petrovich Ermakov
Babak Eshrati
Talha Farid
Kyle J Foreman
Thomas Fürst
Neal D. Futran
Fortuné Gbètoho Gankpé
Teshome Gebre
Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot
Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin
Bradford D. Gessner
Hector Gómez‐Dantés
Philimon Gona
Amador Goodridge
Rahul Gupta
Gessessew Bugssa Hailu
Alexis J. Handal
Hilda L Harb
Roderick J. Hay
Ileana Heredia-Pi
Pouria Heydarpour
Damian G Hoy
Aung Soe Htet
Kim Moesgaard Iburg
Nader Jahanmehr
Mehdi Javanbakht
Sudha Jayaraman
Achala Upendra Jayatilleke
Corine Karema
Anil Kaul
Norito Kawakami
Andre Keren
Jagdish Khubchandani
Cho‐il Kim
Michael Kravchenko
Andreas A Kudom
Ernst J. Kuipers
Michael Kutz
Hilton Y. Lam
Pablo M Lavados
Juan Liang
Raimundas Lunevičius
Ronan A Lyons
Mark T. Mackay
Marek Majdán
Wagner Marcenes
José Martı́nez-Raga
Felix Masiye
Peter Memiah
Jean B. Nachega
Frida Ngalesoni
Ole Frithjof Norheim
Pedro R. Olivares
Erika Ota
Eun‐Kee Park
Max Petzold
Julian David Pillay
Farhad Pishgar
Svetlana Popova
Anwar Rafay
Mahfuzar Rahman
Sajjad Ur Rahman
Saša Rajšić
Usha Ram
Antônio Luiz Pinho Ribeiro
María Jesús Ríos-Blancas
Maheswar Satpathy
Miloje Savic
Monika Sawhney
Ione Jayce Ceola Schneider
Ben Schöttker
James G. Scott
Edson Serván‐Mori
Katya Anne Shackelford
Masood Ali Shaikh
Rajesh Sharma
Kevin N. Sheth
Mark G. Shrime
Diego Augusto Santos Silva
Dayane Gabriele Alves Silveira
Karen Sliwa
Luciano A. Sposato
Vasiliki Stathopoulou
Nicholas Steel
Bruno Sunguya
Cassandra Szoeke
Nikhil Tandon
Mohammad Tavakkoli
Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi
Ruoyan Tobe-Gai
E. Murat Tuzcu
Sergey Konstantinovitch Vladimirov
Gregory R. Wagner
Charles Shey Wiysonge
Lijing L. Yan
Pengpeng Ye
Zoubida Zaidi
Hajo Zeeb
Sanjay Zodpey
Liesl Zühlke
Hossein Ansari
Tesfay Mehari Atey
Leticia Ávila‐Burgos
Kairat Davletov
Peter J. Hotez
Abdullah T Khoja
Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek
Mohsen Mazidi
Kidanu Gebremariam Meles
Haftay Berhane Mezgebe
Anne Elise Eggen
Muthiah Vaduganathan
Mehdi Sayyah
Sarah Charlotte Johnson
Matthew Cunningham
Mahmoud Yousefifard
Behzad Heibati
Barbora de Courten
Xueying Zhang
Mari Carmen Gómez‐Cabrera
Sudhir K. Jain
Jemal Abdela
Haftom Niguse Abraha
Mina G Adib
Yohanes Ayele
Abate Bekele Belachew
Belete Biadgo
Yazan Chaiah
Daniel Obadare Fijabi
Abadi Kahsu Gebre
Afewerki Gebremeskel Tsadik
Kebede Embaye Gezae
Maryam Ghasemi‐Kasman
Tekleberhan B Hagos
Tesfaye Kassa
Yirga Legesse Nirayo
Tesfa Mekonen
Hagazi Gebre Meles
Getnet Mengistu
Ghulam Mustafa
Long Hoang Nguyen
Tinuke O Olagunju
Hosein Safari
Shahabeddin Sarvi
Mehdi Sharif
Omar Temsah
Miguel Tortajada‐Girbés
Andrea Sylvia Winkler
Ebrahim M Yimer
Amani Nidhal Aichour
Ibtihel Aichour
Miloud Taki Eddine Aichour
Sait Mentes Birlik
Abdulaal Chitheer
E. Ray Dorsey
Vladimir Hachinski
Misgan Legesse Liben
LG Mantovani
Suresh Mehata
Ilais Moreno Velásquez
Trang Huyen Nguyen
Dina Nur Anggraini Ningrum
Jeyaraj Pandian
Annemarei Ranta
Mohammad Sadegh Rezai
Raad Shakir
Traolach Brugha
Niveen ME Abu-Rmeileh
José Carmelo Adsuar
Alicia V Aleman
Animut Alebel
Getiye Dejenu Kibret
Fasil Wagnew
Marcel Yotebieng
Maria Albertina Santiago Rego
Susan Hutfless
Margaret Kosek
Tasha Murphy
Ayman Al‐Eyadhy
Hedayat Abbastabar
Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji
Masoud Behzadifar
Tone Bjørge
Fernando de la Hoz
Meghnath Dhimal
Ricardo Santiago Gomez
Gulfaraz Khan
Katarzyna Kissimova‐Skarbek
Muhammed Magdy Abd El Razek
Ravi Mehrotra
Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad
Adrian Pană
Mario Šekerija
Nihal Thomas
Marcos Roberto Tovani‐Palone
Christl A. Donnelly
Heidi J. Larson
Yaw Ampem Amoako
Eyal Oren
Jun She
Zerihun Menlkalew Zenebe
Oladimeji Adebayo
Thomas Truelsen
Mehran Alijanzadeh
Sachin Atre
Aminu K. Bello
Gregory J Bertolacci
Oliver J. Brady
Reinhard Busse
Ken Lee Chin
Sara Conti
Paolo Angelo Cortesi
Christopher S. Crowe
Carla Fornari
Amiran Gamkrelidze
Srinivas Goli
Bárbara Niegia Garcia de Goulart
Ayman Grada
André Luiz Sena Guimarães
Juanita A. Haagsma
Delia Hendrie
Nathaniel J Henry
Michael K. Hole
Maia Kereselidze
Morteza Abdullatif Khafaie
Young‐Eun Kim
Tufa Kolola
Manasi Kumar
Zohra S Lassi
Tim Lucas
Ralph Maddison
Fabiana Madotto
Benjamin B. Massenburg
Awoke Temesgen Misganaw
Noushin Mohammadifard
Ruxandra Irina Negoi
Abhijit Pakhare
Alexandre C. Pereira
Alireza Rafiei
Afarin Rahimi‐Movaghar
Davide Rasella
Stephen R. Robinson
Inbal Salz
Agus Sudaryanto
Dillon O Sylte
Santosh Kumar Tadakamadla
Santosh Varughese
Daniel J. Weiss
Jamal A Yearwood
Sojib Bin Zaman
Christopher J L Murray
Sheila Cristina Ouriques Martins
PN Sylaja
Mohamed Hegazy
Bruno Ramos Nascimento
Badr Hasan Sobaih
Kia Vosoughi
Maryam Mohammadi‐Khanaposhtani
Solomón Mequanente Abay
Nicole Davis Weaver
Seyyed Shamsadin Athari
Berihun Assefa Dachew
Georgy Lebedev
Chris Lonsdale
Srinivas Murthy
Smita Pakhalé
Natasha Azzopardi‐Muscat
Kai Zhang
Sharvari Shukla
D. Alex Quistberg
Muhammad Shahzeb Khan
Charles R. Newton
Neil Pearce
Rakesh Aggarwal
Jeffrey A Towbin
Degu Abate
Nooshin Abbasi
Manfred Accrombessi
Pawan Acharya
Sargis A. Aghayan
Alireza Ahmadi
Kefyalew Addis Alene
Reza Alizadeh‐Navaei
Nahla Anber
Megbaru Debalkie Animut
Mustafa Geleto Ansha
Zerihun Ataro
Rakesh Ayer
Amrit Banstola
Yihalem Abebe Belay
Robert S. Bernstein
Mircea Beuran
Tina Beyranvand
Suraj Bhattarai
Nigus Bililign
Luísa Campos Caldeira Brant
Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado
Jorge Cano
Hsing‐Yi Chang
Aparajita Chattopadhyay
Rafael Moreira Claro
Daniel Collado‐Mateo
Abel Fekadu Dadi
Tamirat Tesfaye Dasa
Jan‐Walter De Neve
Selina Deiparine
Getenet Dessie
Subhojit Dey
David Teye Doku
Kerrie Doyle
Eleonora Dubljanin
Eyasu Ejeta Duken
Soheil Ebrahimpour
Charbel El Bcheraoui
Ziad El‐Khatib
Ahmadali Enayati
Benjamin Er
Hamed Fakhim
Mahbobeh Faramarzi
Farzaneh Farhadi
Netsanet Fentahun
Garumma Tolu Feyissa
Tahvi Frank
Tilayie Feto Gelano
Ricard Gènova-Maleras
Khalil Ghasemi Falavarjani
Mamata Ghimire
Aloke Gopal Ghoshal
Tiffany K Gill
Tanush Gupta
Bishal Gyawali
Mehedi Hasan
Akbar Hedayatizadeh‐Omran
Andualem Henok
Sousan Heydarpour
Desalegn Tsegaw Hibstu
Enayatollah Homaie Rad
Chad Ikeda
Suresh Jungari
Rajendra Kadel
Amaha Kahsay
Manoochehr Karami
Narges Karimi
Grant Rodgers Kemp
Alireza Khajavi
Muhammad Ali Khan
Ardeshir Khosravi
Mohammad Hossein Khosravi
Sheetal D Lad
Alessandra Lafranconi
Arman Latifi
Rakesh Lodha
Stefan Ma
Erlyn Rachelle King Macarayan
Dhaval P Maghavani
Reza Majdzadeh
Ana-Laura Manda
Chabila Christopher Mapoma
Melvin Barrientos Marzan
Tivani P. Mashamba-Thompson
Varshil Mehta
Addisu Melese
Mulugeta Melku
Desalegn Tadese Mengistu
Mousa Mohammadnia‐Afrouzi
Mohammed A. Mohammed
Mehdi Moradinazar
Marilita M. Moschos
Achenef Asmamaw Muche
Kindie Fentahun Muchie
Kate Muller
Manoj Murhekar
Jonah Musa
Azin Nahvijou
Gurudatta Naik
Nahid Neamati
Subas Neupane
Ha Nguyen
Huong Thanh Nguyen
Nomonde Nolutshungu
Mehdi Noroozi
Hamid Reza Nouri
Malihe Nourollahpour Shiadeh
Mohammad Reza Nowroozi
Peter S. Nyasulu
Richard Ofori‐Asenso
Olanrewaju Oladimeji
Rosana Pacella
Shanti Patel
Ajay Patle
Swayam Prakash
Prabhat Ranjan
Satar Rezaei
Ali Rostami
Ehsan Sadeghi
Roya Safari‐Faramani
Mahdi Safdarian
Haniye Sadat Sajadi
Yahya Salimi
Bruno Piassi Sâo José
Mayank Sardana
Abdur Razzaque Sarker
Arundhati R Sawant
Hosein Shabaninejad
Azadeh Shafieesabet
MohammadBagher Shamsi
Heidar Sharafi
Mahdi Sharif-Alhoseini
Meenakshi Sharma
Peilin Shi
Farhad Shokraneh
Si Si
Tariq Jamal Siddiqi
Narayana Sarma V. Singam
Virendra Singh
Dhirendra Narain Sinha
Adauto Martins Soares Filho
Soheila Sobhani
Ipsita Sutradhar
Segen Gebremeskel Tassew
T. Tekalign
Merhawi Gebremedhin Tekle
Habtamu Temesgen
Mebrahtu Teweldemedhin
Binyam Tilahun
Quyen G. To
Muhammad Usman
Afsane Vaezi
Santos Villafaina
Isidora S Vujcic
Fitsum Weldegebreal
Justyna Widecka
Grant M. A. Wyper
Yasin Jemal Yasin
Alex Yeshaneh
Engida Yisma
Mohammad Zamani
Zohreh Zare
Inbar Zucker
Mohammad Hosein Farzaei
Xiaohong Li
Ayuk Betrand Tambe
Bayu Begashaw Bekele
Mate Car
Miguel Ángel García-Gordillo
Ehimario Igumbor
Zemenu Yohannes Kassa
Habibolah Khazaie
Cheru Tesema Leshargie
Okechukwu S. Ogah
Cesar Reis
Shahab Rezaeian
Jarnail Singh Thakur
Tomohide Yamada
Seifu Kebede
Jun Zhu
Marcus E. Kleber
Alireza Abdi
Alireza Khatony
Rajeev Gupta
Dumessa Edessa
Kedir Teji Roba
Mekonnen Sisay Shiferaw
Nu Thi Truong
Quique Bassat
William A. Petri
Berrak Bora Başara
Dipan Bose
Shifalika Goenka
Sanjay Krishnaswami
John Nelson Opio
Aslam Pervaiz
George Mugambage Ruhago
Selen Begüm Uzun
Gökalp Kadri Yentür
Payman Salamati
Krishna K Aryal
Kavumpurathu Raman Thankappan
Rizwan Kalani
Nadia Akseer
Bereket Yakob
Busisiwe P. Ncama
Teshome Abuka Abebo
Erfan Amini
Solomon Weldegebreal Asgedom
Pushpendra Kumar
Xie Rachel Kulikoff
Naris Silpakit
A. S. Akanda
Charlton Callender
Sarah E. Ray
Molla Abebe
Rufus Adesoji Adedoyin
Mohammad Esmaeil Akbari
Dharmesh Kumar Lal
Devasahayam Jesudas Christopher
Christian Lycke Ellingsen
Кетеван Гамбашидзе
Marzieh Katibeh
Dennis Odai Laryea
Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana Murthy
Ana Maria Nogales Vasconcelos
Ramesh Vidavalur
Haftom Temesgen Abebe
Beyene Meressa Adhena
Sayem Ahmed
Ephrem Tsegay Asfaw
Baffour Awuah
Elena A. Varavikova
Omar Abdel‐Rahman
Thomas M Drake
Vinod Scaria
Henok Tadesse Ayele
Avula Laxmaiah
Nikolaos Tsilimparis
Justin R. Ortiz
Madhu Sudhan Atteraya
John E Fuller
Sônia Lansky
Mohammad Reza Salahshoor
Hunter York
Huda Basaleem
Narayan Prasad
Andrea B Feigl
Rajesh Jain
Archie Bleyer
Freddy Sitas
Vladimir I. Starodubov
Vesna Zadnik
Ansariadi Ansariadi
Sanjeev Nair
Taddese Alemu Zerfu
Sanjay Mehendale
Charles Birungi
Dirk Douwes‐Schultz
Mir Sohail Fazeli
Ibrahim A Khalil
Tefera Chane Mekonnen
Anselm Okoro
Basant Kumar Panda
Soheil Saadat
Jayendra Sharma
Girma Temam Shifa
Suryakant Tripathi
Stein Emil Vollset
Alexandra Cucu
Leo G Stewart
Jürgen Rehm
Abayomi Samuel Oyekale
Aklilu Roba Abrham
Ayele Geleto Bali
Srikanth Tripathy
K C Prakash
Pankaj Chaturvedi
Walid Ammar
Yanping Wang
Behzad Karami Matin
Seyed Mostafa Hosseini
Seyed M Karimi
Kidu Gidey Weldegwergs
Tara Ballav Adhikari
Mohammed Akibu
Saba Abraham Belay
Soumyadeeep Bhaumik
Alanur Çavlin
Tamer H. Farag
Ezra Belay
Tuhin Biswas
Aarón Cohen
Alemneh Kabeta Daba
Siddharth Kumar Das
Aditya Prasad Dash
Tizta T Degfie
Balem Demtsu
Reza Esmaeili
Mahdi Fakhar
Samuel Finegold
Mohammad Rasoul Ghadami
Reza Ghadimi
Tewodros Tesfa Hailegiyorgis
Yihua He
Mohsen Heidari
Mohammedaman Mama Hussen
Hamidreza Karimi‐Sari
Zhila Kazemi
Miteku Andualem Limenih
Dadi Marami
Moslem Mohammadi
Andrea Parisi
Hadi Parsian
Raphael de Freitas Saldanha
Manaye Yihune Teshale
Belay Tessema
Gaurang Vaidya
Molla Mesele Wassie
Ahmed Abdulahi Abdurahman
Mohamed Lemine Cheikh Brahim Ahmed
Degefaye Zelalem Anlay
Habtamu Abera Areri
Megha Arora
Mohsen Asadi‐Lari
Engi F. Attia
Meysam Behzadifar
Aregawi Gebreyesus Belay
Eesh Bhatia
Kristin E. Burke
Ana Paula Silva Champs
Wanqing Chen
María Magdalena Constantin
Kate Dolan
Mohammed Elfaramawi
Fariba Feizy
John Ford
Adriana Galan
Gebremedhin Berhe Gebregergs
Yalemzewod Assefa Gelaw
Sefonias Getachew
Prakash Chandra Gupta
Oluwaseyi O. Isehunwa
Ankur Joshi
Madhanraj Kalyanasundaram
Molla Kahssay
U Kapil
Hossein Kazemeini
Tripti Khanna
Jun Yup Kim
Sanjay Kinra
Fekede Asefa Kumsa
Samson Leta
Scott A. Lorch
Crispin Mabika
Manzoor Ahmad Malik
Wondimu Ayele Manamo
Shakhnazarova Marina
Yodé Miangotar
Nurilign Abebe Moges
Mahmoudreza Moradi
Haseeb Nawaz
Achyut Raj Pandey
Deepak Paudel
Krystle Perez
Sree Bhushan Raju
Horacio Riojas
Denis O Roshchin
Yogesh Sabde
Kathryn Schelonka
Anju Pradhan Sinha
Rakesh Srivastava
Aberash Abay Tassew
Nega Yimer Tawye
Laura Thomas
Katarzyna Widecka
Sintayehu Ambachew Wondemagegn
Rajaram Yadav
Shamsa Zafar
Mulugeta Molla Zeleke
Explore further
Open the scid.ai AI chat with a ready-made request: it will find papers on a similar topic and help build a literature review.
Find similar papers in the chat →
100%
Cited by2
Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 20212024
Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 20172018