Глобальное бремя 369 заболеваний и травм в 204 странах и территориях в 1990–2019 годах: систематический анализ для Исследования глобального бремени болезней 2019 года

Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Christopher R. Cederroth, Anders Olof Larsson, Aristidis Tsatsakis, Norberto Perico, Giuseppe Remuzzi, Peng Jia, Ashkan Afshin, Giuseppe Grosso, Arash Etemadi, Maryam Hashemian, Amirhossein Sahebkar, Sarah Lewington, Christopher J L Murray, Aleksandr Y. Aravkin, Peng Zheng, Cristiana Abbafati, Kaja Abbas, Mohsen Abbasi‐Kangevari, Foad Abd-Allah, Ahmed Abdelalim, Mohammad Abdollahı, Ibrahim Abdollahpour, Hassan Abolhassani, Victor Aboyans, Lucas Guimarães Abreu, Michael R.M. Abrigo, Laith J. Abu‐Raddad, Abdelrahman Ibrahim Abushouk, Maryam Adabi, Victor Adekanmbi, Olatunji Adetokunboh, Davoud Adham, Gina Agarwal, Seyed Mohammad Kazem Aghamir, Anurag Agrawal, Tauseef Ahmad, Mehdi Ahmadi, Hamid Ahmadieh, Temesgen Yihunie Akalu, Rufus Akinyemi, Tomi Akinyemiju, Blessing Akombi-Inyang, Ziyad Al‐Aly, Khurshid Alam, Shazia Alam, Turki M Alanzi, Muhammad Ali, Saqib Ali, Gianfranco Alicandro, Cyrus Alinia, Vahid Alipour, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, François Alla, Amir Almasi‐Hashiani, Jordi Alonso, Khalid A Altirkawi, Mostafa Amini‐Rarani, Fatemeh Amiri, Dickson A Amugsi, Deanna Anderlini, Cătălina Liliana Andrei, Tudorel Andrei, Mina Anjomshoa, Fereshteh Ansari, Alireza Ansari-Moghaddam, Carl Abelardo T Antonio, Catherine M Antony, Ernoiz Antriyandarti, Davood Anvari, Razique Anwer, Jalal Arabloo, Morteza Arab‐Zozani, Filippo Ariani, Johan Ärnlöv, Afsaneh Arzani, Mehran Asadi-Aliabadi, Ali A. Asadi‐Pooya, Charlie Ashbaugh, Desta Debalkie Atnafu, Floriane Ausloos, Marcel Ausloos, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Getinet Ayano, Martin Amogre Ayanore, Samad Azari, Ghasem Azarian, Zelalem Nigussie Azene, Alaa Badawi, Mohammad Hossein Bakhshaei, Ahad Bakhtiari, Maciej Banach, Adhanom Gebreegziabher Baraki, Suzanne Barker‐Collo, Celine M Barthelemy, Lingkan Barua, Sanjay Basu, Mohsen Bayati, Neeraj Bedi, Ettore Beghi, Yannick Béjot, Fiona B Bennitt, Isabela M. Benseñor, Kidanemaryam Berhe, Bhageerathy Reshmi, Neeraj Bhala, Dinesh Bhandari, Krittika Bhattacharyya, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Boris Bikbov, Muhammad Shahdaat Bin Sayeed, Antonio Biondi, Binyam Minuye Birhane, Catherine Bisignano, Raaj Kishore Biswas, Somayeh Bohlouli, Mehdi Bohluli, Alexandra S Boon-Dooley, Guilherme Borges, Antonio Maria Borzì, Nicholas J. K. Breitborde, Hermann Brenner, Paul Svitil Briant, Н. И. Брико, Gabrielle B. Britton, Dana Bryazka, Blair R Bumgarner, Zahid A Butt, Florentino Luciano Caetano dos Santos, Luis LA Alberto Cámera, Ismael Campos‐Nonato, Rosario Cárdenas, Giulia Carreras, Juan Jesús Carrero, Félix Carvalho, João Maurício Castaldelli-Maia, Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela, Giulio Castelpietra, Franz Castro, Kate Causey, Kelly Cercy, Ester Cerin, Fiona Charlson, Vijay Kumar Chattu, Sarika Chaturvedi, Odgerel Chimed‐Ochir, Daniel Cho, Hanne Christensen, Dinh‐Toi Chu, Michael T. Chung, Flavia Cicuttini, Liliana G Ciobanu, Massimo Círillo, Kelly Compton, Vera Marisa Costa, Ewerton Cousin, Di H. Cross, Jessica A Cruz, Saad M A Dahlawi, Giovanni Damiani, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, Aso Mohammad Darwesh, Ahmad Daryani, Jai K Das, Rajat Das Gupta, José das Neves, Claudio Alberto Dávila-Cervantes, Diego De Leo, Louisa Degenhardt, Robert P Dellavalle, Feleke Mekonnen Demeke, Desalegn Getnet Demsie, Edgar Denova‐Gutiérrez, Nikolaos Dervenis, Govinda Prasad Dhungana, Mostafa Dianatinasab, Daniel Díaz, Budi Aji, Shirin Djalalinia, Hoa Do, Клара Докова, Fariba Dorostkar, Leila Doshmangir, Tim Driscoll, Bruce Bartholow Duncan, André Rodrigues Durães, Arielle Wilder Eagan, David Edvardsson, Nevine El Nahas, Iman El Sayed, Maha El Tantawi, Iffat Elbarazi, Islam Y. Elgendy, Shaimaa I El-Jaafary, Iqbal Elyazar, Holly E Erskine, Sharareh Eskandarieh, Saman Esmaeilnejad, Alireza Esteghamati, Kara Estep, Atkilt Esaiyas Etisso, Mohammad Farahmand, Mohammad Fareed, Roghiyeh Faridnia, Andrea Farioli, André Faro, Mithila Faruque, Farshad Farzadfar, Nazir Fattahi, Mehdi Fazlzadeh, Valery L. Feigin, Rachel Feldman, Eduarda Fernandes, Alize J Ferrari, Manuela L. Ferreira, Irina Filip, Florian Fischer, James L. Fisher, Luísa Sório Flor, Nataliya A Foigt, Morẹ́nikẹ́ Oluwátóyìn Foláyan, Lisa M Force, Masoud Foroutan, Marisa Freitas, Weijia Fu, Takeshi Fukumoto, João M. Furtado, Emmanuela Gakidou, Silvano Gallus, Alberto L. García‐Basteiro, William M. Gardner, Biniyam Sahiledengle Geberemariyam, Assefa Ayalew Gebreslassie, Anna Gershberg Hayoon, Peter W. Gething, Maryam Ghadimi, Keyghobad Ghadiri, Mansour Ghafourifard, Farhad Ghamari, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Hesam Ghiasvand, Nermin Ghith, Asadollah Gholamian, Paramjit Gill, Giorgia Giussani, Sameer Vali Gopalani, Giuseppe Gorini, Houman Goudarzi, Alessandra C. Goulart, Michal Grivna, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari, H. C. Gugnani, Rafael Alves Guimarães, Rashid Abdi Guled, Gaorui Guo, Yuming Guo, Beatrix Haddock, Nima Hafezi‐Nejad, Brian J. Hall, Iman Halvaei, Randah R Hamadeh, Graeme J. Hankey, Josep María Haro, Ahmed I Hasaballah, Soheil Hassanipour, Hadi Hassankhani, Rasmus Havmoeller, Simon I Hay, Khezar Hayat, Golnaz Heidari, Reza Heidari‐Soureshjani, Hannah Henrikson, Claudiu Herţeliu, Thomas R. Hird, Hans W. Hoek, Ramesh Holla, Praveen Hoogar, Hung Chak Ho, Mehdi Hosseinzadeh, Mihaela Hostiuc, Sorin Hostiuc, Mohamed Hsaïri, Vivian Chia‐Rong Hsieh, Guoqing Hu, Tanvir Huda, Chantal Huynh, Bing‐Fang Hwang, Vincent C Iannucci, Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye, Kevin S Ikuta, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Milena Ilić, Leeberk Raja Inbaraj, Helen Ippolito, Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani, M Mofizul Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam, Hiroyasu Iso, Rebecca Ivers, Chidozie C D Iwu, Ihoghosa Iyamu, Jalil Jaafari, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Hussain Jafari, Morteza Jafarinia, Mohammad Ali Jahani, Mihajlo Jakovljević, Farzad Jalilian, Spencer L James, Hosna Janjani, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Ensiyeh Jenabi, Ravi Prakash Jha, Vivekanand Jha, John S. Ji, Oommen John, Yetunde O. John-Akinola, Catherine O. Johnson, Jost B. Jonas, Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak, Mikk Jürisson, Ali Kabir, Zubair Kabir, Hamed Kalani, Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader, Leila R Kalankesh, Rohollah Kalhor, Tanuj Kanchan, Behzad Karami Matin, André Karch, Mohd Anisul Karim, Getachew Mullu Kassa, Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi, Gbenga A Kayode, Cathleen Keller, Nauman Khalid, Maseer Khan, Khaled Khatab, Mona M Khater, Mahalaqua Nazli Khatib, Maryam Khayamzadeh, Christian Kieling, Yun Jin Kim, Ruth W Kimokoti, Adnan Kısa, Sezer Kısa, Mika Kivimäki, Ann Kristin Knudsen, Jonathan Kocarnik, Parvaiz A Koul, Ai Koyanagi, Kewal Krishan, Kris J Krohn, Barthélémy Kuate Defo, G Anil Kumar, Vivek Kumar, Om Kurmi, Dian Kusuma, Carlo La Vecchia, Ben Lacey, Ratilal Lalloo, Faris Lami, Iván Landires, Justin Lang, Savita Lasrado, Paul H. Lee, Shaun Wen Huey Lee, Kate E LeGrand, James Leigh, Matilde Leonardi, Haley Lescinsky, Janni Leung, Miriam Levi, Shanshan Li, Lee‐Ling Lim, Shai Linn, Shiwei Liu, Justin Lo, Alan D Lopez, Platon D Lopukhov, Stefan Lorkowski, Paulo A. Lotufo, Alessandra Lugo, Emilie R Maddison, Phetole Walter Mahasha, Azeem Majeed, Shokofeh Maleki, Reza Malekzadeh, Déborah Carvalho Malta, Abdullah Al Mamun, Helena Manguerra, Borhan Mansouri, Mohammad Alì Mansournia, Ana Maria Mantilla Herrera, Joemer C Maravilla, Ashley Marks, Francisco Rogerlândio Martins‐Melo, Seyedeh Zahra Masoumi, Manu Raj Mathur, Pallab K Maulik, Colm McAlinden, Martin McKee, Man Mohan Mehndiratta, Fereshteh Mehri, Kala M. Mehta, Walter Mendoza, Ritesh G. Menezes, Endalkachew Worku Mengesha, Alibek Mereke, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J Meretoja, Tomislav Meštrović, Bartosz Miazgowski, Tomasz Miazgowski, Irmina Maria Michałek, Ted R. 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Salomon, Zainab Samad, Abdallah M Samy, Juan Sanabria, Damian Santomauro, Itamar S Santos, João Vasco Santos, Milena M Santric-Milicevic, Sivan Yegnanarayana Iyer Saraswathy, Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez, Nizal Sarrafzadegan, Benn Sartorius, Arash Sarveazad, Brijesh Sathian, Davide Sattin, Lauren E. Schaeffer, Silvia Schiavolin, Aletta E. Schutte, David C. Schwebel, Falk Schwendicke, Anbissa Muleta Senbeta, Subramanian Senthilkumaran, Sadaf G Sepanlou, Jamileh Shadid, Amira Shaheen, Masood Ali Shaikh, Ali Shalash, Mehran Shams-Beyranvand, Morteza Shamsizadeh, Kiomars Sharafi, Abbas Sheikhtaheri, Kenji Shibuya, Mika Shigematsu, Jae Il Shin, Rahman Shiri, Reza Shirkoohi, Kerem Shuval, Soraya Siabani, Inga Dóra Sigfúsdóttir, Rannveig Sigurvinsdóttir, João Pedro Silva, Kyle E Simpson, Ambrish Singh, Eirini Skiadaresi, Valentin Yurievich Skryabin, Shahin Soltani, Reed J D Sorensen, Joan B. Soriano, Muluken Bekele Sorrie, Ireneous N Soyiri, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Jeffrey D Stanaway, Caroline Stein, Dan J. Stein, Caitlyn Steiner, Mark A. Stokes, Jacob L. Stubbs, Mu’awiyyah Babale Sufiyan, Gerhard Sulo, Iyad Sultan, Rafael Tabarés‐Seisdedos, Karen M. Tabb, Amir Taherkhani, Masih Tajdini, Ken Takahashi, Nuno Taveira, Arash Tehrani‐Banihashemi, Zemenu Tadesse Tessema, Hamid Reza Tohidinik, Marcello Tonelli, Roman Topór-Mądry, Anna E Torre, Mathilde Touvier, Marcos Roberto Roberto Tovani-Palone, Bach Xuan Tran, Ravensara S. Travillian, Lorainne Tudor Car, Stefanos Tyrovolas, Riaz Uddin, Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan, Marco Vacante, Pascual Valdéz, Tommi Vasankari, Yasser Vasseghian, Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian, Francesco Saverio Violante, Vasily Vlassov, Theo Vos, Rade Vuković, Yasir Waheed, Yafeng Wang, Yuan‐Pang Wang, Stefanie Watson, Jingkai Wei, Robert G Weintraub, Jordan Weiss, Ronny Westerman, Joanna L Whisnant, Harvey Whiteford, Kirsten E. Wiens, Charles Wolfe, Aimin Wu, Sarah Wulf Hanson, Gelin Xu, Rixing Xu, Simon Yadgir, Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh Jabbari, Kazumasa Yamagishi, Mousa Yaminfirooz, Yuichiro Yano, Sanni Yaya, Vahid Yazdi‐Feyzabadi, Tomas Yeheyis, Paul Yip, Naohiro Yonemoto, Mustafa Z Younis, Theodore Patrick Younker, Zabihollah Yousefi, Abdilahi Yousuf, Chuanhua Yu, Hasan Yusefzadeh, Telma Zahirian Moghadam, Mohammad Reza Zamani, Maryam Zamanian, Hamed Zandian, Михаил Сергеевич Застрожин, Yunquan Zhang, Zhi-Jiang Zhang, Jeff T Zhao, Yingxi Zhao, Arash Ziapour, Stephanie R M Zimsen, Stephen S Lim, Gregory A. Roth, Timothy J. Steiner, Lars Jacob Stovner, Akram Pourshams, Eduardo Bernabé, Carla Sofia e Sá Farinha, Farhad Islami, Irfan Ullah, Giang Thu Vu, Tissa Wijeratne, Rajeev Gupta, Thomas Pilgrim, Nelson Alvis‐Guzmán, Derrick Bennett, Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne, Daniel Kim, Soewarta Kosen, Bryan L. Sykes, Seok‐Jun Yoon, Songhomitra Panda‐Jonas, Joshua R. Ehrlich, Rupert Bourne, Pankaj Bhardwaj, Elizabeth A. Cromwell, Hala Rashad Elhabashy, Mohammad Hassan Emamian, Syed Amir Gilani, Burcu Küçük Biçer, Van Charles Lansingh, Navid Manafi, Nickolas Reinig, Mohammad Ali Sahraian, Wondimeneh Shibabaw Shiferaw, Avina Vongpradith, Vinay Nangia, Miguel A. Barboza, Carol Brayne, Emilie Agardh, Peter Alle­beck, Ana Vuković, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Hmwe Hmwe Kyu, David M. Pigott, Christopher Troeger, Ilana N. Ackerman, Noore Alam, Rajaa Al‐Raddadi, Donal Bisanzio, Ferrán Catalá-López, Babak Eshrati, Roderick J. Hay, Damian G Hoy, Nader Jahanmehr, Achala Upendra Jayatilleke, Norito Kawakami, Michael Kravchenko, Jennifer O. Lam, Pablo M Lavados, Raimundas Lunevičius, Ronan A Lyons, João Massano, Peter Memiah, Eun‐Kee Park, Ángel Paternina‐Caicedo, Katya Anne Shackelford, Mark G. Shrime, Eduardo A. Undurraga, Kairat Davletov, Eugène Sobngwi, Fablina Sharara, Chieh Han, Samuel B Albertson, Rose Bender, Matthew Cunningham, Susanna Dunachie, Jianing Ma, Mahmoud Yousefifard, Emma Nichols, Ilais Moreno Velásquez, Priya Parmar, Mohammad Sadegh Rezai, Alexander C. Tsai, Mojtaba Bagherzadeh, Bernhard T. Baune, Andrew M. Briggs, Frances Dean, James Harvey, Hedayat Abbastabar, Mohammad Aghaali, Senthilkumar Balakrishnan, Srinivasa Rao Bolla, Firooz Esmaeilzadeh, Ricardo Santiago Gomez, Fernando Neves Hugo, Tamás Joó, Katarzyna Kissimova‐Skarbek, Masoud Moghadaszadeh, Ahmed Omar Bali, Adrian Pană, Mohammed Shannawaz, Miklós Szócska, Saif Ullah, Heidi J. Larson, Elizabeth Robinson, Mohammad Abbasi, Mitra Abbasifard, Elissa M. Abrams, Alyssa Acebedo, Abdu A. Adamu, Oladimeji Adebayo, Jaimie D. Adelson, Mahdi Afshari, Kareha M Agesa, Alireza Ahmadi, Ehsan Ahmadpour, Thomas Truelsen, Jacqueline Elizabeth Alcalde‐Rabanal, Niguse Meles Alema, Mehran Alijanzadeh, Nelson J Alvis-Zakzuk, Arya Aminorroaya, Arianna Maever L. Amit, Gianna Gayle Herrera Amul, Iman Ansari, Kavumpurathu Raman Thankappan, Babak Asghari, Sachin Atre, Yared Asmare Aynalem, Ebrahim Babaee, Shivanthi Balalla, Shelly Balassyano, Palash Chandra Banik, Marlena S. Bannick, Akbar Barzegar, Gholamreza Bazmandegan, Aminu K. Bello, Catherine P. Benziger, Gregory J Bertolacci, Sadia Bibi, Molly H Biehl, Archith Boloor, Oliver J. Brady, Rachelle Buchbinder, Reinhard Busse, Josip Car, Chris D Castle, Alex R. Chang, Ken Lee Chin, Emma L. Collins, Sara Conti, Paolo Angelo Cortesi, Christopher S. Crowe, Nicole DeCleene, Amanda Deen, Nebiyu Dereje, Rupak Desai, Assefa Desalew, Zachary V Dingels, M. Ashworth Dirac, Chirag Doshi, Abdel Douiri, Matthew C Doxey, Mohammad Ebrahimi Kalan, Anwar Faraj, Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad, Ryan Fitzgerald, Carsten Flohr, Carla Fornari, Jack T Fox, Mohamed Gad, Natalie C Galles, Amiran Gamkrelidze, Abiyu Mekonnen Gebrehiwot, Ketema Bizuwork Gebremedhin, Alireza Ghajar, Mojgan Gitimoghaddam, Srinivas Goli, Taren M Gorman, Harrison C. Gottlich, Bárbara Niegia Garcia de Goulart, Ayman Grada, André Luiz Sena Guimarães, Juanita A. Haagsma, Abdul Hafiz, Hailey Hagins, Teklehaimanot Gereziher Haile, Erin B Hamilton, Hannah Han, Amir Hasanzadeh, Behnam Heidari, Delia Hendrie, Nathaniel J Henry, Michael K. Hole, Damian G Hoy, Farhad Jadidi‐Niaragh, Deepa Jahagirdar, Amir Jalali, Manthan D Janodia, Sarah Charlotte Johnson, Ankur Joshi, Zahra Kamiab, Salah Eddin Karimi, Suzanne Keddie, Maia Kereselidze, Morteza Abdullatif Khafaie, Mohammad Taghi Khodayari, Roba Khundkar, Neda Kianipour, Young‐Eun Kim, Cameron J. Kneib, Tufa Kolola, Soewarta Kosen, Manasi Kumar, Pushpendra Kumar, Girikumar Kumaresh, Anders Olof Larsson, Zohra S Lassi, Kathryn Mei-Ming Lau, Jeffrey V. Lazarus, Jorge R Ledesma, Christine Lin, Ro‐Ting Lin, Christine Linehan, He Liu, Zichen Liu, Tim Lucas, Jennifer H MacLachlan, Ralph Maddison, Fabiana Madotto, Hue Thi, Venkatesh Maled, Amir Manafi, Ira Martopullo, Benjamin B. Massenburg, Wahengbam Bigyananda Meitei, Meresa Berwo Mengesha, Kebadnew Mulatu, Awoke Temesgen Misganaw, Efat Mohamadi, Noushin Mohammadifard, Stefania Mondello, Mahmood Moosazadeh, Linda Morales, Sandra B. Munro, Moses Muriithi, Sanjeev Nair, A. Nandi, Javad Nazari, Ruxandra Irina Negoi, Henok Biresaw Netsere, Jason Nguyen, Dabere Nigatu, Mojisola Oluwasanu, Aislyn U Orji, Abhijit Pakhare, Deepak Kumar Pasupula, Ashish Pathak, Alexandre C. Pereira, Dietrich Plaß, Khem Narayan Pokhrel, Р. В. Полибин, Reza Pourmirza Kalhori, Alireza Rafiei, Afarin Rahimi‐Movaghar, Davide Rasella, Prateek Rastogi, Antonio Luiz P Ribeiro, Shaun Roberts, Stephen R. Robinson, Leonardo Roever, Sam Rolfe, Susan F. Rumisha, Shahram Saeidi, Mohammad Reza Salahshoor, Saleh Salehi Zahabi, Inbal Salz, Arash Sarveazad, Alyssa N. Sbarra, Saeed Shahabi, Brittney S Sheena, Ranjitha S Shetty, Amanda Smith, Anton Sokhan, Benjamin Stark, Simona Cătălina Ștefan, Agus Sudaryanto, Dillon O Sylte, Santosh Kumar Tadakamadla, Whitney L Teagle, Hirut Teame, Berhane Fseha Teklehaimanot, Sonyah Terrason, Azalea Thomson, Alireza Vakilian, Santosh Varughese, Madgalene K Walters, Jiayu Wang, Joseph Ward, Daniel J. Weiss, Taweewat Wiangkham, Lauren B. Wilner, Shadrach Wilson, Bogdan Wojtyniak, Han Yong Wunrow, Jamal A Yearwood, Yordanos Gizachew Yeshitila, Javad Yoosefi Lebni, Leila Zaki, Sojib Bin Zaman, Alireza Zangeneh, Kaleab Alemayehu Zewdie, Maigeng Zhou, Arash Ziapour, Stephanie R M Zimsen, Mohsen Naghavi, Christopher J L Murray, Kathryn Mei-Ming Lau, Benjamin C Cowie, Katharine J Looker, Zahra Sadat Dibaji Forooshani, Payman Salamati, Taraneh Yousefinezhadi, Krishna K Aryal, Agegnehu Bante Bante, Michael Brauer, Joht Singh Chandan, Richard G Cowden, Getenet Ayalew Dessie, Sophia Emmons-Bell, Kanaan Hamagharib Abdullah, Fatemeh Heydarpour, Mowafa Househ, Jacek A Kopec, John J McGrath, Natalie C Momen, Deepak Paudel, Oleguer Plana-Ripoll, Thirunavukkarasu Sathish, Maria Inês Schmidt, Ambrish Singh, Søren T Skou, Kavumpurathu Raman Thankappan, Eve E Wool, Rizwan Kalani, Irena M Ilic, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Cyrus Alinia, Mohammad Reza Salahshoor, Saeed Amini, Stein Emil Vollset, Samiah Alam, Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan, Alireza Ansari‐Moghaddam, Seyedeh Zahra Masoumi, Mohammad Hossein Bakhshaei, Adhanom Gebreegziabher Baraki, Lydia M Haile, Behzad Karami Matin, Samantha Leigh Larson, Hue Thi Mai, Kebadnew Mulatu Mihretie, Linda Morales, Zahiruddin Quazi Syed, Sarah Wulf Hanson, Mousa Yaminfirooz
2020-10-01
SCID:  54.1/z4yn3cvf Discuss with AI
DisMod-MR 2.1Исследование глобального бремени болезнейсоциодемографический индексгоды жизни с поправкой на инвалидностьпространственно-временная гауссовская процессная регрессия
Abstract (AI)
В эпоху меняющихся глобальных приоритетов и усиления внимания к неинфекционным заболеваниям и травмам наряду с инфекционными заболеваниями необходимы надежные данные о тенденциях по причинам на национальном уровне. Исследование глобального бремени болезней, травм и факторов риска (GBD) представляет собой систематическую научную оценку опубликованных, общедоступных и предоставленных данных о заболеваемости, распространенности и смертности для взаимно исключающего и исчерпывающего перечня заболеваний и травм. МЕТОДЫ: В рамках GBD оценивались заболеваемость, распространенность, смертность, годы жизни, потерянные вследствие преждевременной смерти (YLL), годы жизни, прожитые с инвалидностью (YLD), и годы жизни, скорректированные по нетрудоспособности (DALY), вследствие 369 заболеваний и травм, для лиц обоих полов и 204 стран и территорий. Исходные данные извлекались из переписей населения, обследований домохозяйств, систем гражданской регистрации и статистики актов гражданского состояния, регистров заболеваний, данных об использовании медицинских услуг, мониторинга загрязнения воздуха, спутниковой съемки, уведомлений о заболеваниях и других источников. Причинно-специфические коэффициенты смертности и доли смертей по причинам рассчитывались с использованием ансамблевой модели причин смерти и пространственно-временной гауссовской процессной регрессии. Число смертей по причинам корректировалось для соответствия общему числу смертей от всех причин, рассчитанному в рамках оценок GBD численности населения, рождаемости и смертности. Для расчета YLL число смертей умножалось на стандартную ожидаемую продолжительность жизни для каждого возраста. Байесовский инструмент метарегрессионного моделирования DisMod-MR 2.1 использовался для обеспечения согласованности между заболеваемостью, распространенностью, ремиссией, избыточной смертностью и смертностью по конкретным причинам для большинства причин. Для расчета YLD оценки распространенности умножались на коэффициенты инвалидизации для взаимно исключающих последствий заболеваний и травм. Результаты рассматривались в контексте социально-демографического индекса (SDI) — составного показателя, включающего доход на душу населения, продолжительность обучения и коэффициент рождаемости у женщин младше 25 лет. Для каждого показателя рассчитывались интервалы неопределенности (UI) с использованием 25-го и 975-го упорядоченных значений из 1000 симуляций va...
Key Findings
1
Байесовская метарегрессия и методы оценки инвалидности обеспечивали согласованность эпидемиологических показателей и расчёт YLD и DALY; интервалы неопределённости получали на основе 1000 симуляций.
2
Причинно-специфическая смертность моделировалась с использованием Cause of Death Ensemble и пространственно-временной гауссовской регрессии, а число смертей корректировалось до соответствия общей смертности.
3
Для оценок объединены данные переписей, обследований, регистрации актов гражданского состояния, регистров заболеваний, использования медицинских услуг, мониторинга загрязнения, спутниковой съёмки и уведомлений о заболеваниях.
4
Исследование Global Burden of Disease 2019 оценивает заболеваемость, распространённость, смертность, годы жизни, потерянные из-за преждевременной смерти (YLL), годы жизни с инвалидностью (YLD) и DALY для 369 заболеваний и травм в 204 странах и территориях.
5
Анализ охватывает оба пола и период 1990–2019 годов, обеспечивая комплексную оценку национальных и глобальных тенденций по причинам.
Research Object

Глобальное бремя 369 заболеваний и травм в 204 странах и территориях за период 1990–2019 гг.

Research Subject

Глобальные и национальные тенденции заболеваемости, распространённости, смертности, YLLs, YLDs и DALYs в разбивке по причинам, полу, странам и территориям

Publication Details
Publication Date
2020-10-01
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Authors
Christopher R. Cederroth
Anders Olof Larsson
Aristidis Tsatsakis
Norberto Perico
Giuseppe Remuzzi
Peng Jia
Ashkan Afshin
Giuseppe Grosso
Arash Etemadi
Maryam Hashemian
Amirhossein Sahebkar
Sarah Lewington
Christopher J L Murray
Aleksandr Y. Aravkin
Peng Zheng
Cristiana Abbafati
Kaja Abbas
Mohsen Abbasi‐Kangevari
Foad Abd-Allah
Ahmed Abdelalim
Mohammad Abdollahı
Ibrahim Abdollahpour
Hassan Abolhassani
Victor Aboyans
Lucas Guimarães Abreu
Michael R.M. Abrigo
Laith J. Abu‐Raddad
Abdelrahman Ibrahim Abushouk
Maryam Adabi
Victor Adekanmbi
Olatunji Adetokunboh
Davoud Adham
Gina Agarwal
Seyed Mohammad Kazem Aghamir
Anurag Agrawal
Tauseef Ahmad
Mehdi Ahmadi
Hamid Ahmadieh
Temesgen Yihunie Akalu
Rufus Akinyemi
Tomi Akinyemiju
Blessing Akombi-Inyang
Ziyad Al‐Aly
Khurshid Alam
Shazia Alam
Turki M Alanzi
Muhammad Ali
Saqib Ali
Gianfranco Alicandro
Cyrus Alinia
Vahid Alipour
Syed Mohamed Aljunid
François Alla
Amir Almasi‐Hashiani
Jordi Alonso
Khalid A Altirkawi
Mostafa Amini‐Rarani
Fatemeh Amiri
Dickson A Amugsi
Deanna Anderlini
Cătălina Liliana Andrei
Tudorel Andrei
Mina Anjomshoa
Fereshteh Ansari
Alireza Ansari-Moghaddam
Carl Abelardo T Antonio
Catherine M Antony
Ernoiz Antriyandarti
Davood Anvari
Razique Anwer
Jalal Arabloo
Morteza Arab‐Zozani
Filippo Ariani
Johan Ärnlöv
Afsaneh Arzani
Mehran Asadi-Aliabadi
Ali A. Asadi‐Pooya
Charlie Ashbaugh
Desta Debalkie Atnafu
Floriane Ausloos
Marcel Ausloos
Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla
Getinet Ayano
Martin Amogre Ayanore
Samad Azari
Ghasem Azarian
Zelalem Nigussie Azene
Alaa Badawi
Mohammad Hossein Bakhshaei
Ahad Bakhtiari
Maciej Banach
Adhanom Gebreegziabher Baraki
Suzanne Barker‐Collo
Celine M Barthelemy
Lingkan Barua
Sanjay Basu
Mohsen Bayati
Neeraj Bedi
Ettore Beghi
Yannick Béjot
Fiona B Bennitt
Isabela M. Benseñor
Kidanemaryam Berhe
Bhageerathy Reshmi
Neeraj Bhala
Dinesh Bhandari
Krittika Bhattacharyya
Zulfiqar A Bhutta
Boris Bikbov
Muhammad Shahdaat Bin Sayeed
Antonio Biondi
Binyam Minuye Birhane
Catherine Bisignano
Raaj Kishore Biswas
Somayeh Bohlouli
Mehdi Bohluli
Alexandra S Boon-Dooley
Guilherme Borges
Antonio Maria Borzì
Nicholas J. K. Breitborde
Hermann Brenner
Paul Svitil Briant
Н. И. Брико
Gabrielle B. Britton
Dana Bryazka
Blair R Bumgarner
Zahid A Butt
Florentino Luciano Caetano dos Santos
Luis LA Alberto Cámera
Ismael Campos‐Nonato
Rosario Cárdenas
Giulia Carreras
Juan Jesús Carrero
Félix Carvalho
João Maurício Castaldelli-Maia
Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela
Giulio Castelpietra
Franz Castro
Kate Causey
Kelly Cercy
Ester Cerin
Fiona Charlson
Vijay Kumar Chattu
Sarika Chaturvedi
Odgerel Chimed‐Ochir
Daniel Cho
Hanne Christensen
Dinh‐Toi Chu
Michael T. Chung
Flavia Cicuttini
Liliana G Ciobanu
Massimo Círillo
Kelly Compton
Vera Marisa Costa
Ewerton Cousin
Di H. Cross
Jessica A Cruz
Saad M A Dahlawi
Giovanni Damiani
Lalit Dandona
Rakhi Dandona
Aso Mohammad Darwesh
Ahmad Daryani
Jai K Das
Rajat Das Gupta
José das Neves
Claudio Alberto Dávila-Cervantes
Diego De Leo
Louisa Degenhardt
Robert P Dellavalle
Feleke Mekonnen Demeke
Desalegn Getnet Demsie
Edgar Denova‐Gutiérrez
Nikolaos Dervenis
Govinda Prasad Dhungana
Mostafa Dianatinasab
Daniel Díaz
Budi Aji
Shirin Djalalinia
Hoa Do
Клара Докова
Fariba Dorostkar
Leila Doshmangir
Tim Driscoll
Bruce Bartholow Duncan
André Rodrigues Durães
Arielle Wilder Eagan
David Edvardsson
Nevine El Nahas
Iman El Sayed
Maha El Tantawi
Iffat Elbarazi
Islam Y. Elgendy
Shaimaa I El-Jaafary
Iqbal Elyazar
Holly E Erskine
Sharareh Eskandarieh
Saman Esmaeilnejad
Alireza Esteghamati
Kara Estep
Atkilt Esaiyas Etisso
Mohammad Farahmand
Mohammad Fareed
Roghiyeh Faridnia
Andrea Farioli
André Faro
Mithila Faruque
Farshad Farzadfar
Nazir Fattahi
Mehdi Fazlzadeh
Valery L. Feigin
Rachel Feldman
Eduarda Fernandes
Alize J Ferrari
Manuela L. Ferreira
Irina Filip
Florian Fischer
James L. Fisher
Luísa Sório Flor
Nataliya A Foigt
Morẹ́nikẹ́ Oluwátóyìn Foláyan
Lisa M Force
Masoud Foroutan
Marisa Freitas
Weijia Fu
Takeshi Fukumoto
João M. Furtado
Emmanuela Gakidou
Silvano Gallus
Alberto L. García‐Basteiro
William M. Gardner
Biniyam Sahiledengle Geberemariyam
Assefa Ayalew Gebreslassie
Anna Gershberg Hayoon
Peter W. Gething
Maryam Ghadimi
Keyghobad Ghadiri
Mansour Ghafourifard
Farhad Ghamari
Ahmad Ghashghaee
Hesam Ghiasvand
Nermin Ghith
Asadollah Gholamian
Paramjit Gill
Giorgia Giussani
Sameer Vali Gopalani
Giuseppe Gorini
Houman Goudarzi
Alessandra C. Goulart
Michal Grivna
Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen Gubari
H. C. Gugnani
Rafael Alves Guimarães
Rashid Abdi Guled
Gaorui Guo
Yuming Guo
Beatrix Haddock
Nima Hafezi‐Nejad
Brian J. Hall
Iman Halvaei
Randah R Hamadeh
Graeme J. Hankey
Josep María Haro
Ahmed I Hasaballah
Soheil Hassanipour
Hadi Hassankhani
Rasmus Havmoeller
Simon I Hay
Khezar Hayat
Golnaz Heidari
Reza Heidari‐Soureshjani
Hannah Henrikson
Claudiu Herţeliu
Thomas R. Hird
Hans W. Hoek
Ramesh Holla
Praveen Hoogar
Hung Chak Ho
Mehdi Hosseinzadeh
Mihaela Hostiuc
Sorin Hostiuc
Mohamed Hsaïri
Vivian Chia‐Rong Hsieh
Guoqing Hu
Tanvir Huda
Chantal Huynh
Bing‐Fang Hwang
Vincent C Iannucci
Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye
Kevin S Ikuta
Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi
Milena Ilić
Leeberk Raja Inbaraj
Helen Ippolito
Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani
M Mofizul Islam
Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam
Hiroyasu Iso
Rebecca Ivers
Chidozie C D Iwu
Ihoghosa Iyamu
Jalil Jaafari
Kathryn H. Jacobsen
Hussain Jafari
Morteza Jafarinia
Mohammad Ali Jahani
Mihajlo Jakovljević
Farzad Jalilian
Spencer L James
Hosna Janjani
Panniyammakal Jeemon
Ensiyeh Jenabi
Ravi Prakash Jha
Vivekanand Jha
John S. Ji
Oommen John
Yetunde O. John-Akinola
Catherine O. Johnson
Jost B. Jonas
Jacek Jerzy Jozwiak
Mikk Jürisson
Ali Kabir
Zubair Kabir
Hamed Kalani
Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader
Leila R Kalankesh
Rohollah Kalhor
Tanuj Kanchan
Behzad Karami Matin
André Karch
Mohd Anisul Karim
Getachew Mullu Kassa
Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi
Gbenga A Kayode
Cathleen Keller
Nauman Khalid
Maseer Khan
Khaled Khatab
Mona M Khater
Mahalaqua Nazli Khatib
Maryam Khayamzadeh
Christian Kieling
Yun Jin Kim
Ruth W Kimokoti
Adnan Kısa
Sezer Kısa
Mika Kivimäki
Ann Kristin Knudsen
Jonathan Kocarnik
Parvaiz A Koul
Ai Koyanagi
Kewal Krishan
Kris J Krohn
Barthélémy Kuate Defo
G Anil Kumar
Vivek Kumar
Om Kurmi
Dian Kusuma
Carlo La Vecchia
Ben Lacey
Ratilal Lalloo
Faris Lami
Iván Landires
Justin Lang
Savita Lasrado
Paul H. Lee
Shaun Wen Huey Lee
Kate E LeGrand
James Leigh
Matilde Leonardi
Haley Lescinsky
Janni Leung
Miriam Levi
Shanshan Li
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Justin Lo
Alan D Lopez
Platon D Lopukhov
Stefan Lorkowski
Paulo A. Lotufo
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Phetole Walter Mahasha
Azeem Majeed
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Reza Malekzadeh
Déborah Carvalho Malta
Abdullah Al Mamun
Helena Manguerra
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Mohammad Alì Mansournia
Ana Maria Mantilla Herrera
Joemer C Maravilla
Ashley Marks
Francisco Rogerlândio Martins‐Melo
Seyedeh Zahra Masoumi
Manu Raj Mathur
Pallab K Maulik
Colm McAlinden
Martin McKee
Man Mohan Mehndiratta
Fereshteh Mehri
Kala M. Mehta
Walter Mendoza
Ritesh G. Menezes
Endalkachew Worku Mengesha
Alibek Mereke
Atte Meretoja
Tuomo J Meretoja
Tomislav Meštrović
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Irmina Maria Michałek
Ted R. Miller
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GK Mini
Andreea Mirică
Erkin М Мirrakhimov
Hamed Mirzaei
Maryam Mirzaei
Mehdi Mirzaei-Alavijeh
Prasanna Mithra
Babak Moazen
Dara K. Mohammad
Yousef Mohammad
Naser Mohammad Gholi Mezerji
Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani
Reza Mohammadpourhodki
Shafiu Mohammed
Ali H. Mokdad
Mariam Molokhia
Lorenzo Monasta
Meghan Mooney
Ghobad Moradi
Masoud Moradi
Maziar Moradi‐Lakeh
Rahmatollah Moradzadeh
Paula Moraga
Lídia Morawska
Joana Morgado-da-Costa
Shane D. Morrison
Jonathan F Mosser
Simin Mouodi
Seyyed Meysam Mousavi
Amin Mousavi Khaneghah
Ulrich Müeller
Kamarul Imran Musa
Muthupandian Saravanan
Mehdi Naderi
Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan
Gabriele Nagel
Mohsen Naghavi
Behshad Naghshtabrizi
Jobert Richie Nansseu
Vinod C Nayak
Ionuţ Negoi
Josephine W Ngunjiri
Cuong Tat Nguyen
Huong Lan Thi Nguyen
Minh Nguyen
Yeshambel T. Nigatu
Rajan Nikbakhsh
Molly R Nixon
Chukwudi A Nnaji
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Bo Norrving
Jean Jacques Noubiap
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Virginia Núñez-Samudio
Adrian Oţoiu
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Felix Akpojene Ogbo
In‐Hwan Oh
Emmanuel Okunga
Morteza Oladnabi
Andrew T Olagunju
Bolajoko O. Olusanya
Jacob Olusegun Olusanya
Muktar Omer Omer
Sok King Ong
Obinna Onwujekwe
Heather Orpana
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Samuel M Ostroff
Nikita Otstavnov
Stanislav S Otstavnov
Simon Øverland
Mayowa Owolabi
P A Mahesh
Jagadish Rao Padubidri
Raffaele Palladino
Anamika Pandey
Sangram Kishor Patel
Mona Pathak
Scott B. Patten
George Patton
Hamidreza Pazoki–Toroudi
Amy E. Peden
Alyssa Pennini
Veincent Christian Filipino Pepito
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Michael Phillips
Tessa M Pilz
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Suzanne Polinder
Kevan R. Polkinghorne
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Sare Safi
Saeid Safiri
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Hamideh Salimzadeh
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Itamar S Santos
João Vasco Santos
Milena M Santric-Milicevic
Sivan Yegnanarayana Iyer Saraswathy
Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suárez
Nizal Sarrafzadegan
Benn Sartorius
Arash Sarveazad
Brijesh Sathian
Davide Sattin
Lauren E. Schaeffer
Silvia Schiavolin
Aletta E. Schutte
David C. Schwebel
Falk Schwendicke
Anbissa Muleta Senbeta
Subramanian Senthilkumaran
Sadaf G Sepanlou
Jamileh Shadid
Amira Shaheen
Masood Ali Shaikh
Ali Shalash
Mehran Shams-Beyranvand
Morteza Shamsizadeh
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Abbas Sheikhtaheri
Kenji Shibuya
Mika Shigematsu
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Rahman Shiri
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Masih Tajdini
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Zemenu Tadesse Tessema
Hamid Reza Tohidinik
Marcello Tonelli
Roman Topór-Mądry
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Bach Xuan Tran
Ravensara S. Travillian
Lorainne Tudor Car
Stefanos Tyrovolas
Riaz Uddin
Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan
Marco Vacante
Pascual Valdéz
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Yasser Vasseghian
Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian
Francesco Saverio Violante
Vasily Vlassov
Theo Vos
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Harvey Whiteford
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Mousa Yaminfirooz
Yuichiro Yano
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Vahid Yazdi‐Feyzabadi
Tomas Yeheyis
Paul Yip
Naohiro Yonemoto
Mustafa Z Younis
Theodore Patrick Younker
Zabihollah Yousefi
Abdilahi Yousuf
Chuanhua Yu
Hasan Yusefzadeh
Telma Zahirian Moghadam
Mohammad Reza Zamani
Maryam Zamanian
Hamed Zandian
Михаил Сергеевич Застрожин
Yunquan Zhang
Zhi-Jiang Zhang
Jeff T Zhao
Yingxi Zhao
Arash Ziapour
Stephanie R M Zimsen
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Gregory A. Roth
Timothy J. Steiner
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Eduardo Bernabé
Carla Sofia e Sá Farinha
Farhad Islami
Irfan Ullah
Giang Thu Vu
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Rajeev Gupta
Thomas Pilgrim
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Raimundas Lunevičius
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Fablina Sharara
Chieh Han
Samuel B Albertson
Rose Bender
Matthew Cunningham
Susanna Dunachie
Jianing Ma
Mahmoud Yousefifard
Emma Nichols
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Andrew M. Briggs
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