Глобальная, региональная и национальная заболеваемость, распространённость и годы жизни, прожитые с инвалидностью, для 354 заболеваний и травм в 195 странах и территориях, 1990–2017 гг.: систематический анализ в рамках исследования глобального бремени болезней 2017 года

Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
Kazem Rahimi, Norberto Perico, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Ashkan Afshin, Giuseppe Grosso, Amirhossein Sahebkar, Christopher J L Murray, Cristiana Abbafati, Foad Abd-Allah, Ahmed Abdelalim, Ibrahim Abdollahpour, Laith J. Abu‐Raddad, Victor Adekanmbi, Olatunji Adetokunboh, Gina Agarwal, Mehdi Ahmadi, Hamid Ahmadieh, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Tomi Akinyemiju, Fares Alahdab, Ziyad Al‐Aly, Khurshid Alam, Shazia Alam, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, François Alla, Peter Allebeck, Hesham M. Al‐Mekhlafi, Khalid A Altirkawi, Cătălina Liliana Andrei, Mina Anjomshoa, Jalal Arabloo, Filippo Ariani, Bahram Armoon, Johan Ärnlöv, Marcel Ausloos, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Alaa Badawi, Shoshana H. Ballew, Maciej Banach, Suzanne Barker‐Collo, Till Bärnighausen, Lope H. Barrero, Bernhard T. Baune, Neeraj Bedi, Ettore Beghi, Yannick Béjot, Isabela M. Benseñor, Neeraj Bhala, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Ali Bijani, Boris Bikbov, Muhammad Shahdaat Bin Sayeed, Soufiane Boufous, Nicholas J. K. Breitborde, Hermann Brenner, Paul Svitil Briant, Andrey Briko, Gabrielle B. Britton, Zahid A Butt, Rosario Cárdenas, Juan Jesús Carrero, Félix Carvalho, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Franz Castro, Kelly Cercy, Ester Cerin, Fiona Charlson, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Jee-Young Jasmine Choi, Hanne Christensen, Flavia Cicuttini, Liliana G Ciobanu, Massimo Círillo, Ewerton Cousin, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, Paul I. Dargan, Ahmad Daryani, Rajat Das Gupta, José das Neves, Dragoş Virgil Daviţoiu, Diego De Leo, Louisa Degenhardt, Robert P Dellavalle, Gebre Teklemariam Demoz, Nikolaos Dervenis, Shirin Djalalinia, Клара Докова, Tim Driscoll, Bruce Bartholow Duncan, André Rodrigues Durães, David Edvardsson, Iqbal Elyazar, Holly E Erskine, Sharareh Eskandarieh, Alireza Esteghamati, Mohammad Fareed, Andrea Farioli, André Faro, Farshad Farzadfar, Valery L. Feigin, Seyed‐Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Eduarda Fernandes, Alize J Ferrari, Irina Filip, Florian Fischer, Nataliya A Foigt, Takeshi Fukumoto, João M. Furtado, Alberto L. García‐Basteiro, William M. Gardner, Peter W. Gething, Keyghobad Ghadiri, Rakesh Ghosh, Paramjit Gill, Giorgia Giussani, E. V. Gnedovskaya, Sameer Vali Gopalani, Alessandra C. Goulart, H. C. Gugnani, Yuming Guo, Tarun Gupta, Nima Hafezi‐Nejad, Arvin Haj‐Mirzaian, Arya Haj‐Mirzaian, Randah R Hamadeh, Samer Hamidi, Graeme J. Hankey, Josep María Haro, Hadi Hassankhani, Rasmus Havmoeller, Simon I Hay, Claudiu Herţeliu, Hans W. Hoek, Praveen Hoogar, Hung Chak Ho, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Mihaela Hostiuc, Sorin Hostiuc, Mohamed Hsaïri, Guoqing Hu, Chantal Huynh, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Usman Iqbal, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, Caleb Mackay Salpeter Irvine, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Mihajlo Jakovljević, Spencer L James, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Ravi Prakash Jha, Vivekanand Jha, John S. Ji, Catherine O. Johnson, Jost B. Jonas, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Mikk Jürisson, Zubair Kabir, Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader, Tanuj Kanchan, Behzad Karami Matin, André Karch, Getachew Mullu Kassa, Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi, Ali Kazemi Karyani, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Laura Kemmer, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Yun Jin Kim, Ruth W Kimokoti, Adnan Kısa, Mika Kivimäki, Ann Kristin Knudsen, Jonathan Kocarnik, Sonali Kochhar, Jacek A Kopec, Parvaiz A Koul, Ai Koyanagi, Kewal Krishan, Barthélémy Kuate Defo, G Anil Kumar, Ratilal Lalloo, Tea Lallukka, Faris Lami, Jeffrey V. Lazarus, Paul H. Lee, Janni Leung, Miriam Levi, Shanshan Li, Lee‐Ling Lim, Shiwei Liu, Justin Lo, Alan D Lopez, Stefan Lorkowski, Paulo A. Lotufo, Azeem Majeed, Reza Malekzadeh, Déborah Carvalho Malta, Abdullah Al Mamun, Helena Manguerra, Mohammad Alì Mansournia, Joemer C Maravilla, Ashley Marks, Francisco Rogerlândio Martins‐Melo, Manu Raj Mathur, Kunihiro Matsushita, Pallab K Maulik, Colm McAlinden, John J. McGrath, Martin McKee, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Kala M. Mehta, Ziad A. Memish, Walter Mendoza, Seid Tiku Mereta, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J Meretoja, Tomislav Meštrović, Bartosz Miazgowski, Tomasz Miazgowski, Ted R. Miller, GK Mini, Erkin М Мirrakhimov, Babak Moazen, Naser Mohammad Gholi Mezerji, Shafiu Mohammed, Ali H. Mokdad, Mariam Molokhia, Lorenzo Monasta, Ghobad Moradi, Maziar Moradi‐Lakeh, Paula Moraga, Lídia Morawska, Joana Morgado-da-Costa, Shane D. Morrison, Seyyed Meysam Mousavi, Ulrich Müeller, Satinath Mukhopadhyay, Kamarul Imran Musa, Ashraf Nabhan, Farid Najafi, Vinay Nangia, Jobert Richie Nansseu, Ionuţ Negoi, Josephine W Ngunjiri, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Minh Nguyen, Molly R Nixon, Shuhei Nomura, Bo Norrving, Jean Jacques Noubiap, Christopher M Odell, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, In‐Hwan Oh, Andrew T Olagunju, Bolajoko O. Olusanya, Sok King Ong, Alberto Ortíz, Stanislav S Otstavnov, Simon Øverland, Mayowa Owolabi, P A Mahesh, Songhomitra Panda‐Jonas, Charles Parry, George Patton, David M. Pereira, Konrad Pesudovs, Michael Phillips, М. А. Пирадов, Meghdad Pirsaheb, Dietrich Plaß, Suzanne Polinder, Maarten J. Postma, V. Prakash, Amir Radfar, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Fatemeh Rajati, Puja C Rao, David Laith Rawaf, Salman Rawaf, Robert C. Reiner, Marissa B Reitsma, André M. N. Renzaho, Serge Resnikoff, Nicholas L S Roberts, Leonardo Roever, Luca Ronfani, Gholamreza Roshandel, Gregory A. Roth, Enrico Rubagotti, Perminder S. Sachdev, Basema Saddik, Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam, Yahya Safari, Sare Safi, Saeid Safiri, Rajesh Sagar, Nasir Salam, Joshua A. Salomon, Abdallah M Samy, Damian Santomauro, Itamar S Santos, João Vasco Santos, Milena M Santric-Milicevic, Nizal Sarrafzadegan, Benn Sartorius, Brijesh Sathian, Sonia Saxena, María Inês Schmidt, David C. Schwebel, Falk Schwendicke, Sadaf G Sepanlou, Amira Shaheen, Mehran Shams-Beyranvand, Morteza Shamsizadeh, Kiomars Sharafi, Aziz Sheikh, Kenji Shibuya, Mika Shigematsu, Rahman Shiri, Reza Shirkoohi, Soraya Siabani, Inga Dóra Sigfúsdóttir, Rannveig Sigurvinsdóttir, João Pedro Silva, Ambrish Singh, Eirini Skiadaresi, Moslem Soofi, Reed J D Sorensen, Joan B. Soriano, Ireneous N Soyiri, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Vinay Srinivasan, Jeffrey D Stanaway, Dan J. Stein, Caitlyn Steiner, Mark A. Stokes, Mu’awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Rafael Tabarés‐Seisdedos, Nuno Taveira, Arash Tehrani‐Banihashemi, Mohamad‐Hani Temsah, Marcello Tonelli, Roman Topór-Mądry, Fotis Topouzis, Anna E Torre, Mathilde Touvier, Bach Xuan Tran, Lorainne Tudor Car, Pascual Valdéz, Tommi Vasankari, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Francesco Saverio Violante, Vasily Vlassov, Theo Vos, Yasir Waheed, Yafeng Wang, Yuan‐Pang Wang, Robert G Weintraub, Andrea Werdecker, Harvey Whiteford, Charles Wolfe, Gelin Xu, Simon Yadgir, Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh Jabbari, Yuichiro Yano, Paul Yip, Naohiro Yonemoto, Mustafa Z Younis, Chuanhua Yu, Maigeng Zhou, Stephen S Lim, Leila Jahangiry, Timothy J. Steiner, Lars Jacob Stovner, Elisabete Weiderpass, Akram Pourshams, K. Srinath Reddy, Patrick John Sur, Joseph S Salama, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Abebe Zegeye, Mohsen Afarideh, Sutapa Agrawal, Hamid Badali, Eduardo Bernabé, Meaza Girma Degefa, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Sadaf Esteghamati, Carla Sofia e Sá Farinha, Maryam S. Farvid, João Carlos Fernandes, Morsaleh Ganji, Johanna M. Geleijnse, S Harikrishnan, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Farhad Islami, Amir Kasaeian, Yousef Khader, Fakher Rahim, Young‐Ho Khang, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Rafael Lozano, Winfried März, Mojde Mirarefin, Hossein Poustchi, Mostafa Qorbani, Rajesh Kumar, Juan Sanabria, Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja, Irfan Ullah, Olalekan A. Uthman, Giang Thu Vu, Tissa Wijeratne, Denis Xavier, Dorairaj Prabhakaran, Semaw Ferede Abera, Niveen M. E. Abu-Rmeileh, Nelson Alvis‐Guzmán, Walid Ammar, Palwasha Anwari, Jung‐Chen Chang, Rajiv Chowdhury, Michael H Criqui, Adrian Davis, Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne, André Pascal Kengne, Daniel Kim, Soewarta Kosen, Li Y, George A. Mensah, Mohsen Naghavi, Aliya Naheed, Ivy Shiue, Bryan L. Sykes, Seok‐Jun Yoon, Joshua R. Ehrlich, Rupert Bourne, Hugh R. Taylor, Janet L Leasher, Sofia Androudi, Elizabeth A. Cromwell, John J. Huang, Burcu Küçük Biçer, Van Charles Lansingh, Hai Quang Pham, Vafa Rahimi‐Movaghar, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Nickolas Reinig, Mohammad Ali Sahraian, Miltiadis K. Tsilimbaris, Mehdi Yaseri, Shouling Wu, Antonio Araúz, Miguel A. Barboza, Josef Coresh, Khanh Bao Tran, Michael Brainin, Olatunde Aremu, Morgan E. Grams, Elke Schäeffner, Austin Carter, Christina Fitzmaurice, Nancy Fullman, Ellen M Goldberg, Juanita A. Haagsma, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Yohannes Kinfu, Hmwe Hmwe Kyu, Elaine O. Nsoesie, David M. Pigott, Christopher Troeger, Ilana N. Ackerman, Kossivi Agbélénko Afanvi, Ali Kiadaliri, Nadia Akseer, Ala’a Alkerwi, Rajaa Al‐Raddadi, Azmeraw T. Amare, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Al Artaman, Hamid Asayesh, Euripide Avokpaho, Ashish Awasthi, Peter Azzopardi, Aleksandra Barać, Shahrzad Bazargan‐Hejazi, Michelle L. Bell, Donal Bisanzio, Alexandra Bražinová, Rachelle Buchbinder, Jacqueline Castillo Rivas, Ferrán Catalá-López, Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang, Devasahayam Jesudas Christopher, Cyrus Cooper, Monica Cortinovis, John A. Crump, Gail Davey, Kebede Deribe, Don C. Des Jarlais, Manisha Dubey, Hedyeh Ebrahimi, Aman Yesuf Endries, Babak Eshrati, Talha Farid, Kyle J Foreman, Thomas Fürst, Neal D. Futran, Fortuné Gbètoho Gankpé, Amanuel Tesfay Gebremedhin, Ibrahim Ginawi, Hector Gómez‐Dantés, Philimon Gona, Rahul Gupta, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Alexis J. Handal, Yuantao Hao, Hilda L Harb, Roderick J. Hay, Damian G Hoy, Aung Soe Htet, Kim Moesgaard Iburg, Nader Jahanmehr, Mehdi Javanbakht, Achala Upendra Jayatilleke, Corine Karema, Norito Kawakami, Andre Keren, Cho‐il Kim, Georgios A. Kotsakis, Michael Kravchenko, J. Paul Leigh, Raimundas Lunevičius, Ronan A Lyons, Mark T. Mackay, Marek Majdán, Wagner Marcenes, Fabiola Mejía‐Rodríguez, Peter Memiah, Anoushka Millear, Philip B. Mitchell, John Everett Mumford, Luigi Naldi, Ole Frithjof Norheim, Pedro R. Olivares, Erika Ota, Eun‐Kee Park, Julian David Pillay, Farhad Pishgar, Svetlana Popova, Anwar Rafay, Mahfuzar Rahman, Sajjad Ur Rahman, Usha Ram, Antônio Luiz Pinho Ribeiro, Ambuj Roy, Maheswar Satpathy, Monika Sawhney, Ione Jayce Ceola Schneider, Ben Schöttker, James G. Scott, Edson Serván‐Mori, Masood Ali Shaikh, Rajesh Sharma, Mark G. Shrime, Dayane Gabriele Alves Silveira, Karen Sliwa, Luciano A. Sposato, Lars Jacob Stovner, Bruno Sunguya, Nikhil Tandon, Mohammad Tavakkoli, Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi, E. Murat Tuzcu, Eduardo A. Undurraga, Sergey Konstantinovitch Vladimirov, Stephen G. Waller, Charles Shey Wiysonge, Lijing L. Yan, Zoubida Zaidi, Sanjay Zodpey, Leticia Ávila‐Burgos, Peter J. Hotez, Abdullah T Khoja, Kristopher J Krohn, Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek, Mohsen Mazidi, Eugène Sobngwi, Muthiah Vaduganathan, Mohammad Khazaei, Mahmoud Yousefifard, Behzad Heibati, Barbora de Courten, Sudhir K. Jain, Emma Nichols, Jemal Abdela, Haftom Niguse Abraha, Mina G Adib, Abate Bekele Belachew, Belete Biadgo, Yazan Chaiah, Abadi Kahsu Gebre, Teklu Gebrehiwo Gebremichael, Kebede Embaye Gezae, Maryam Ghasemi‐Kasman, Kidu Gidey, Tekleberhan B Hagos, Tesfaye Kassa, Treh Manhertz, Tesfa Mekonen, Getnet Mengistu, Ghulam Mustafa, Long Hoang Nguyen, Tinuke O Olagunju, Hosein Safari, Shahabeddin Sarvi, Mehdi Sharif, Mari Smith, Omar Temsah, Miguel Tortajada‐Girbés, Andrea Sylvia Winkler, Ebrahim M Yimer, Amani Nidhal Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine Aichour, Soumyadeep Bhaumik, Abdulaal Chitheer, E. Ray Dorsey, Vladimir Hachinski, Misgan Legesse Liben, LG Mantovani, Ilais Moreno Velásquez, Dina Nur Anggraini Ningrum, Annemarei Ranta, Mohammad Sadegh Rezai, Mete Şaylan, Haitham Shoman, Traolach Brugha, José Carmelo Adsuar, Marcel Yotebieng, Howard J. Hoffman, Ayman Al‐Eyadhy, Andrew M. Briggs, Hedayat Abbastabar, Masoud Behzadifar, Pankaj Chaturvedi, Fernando de la Hoz, Katarzyna Kissimova‐Skarbek, Muhammed Magdy Abd El Razek, Ravi Mehrotra, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, Chie Nagata, Adrian Pană, Mario Šekerija, Nihal Thomas, Marcos Roberto Tovani‐Palone, Vesna Zadnik, Yoshan Moodley, Yaw Ampem Amoako, Eyal Oren, Jun She, Samir Soneji, Zerihun Menlkalew Zenebe, Abdu A. Adamu, Oladimeji Adebayo, Kareha M Agesa, Mehran Alijanzadeh, Kavumpurathu Raman Thankappan, Sachin Atre, Aminu K. Bello, Oliver J. Brady, Reinhard Busse, Alex R. Chang, Ken Lee Chin, Paolo Angelo Cortesi, M. Ashworth Dirac, Jack T Fox, Srinivas Goli, Taren M Gorman, Bárbara Niegia Garcia de Goulart, Ayman Grada, Delia Hendrie, Michael K. Hole, Morteza Abdullatif Khafaie, Young‐Eun Kim, Tufa Kolola, Manasi Kumar, Jorge R Ledesma, Tim Lucas, Fabiana Madotto, Hue Thi, Ira Martopullo, Benjamin B. Massenburg, Awoke Temesgen Misganaw, Noushin Mohammadifard, Mahmood Moosazadeh, Ruxandra Irina Negoi, Alireza Rafiei, Afarin Rahimi‐Movaghar, Stephen R. Robinson, Inbal Salz, Agus Sudaryanto, Dillon O Sylte, Santosh Kumar Tadakamadla, Santosh Varughese, Daniel J. Weiss, Lauren B. Wilner, Shadrach Wilson, Sojib Bin Zaman, Christopher J L Murray, Simona Giampaoli, Bruno Ramos Nascimento, Badr Hasan Sobaih, Kia Vosoughi, Ali Yadollahpour, Seana Gall, Amit Arora, Solomón Mequanente Abay, Fiona Blyth, Sanghamitra Pati, Zheng Zhao, Kai Zhang, Son Hoang Nguyen, D. Alex Quistberg, Muhammad Shahzeb Khan, Charles R. Newton, Marita Cross, Neil Pearce, Anthony D. Woolf, Rakesh Aggarwal, Michele Meltzer, Jeffrey A Towbin, Degu Abate, Nooshin Abbasi, Olifan Zewdie Abil, Manfred Accrombessi, Dilaram Acharya, Pawan Acharya, Sargis A. Aghayan, Alireza Ahmadi, Alaa Alashi, Seyed Moayed Alavian, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Reza Alizadeh‐Navaei, Mohamed M L Alouani, Léopold Ndemnge Aminde, Nahla Anber, Megbaru Debalkie Animut, Mustafa Geleto Ansha, Rana Jawad Asghar, Zerihun Ataro, Rakesh Ayer, Arefeh Babazadeh, Ayele Geleto, Katherine E Ballesteros, Joseph Adel Mattar Banoub, Amrit Banstola, Meysam Behzadifar, Yihalem Abebe Belay, Robert S. Bernstein, Mircea Beuran, Tina Beyranvand, Suraj Bhattarai, Ver Bilano, Nigus Bililign, Muhammad Shahdaat Bin Sayeed, Brigette F. Blacker, Ibrahim R. Bou-Orm, Luísa Campos Caldeira Brant, Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado, Jorge Cano, Hsing‐Yi Chang, Aparajita Chattopadhyay, Rafael Moreira Claro, Daniel Collado‐Mateo, Megan Costa, Abel Fekadu Dadi, Tamirat Tesfaye Dasa, Jan‐Walter De Neve, Selina Deiparine, Getenet Dessie, Subhojit Dey, Mesfin Tadese Dinberu, Linh Phuong Doan, David Teye Doku, Kerrie Doyle, Eleonora Dubljanin, Eyasu Ejeta Duken, Soheil Ebrahimpour, Michelle Echko, Andem Effiong, Charbel El Bcheraoui, Ziad El‐Khatib, Hajer Elkout, Ahmadali Enayati, Benjamin Er, Hamed Fakhim, Vahid Fallah Omrani, Mahbobeh Faramarzi, Farzaneh Farhadi, Netsanet Fentahun, Garumma Tolu Feyissa, Tahvi Frank, Tilayie Feto Gelano, Ricard Gènova-Maleras, Yilma Chisha Dea Geramo, Khalil Ghasemi Falavarjani, Mamata Ghimire, Aloke Gopal Ghoshal, Tiffany K Gill, Prakash C. Gupta, Tanush Gupta, Bishal Gyawali, Hassan Haghparast‐Bidgoli, Mehedi Hasan, Caitlin Hawley, Akbar Hedayatizadeh‐Omran, Andualem Henok, Sousan Heydarpour, Desalegn Tsegaw Hibstu, Huong Thanh Hoang, Enayatollah Homaie Rad, Mostafa Hosseini, Chad Ikeda, Bogdan Vasile Ileanu, Suresh Jungari, Rajendra Kadel, Amaha Kahsay, Manoochehr Karami, Narges Karimi, Saeed Karimi, Dessalegn H Kassa, Masoud Keighobadi, Grant Rodgers Kemp, Behzad Khafaei, Alireza Khajavi, Muhammad Ali Khan, Ardeshir Khosravi, Mohammad Hossein Khosravi, Daniel N Kiirithio, Pauline T. Kim, Deepesh Lad, Sheetal D Lad, Alessandra Lafranconi, Arman Latifi, Kathryn Mei-Ming Lau, Sonia Lewycka, Yu Liao, Rakesh Lodha, Nicola Low, Lydia R Lucchesi, Stefan Ma, Erlyn Rachelle King Macarayan, Dhaval P Maghavani, Narayan Bahadur Mahotra, Reza Majdzadeh, Ana-Laura Manda, Chabila Christopher Mapoma, Melvin Barrientos Marzan, Tivani P. Mashamba-Thompson, Varshil Mehta, Addisu Melese, Mulugeta Melku, Desalegn Tadese Mengistu, Benjamin Miltz, Habtamu Mitiku, Bahram Mohajer, Mousa Mohammadnia‐Afrouzi, Mohammed A. Mohammed, Farnam Mohebi, Modhurima Moitra, Mehdi Moradinazar, Marilita M. Moschos, W Cliff Mountjoy-Venning, Kalayu Brhane Mruts, Achenef Asmamaw Muche, Kindie Fentahun Muchie, Oumer Sada Muhammed, Kate Muller, Manoj Murhekar, Jonah Musa, Azin Nahvijou, Gurudatta Naik, Nitish Naik, Hae‐Sung Nam, Nahid Neamati, Subas Neupane, Nguyễn Quỳnh Anh, Ha Nguyen, Huong Thanh Nguyen, Nam Ba Nguyen, Nomonde Nolutshungu, Mehdi Noroozi, Hamid Reza Nouri, Malihe Nourollahpour Shiadeh, Mohammad Reza Nowroozi, Peter S. Nyasulu, Richard Ofori‐Asenso, Olanrewaju Oladimeji, Helen Elizabeth Olsen, Rosana Pacella, Amir H. Pakpour, Andrea Parisi, Shanti Patel, Snehal T Patil, Ajay Patle, Vishnupriya Rao Paturi, Katherine Paulson, Oleguer Plana‐Ripoll, Swayam Prakash, Caroline Purcell, Manorama Purwar, Prabhat Ranjan, Satar Rezaei, Ali Rostami, Nafis Sadat, Ehsan Sadeghi, Roya Safari‐Faramani, Mahdi Safdarian, Haniye Sadat Sajadi, Komal Saleem, Zikria Saleem, Yahya Salimi, Sundeep Salvi, Yingying Sang, Bruno Piassi Sâo José, Mayank Sardana, Abdur Razzaque Sarker, Arundhati R Sawant, Seyedmojtaba Seyedmousavi, Hosein Shabaninejad, Azadeh Shafieesabet, Mehdi Shahbazi, MohammadBagher Shamsi, Heidar Sharafi, Mahdi Sharif-Alhoseini, Meenakshi Sharma, Peilin Shi, Kawkab Shishani, Farhad Shokraneh, Si Si, Tariq Jamal Siddiqi, Narayana Sarma V. Singam, Narinder Pal Singh, Virendra Singh, Dhirendra Narain Sinha, Erica Leigh Slepak, David L. Smith, Adauto Martins Soares Filho, Soheila Sobhani, Masoud Soosaraei, Michelle Subart, Ipsita Sutradhar, Birkneh Tilahun Tadesse, Segen Gebremeskel Tassew, T. Tekalign, Shishay Wahdey Tekelemedhin, Merhawi Gebremedhin Tekle, Habtamu Temesgen, Mebrahtu Teweldemedhin, Binyam Tilahun, Quyen G. To, Thomas Clement Truelsen, Derrick Tsoi, Jürgen Unützer, Rachel L Updike, Muhammad Usman, Afsane Vaezi, Santos Villafaina, Isidora S Vujcic, Fasil Shiferaw Wagnew, Fitsum Weldegebreal, T. Eoin West, Justyna Widecka, Alison B. Wiyeh, Yun-Chun Wu, Grant M. A. Wyper, Tomohide Yamada, Yasin Jemal Yasin, Alex Yeshaneh, Engida Yisma, Mohammad Zamani, Zohreh Zare, Ayalew Jejaw, Inbar Zucker, Rajeev Gupta, Katharine J Looker, Payman Salamati, Krishna K Aryal, Kavumpurathu Raman Thankappan, Rizwan Kalani, Gopalakrishnan Natarajan, Ibrahim A Khalil, Stein Emil Vollset, Bahroom Armoon, Walid Ammar, Rana Jawad Asghar, Behzad Karami Matin, Hue Thi Mai, Seyed Mostafa Hosseini, Seyed M Karimi, Kidu Gidey Weldegwergs, Ayalew Jejaw Zeleke
2018-11-01
SCID:  54.1/unsknqmj Discuss with AI
DisMod-MR 2.1Исследование глобального бремени болезнейсоциодемографический индексзаболеваемость и распространенностьгоды жизни с инвалидностью
Abstract (AI)
ВВЕДЕНИЕ: Исследование глобального бремени болезней, травм и факторов риска 2017 года (GBD 2017) включает всестороннюю оценку заболеваемости, распространённости и лет жизни, прожитых с инвалидностью (YLD), для 354 причин в 195 странах и территориях за период с 1990 по 2017 год. Предыдущие исследования GBD показали, что снижение показателей смертности в период с 1990 по 2016 год привело к увеличению ожидаемой продолжительности жизни, старению населения мира и расширению нефатального бремени заболеваний и травм. Эти исследования также продемонстрировали, что значительная часть населения мира испытывает нефатальные потери здоровья, причём между различными причинами, регионами, возрастными группами и полами наблюдается существенная неоднородность. К текущим задачам исследования GBD относятся повышение детализации оценок, совершенствование аналитических стратегий и увеличение объёма высококачественных данных. МЕТОДЫ: Мы оценили заболеваемость и распространённость 354 заболеваний и травм, а также 3484 последствий заболеваний. Были использованы обновлённый и расширенный массив литературных источников, данные обследований, данные эпидемиологического надзора, записи о госпитализациях, сведения об амбулаторных посещениях и данные страховых требований; кроме того, для уточнения оценок использовались результаты моделей причин смерти — всего 68 781 источник данных. Были включены недавно полученные клинические данные из Индии, Ирана, Японии, Иордании, Непала, Китая, Бразилии, Норвегии и Италии, а также обновлённые данные страховых требований из США и новые данные из Тайваня (провинция Китая) и Сингапура. В качестве основного метода оценки применялся DisMod-MR 2.1 — байесовский инструмент метарегрессии, обеспечивающий согласованность показателей заболеваемости, распространённости, ремиссии и смертности от каждой патологии. YLD оценивались как произведение оценки распространённости на вес инвалидизации для состояний здоровья, соответствующих каждому взаимоисключающему последствию заболевания, с поправкой на коморбидность. Был обновлён социодемографический индекс (SDI) — сводный показатель развития, учитывающий доход на душу населения, продолжительность обучения и общий коэффициент рождаемости. Кроме того, мы...
Key Findings
1
Основным методом оценки стала байесовская метарегрессионная модель DisMod-MR 2.1, обеспечивающая согласованность оценок заболеваемости, распространённости, ремиссии и причин смерти.
2
GBD 2017 представляет глобальные, региональные и национальные оценки заболеваемости, распространённости и лет жизни с инвалидностью для 354 заболеваний и травм в 195 странах и территориях за 1990–2017 годы.
3
Анализ охватывает 3484 последствия заболеваний и объединяет 68 781 источник данных, включая научные публикации, обследования, системы эпиднадзора, медицинские записи, страховые требования и модели причин смерти.
4
Для повышения точности оценок были включены обновлённые клинические и страховые данные из разных стран, включая новые данные из девяти стран, а также обновлённые или новые данные страховых требований из США, Тайваня и Сингапура.
5
Годы жизни с инвалидностью рассчитывались на основе распространённости и весов инвалидности для взаимоисключающих последствий заболеваний с поправкой на коморбидность, что позволило оценить нефатальное бремя по причинам, территориям, возрасту и полу.
Research Object

Заболеваемость (incidence), распространённость (prevalence) и годы, прожитые с инвалидностью (years lived with disability) для 354 заболеваний и травм по 195 странам и территориям (1990–2017)

Research Subject

Глобальная, региональная и национальная заболеваемость, распространённость и годы жизни с инвалидностью (YLDs), включая различия по причинам, территориям, возрасту и полу

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2018-11-01
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Authors
Kazem Rahimi
Norberto Perico
Giuseppe Remuzzi
Ashkan Afshin
Giuseppe Grosso
Amirhossein Sahebkar
Christopher J L Murray
Cristiana Abbafati
Foad Abd-Allah
Ahmed Abdelalim
Ibrahim Abdollahpour
Laith J. Abu‐Raddad
Victor Adekanmbi
Olatunji Adetokunboh
Gina Agarwal
Mehdi Ahmadi
Hamid Ahmadieh
Muktar Beshir Ahmed
Tomi Akinyemiju
Fares Alahdab
Ziyad Al‐Aly
Khurshid Alam
Shazia Alam
Syed Mohamed Aljunid
François Alla
Peter Allebeck
Hesham M. Al‐Mekhlafi
Khalid A Altirkawi
Cătălina Liliana Andrei
Mina Anjomshoa
Jalal Arabloo
Filippo Ariani
Bahram Armoon
Johan Ärnlöv
Marcel Ausloos
Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla
Alaa Badawi
Shoshana H. Ballew
Maciej Banach
Suzanne Barker‐Collo
Till Bärnighausen
Lope H. Barrero
Bernhard T. Baune
Neeraj Bedi
Ettore Beghi
Yannick Béjot
Isabela M. Benseñor
Neeraj Bhala
Zulfiqar A Bhutta
Ali Bijani
Boris Bikbov
Muhammad Shahdaat Bin Sayeed
Soufiane Boufous
Nicholas J. K. Breitborde
Hermann Brenner
Paul Svitil Briant
Andrey Briko
Gabrielle B. Britton
Zahid A Butt
Rosario Cárdenas
Juan Jesús Carrero
Félix Carvalho
Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela
Franz Castro
Kelly Cercy
Ester Cerin
Fiona Charlson
Vijay Kumar Chattu
Jee-Young Jasmine Choi
Hanne Christensen
Flavia Cicuttini
Liliana G Ciobanu
Massimo Círillo
Ewerton Cousin
Lalit Dandona
Rakhi Dandona
Paul I. Dargan
Ahmad Daryani
Rajat Das Gupta
José das Neves
Dragoş Virgil Daviţoiu
Diego De Leo
Louisa Degenhardt
Robert P Dellavalle
Gebre Teklemariam Demoz
Nikolaos Dervenis
Shirin Djalalinia
Клара Докова
Tim Driscoll
Bruce Bartholow Duncan
André Rodrigues Durães
David Edvardsson
Iqbal Elyazar
Holly E Erskine
Sharareh Eskandarieh
Alireza Esteghamati
Mohammad Fareed
Andrea Farioli
André Faro
Farshad Farzadfar
Valery L. Feigin
Seyed‐Mohammad Fereshtehnejad
Eduarda Fernandes
Alize J Ferrari
Irina Filip
Florian Fischer
Nataliya A Foigt
Takeshi Fukumoto
João M. Furtado
Alberto L. García‐Basteiro
William M. Gardner
Peter W. Gething
Keyghobad Ghadiri
Rakesh Ghosh
Paramjit Gill
Giorgia Giussani
E. V. Gnedovskaya
Sameer Vali Gopalani
Alessandra C. Goulart
H. C. Gugnani
Yuming Guo
Tarun Gupta
Nima Hafezi‐Nejad
Arvin Haj‐Mirzaian
Arya Haj‐Mirzaian
Randah R Hamadeh
Samer Hamidi
Graeme J. Hankey
Josep María Haro
Hadi Hassankhani
Rasmus Havmoeller
Simon I Hay
Claudiu Herţeliu
Hans W. Hoek
Praveen Hoogar
Hung Chak Ho
Mehdi Hosseinzadeh
Mihaela Hostiuc
Sorin Hostiuc
Mohamed Hsaïri
Guoqing Hu
Chantal Huynh
Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi
Usman Iqbal
Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani
Caleb Mackay Salpeter Irvine
Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam
Kathryn H. Jacobsen
Mihajlo Jakovljević
Spencer L James
Panniyammakal Jeemon
Ravi Prakash Jha
Vivekanand Jha
John S. Ji
Catherine O. Johnson
Jost B. Jonas
Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak
Mikk Jürisson
Zubair Kabir
Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader
Tanuj Kanchan
Behzad Karami Matin
André Karch
Getachew Mullu Kassa
Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi
Ali Kazemi Karyani
Peter Njenga Keiyoro
Laura Kemmer
Ejaz Ahmad Khan
Yun Jin Kim
Ruth W Kimokoti
Adnan Kısa
Mika Kivimäki
Ann Kristin Knudsen
Jonathan Kocarnik
Sonali Kochhar
Jacek A Kopec
Parvaiz A Koul
Ai Koyanagi
Kewal Krishan
Barthélémy Kuate Defo
G Anil Kumar
Ratilal Lalloo
Tea Lallukka
Faris Lami
Jeffrey V. Lazarus
Paul H. Lee
Janni Leung
Miriam Levi
Shanshan Li
Lee‐Ling Lim
Shiwei Liu
Justin Lo
Alan D Lopez
Stefan Lorkowski
Paulo A. Lotufo
Azeem Majeed
Reza Malekzadeh
Déborah Carvalho Malta
Abdullah Al Mamun
Helena Manguerra
Mohammad Alì Mansournia
Joemer C Maravilla
Ashley Marks
Francisco Rogerlândio Martins‐Melo
Manu Raj Mathur
Kunihiro Matsushita
Pallab K Maulik
Colm McAlinden
John J. McGrath
Martin McKee
Man Mohan Mehndiratta
Kala M. Mehta
Ziad A. Memish
Walter Mendoza
Seid Tiku Mereta
Atte Meretoja
Tuomo J Meretoja
Tomislav Meštrović
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Ted R. Miller
GK Mini
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Babak Moazen
Naser Mohammad Gholi Mezerji
Shafiu Mohammed
Ali H. Mokdad
Mariam Molokhia
Lorenzo Monasta
Ghobad Moradi
Maziar Moradi‐Lakeh
Paula Moraga
Lídia Morawska
Joana Morgado-da-Costa
Shane D. Morrison
Seyyed Meysam Mousavi
Ulrich Müeller
Satinath Mukhopadhyay
Kamarul Imran Musa
Ashraf Nabhan
Farid Najafi
Vinay Nangia
Jobert Richie Nansseu
Ionuţ Negoi
Josephine W Ngunjiri
Huong Lan Thi Nguyen
Minh Nguyen
Molly R Nixon
Shuhei Nomura
Bo Norrving
Jean Jacques Noubiap
Christopher M Odell
Felix Akpojene Ogbo
In‐Hwan Oh
Andrew T Olagunju
Bolajoko O. Olusanya
Sok King Ong
Alberto Ortíz
Stanislav S Otstavnov
Simon Øverland
Mayowa Owolabi
P A Mahesh
Songhomitra Panda‐Jonas
Charles Parry
George Patton
David M. Pereira
Konrad Pesudovs
Michael Phillips
М. А. Пирадов
Meghdad Pirsaheb
Dietrich Plaß
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Maarten J. Postma
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Puja C Rao
David Laith Rawaf
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Leonardo Roever
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Basema Saddik
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Yahya Safari
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Abdallah M Samy
Damian Santomauro
Itamar S Santos
João Vasco Santos
Milena M Santric-Milicevic
Nizal Sarrafzadegan
Benn Sartorius
Brijesh Sathian
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María Inês Schmidt
David C. Schwebel
Falk Schwendicke
Sadaf G Sepanlou
Amira Shaheen
Mehran Shams-Beyranvand
Morteza Shamsizadeh
Kiomars Sharafi
Aziz Sheikh
Kenji Shibuya
Mika Shigematsu
Rahman Shiri
Reza Shirkoohi
Soraya Siabani
Inga Dóra Sigfúsdóttir
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Caitlyn Steiner
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Rafael Tabarés‐Seisdedos
Nuno Taveira
Arash Tehrani‐Banihashemi
Mohamad‐Hani Temsah
Marcello Tonelli
Roman Topór-Mądry
Fotis Topouzis
Anna E Torre
Mathilde Touvier
Bach Xuan Tran
Lorainne Tudor Car
Pascual Valdéz
Tommi Vasankari
Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian
Francesco Saverio Violante
Vasily Vlassov
Theo Vos
Yasir Waheed
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Robert G Weintraub
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Rafael Lozano
Winfried März
Mojde Mirarefin
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Mostafa Qorbani
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Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja
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Janet L Leasher
Sofia Androudi
Elizabeth A. Cromwell
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Hai Quang Pham
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Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman
Nickolas Reinig
Mohammad Ali Sahraian
Miltiadis K. Tsilimbaris
Mehdi Yaseri
Shouling Wu
Antonio Araúz
Miguel A. Barboza
Josef Coresh
Khanh Bao Tran
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Rachelle Buchbinder
Jacqueline Castillo Rivas
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Peggy Pei-Chia Chiang
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Cyrus Cooper
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Marcos Roberto Tovani‐Palone
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Zerihun Menlkalew Zenebe
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Awoke Temesgen Misganaw
Noushin Mohammadifard
Mahmood Moosazadeh
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Alireza Rafiei
Afarin Rahimi‐Movaghar
Stephen R. Robinson
Inbal Salz
Agus Sudaryanto
Dillon O Sylte
Santosh Kumar Tadakamadla
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Daniel J. Weiss
Lauren B. Wilner
Shadrach Wilson
Sojib Bin Zaman
Christopher J L Murray
Simona Giampaoli
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Kia Vosoughi
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Solomón Mequanente Abay
Fiona Blyth
Sanghamitra Pati
Zheng Zhao
Kai Zhang
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D. Alex Quistberg
Muhammad Shahzeb Khan
Charles R. Newton
Marita Cross
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Léopold Ndemnge Aminde
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Arefeh Babazadeh
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Katherine E Ballesteros
Joseph Adel Mattar Banoub
Amrit Banstola
Meysam Behzadifar
Yihalem Abebe Belay
Robert S. Bernstein
Mircea Beuran
Tina Beyranvand
Suraj Bhattarai
Ver Bilano
Nigus Bililign
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Brigette F. Blacker
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Luísa Campos Caldeira Brant
Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado
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